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Ryan Fitzpatrick to Dolphins

Productive starter usually fizzles out

A day after trading Ryan Tannehill, the Dolphins have signed Ryan Fitzpatrick to be their starting quarterback. There's some thought that Miami doesn't really want to win much in 2019; lose a bunch of games and select a franchise quarterback atop next year's draft. If so, it's debatable whether "Fitzmagic" will help or hurt that cause.

On the one hand, Fitzpatrick has at times been very productive. Including last year, when his seven starts for Tampa Bay produced 17 total touchdowns. Among quarterbacks who started at least eight games (I decided to sneak Fitzpatrick into that group), only three quarterbacks produced more touchdowns per start.

QUARTERBACK TDS PER START, 2018
PlayerAvgRk
Patrick Mahomes3.251
Matt Ryan2.442T
Andrew Luck2.442T
Ryan Fitzpatrick2.434
Drew Brees2.405
Ben Roethlisberger2.316
Russell Wilson2.197
Jared Goff2.138
Baker Mayfield2.089
Cam Newton2.0010T
Philip Rivers2.0010T
Tom Brady1.9412T
Kirk Cousins1.9412T
Deshaun Watson1.9412T
Mitchell Trubisky1.9315
Carson Wentz1.9116T
Andy Dalton1.9116T
Jameis Winston1.8918
Dak Prescott1.7519
Aaron Rodgers1.6920

That's the good in Fitzpatrick, earning him the colorful nickname. On the other hand, he's seldom been able to sustain that success for long -- and it generally comes with the negative of too many turnovers. Last year he threw 12 interceptions on 246 attempts, with his rate of 4.9% coming in as worst in the league among regular starters.

INTERCEPTION RATE, 2018
PlayerAttIntInt%
Ryan Fitzpatrick246124.9%
C.J. Beathard16974.1%
Josh Allen320123.8%
Jameis Winston378143.7%
Nick Mullens274103.6%
Sam Darnold414153.6%
Josh Rosen393143.6%
Ryan Tannehill27493.3%
Andy Dalton365113.0%
Baker Mayfield486142.9%
Mitchell Trubisky434122.8%
Cam Newton471132.8%
Blake Bortles403112.7%
Case Keenum586152.6%
Marcus Mariota33182.4%
Ben Roethlisberger675162.4%
Philip Rivers508122.4%
Andrew Luck639152.3%
Brock Osweiler17842.2%
Jared Goff561122.1%
Patrick Mahomes580122.1%
Nick Foles19542.1%
Matthew Stafford555112.0%
Tom Brady570111.9%
Eli Manning576111.9%
Derek Carr553101.8%
Deshaun Watson50591.8%
Lamar Jackson17031.8%
Carson Wentz40171.7%
Kirk Cousins606101.7%
Russell Wilson42771.6%
Joe Flacco37961.6%
Alex Smith32851.5%
Dak Prescott52681.5%
Matt Ryan60871.2%
Jeff Driskel17621.1%
Drew Brees48951.0%
Aaron Rodgers5972.3%

Most likely, Fitzpatrick will eventually play his way out of the starting job, especially if Miami chooses to draft a quarterback early. But I think his general productivity is a positive for the team's receiving corps, which will again include DeVante Parker. There might be plenty of interceptions, but there should also be some touchdown passes going around.

--Andy Richardson

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