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Jimmy Garappolo

Sack numbers poor, but small sample set

Working on the offensive line story for the magazine, I was surprised to see how poorly some numbers reflected on San Francisco's line. They've got a good pair of tackles in Joe Staley and last year's first-rounder Mike McGlinchey, Weston Richburg is a serviceable center, and they recently re-upped with their guards. So troubling to see that only Houston allowed more hits on their quarterback last year than the 49ers.

San Francisco started a pair of young quarterbacks most of last season, but preferred starter Jimmy Garoppolo also had some problems. I have per-game sack totals, not hit totals, but Garoppolo fared poorly. In his three starts he was sacked 13 times, an average of more than 4 per game. C.J. Beathard was sacked 18 times in his six games (3 per game). Enough to get me a little concerned about the line in front of those guys.

But Nick Mullens started eight games last year, and he was much less sack-prone. He was dropped just 17 times in those contests, so 2 per game. That was a little better than average among the 32 quarterbacks who started at least half the time. Ian ran that table over the weekend; it can be seen right here.

And although Garappolo was very sack-prone in his three games last season, that's a very small sample set. If you go back and look at the 2017 numbers, when Garoppolo started five games (and famously, won all of them), he was sacked just 8 times. That was one of the lowest rates in the league, among quarterbacks who attempted at least 100 passes. Note who shows up with one of the higher rates in the league, playing behind the same line: Beathard.

QUARTERBACK SACK RATES, 2017
PlayerAttSackSack %
Philip Rivers, LAC575183.1%
Drew Brees, N.O.536203.7%
Ben Roethlisberger, Pitt.561213.7%
Derek Carr, Oak.515203.9%
Ryan Fitzpatrick, T.B.16374.3%
Drew Stanton, Ariz.15974.4%
Jimmy Garoppolo, S.F.17884.5%
Matt Ryan, Atl.529244.5%
Case Keenum, Den.481224.6%
Blake Bortles, Jac.523244.6%
Jay Cutler, Mia.429204.7%
Joe Flacco, Balt.549274.9%
Nick Foles, Phil.10155.0%
Jared Goff, LAR477255.2%
Eli Manning, NYG571315.4%
Mike Glennon, Ariz.14085.7%
Brock Osweiler, Mia.172105.8%
Marcus Mariota, Ten.453276.0%
Tom Brady, N.E.581356.0%
Carson Wentz, Phil.440286.4%
Dak Prescott, Dall.490326.5%
Alex Smith, Wash.505356.9%
Cam Newton, Car.492357.1%
Bryce Petty, NYJ11287.1%
Jameis Winston, T.B.442337.5%
Brian Hoyer, N.E.211167.6%
Kirk Cousins, Min.540417.6%
Russell Wilson, Sea.553437.8%
Andy Dalton, Cin.496397.9%
DeShone Kizer, G.B.476388.0%
Carson Palmer, Ariz.267228.2%
Matthew Stafford, Det.565478.3%
C.J. Beathard, S.F.224198.5%
Brett Hundley, G.B.316299.2%
Aaron Rodgers, G.B.238229.2%
Deshaun Watson, Hou.204199.3%
Mitchell Trubisky, Chi.330319.4%
Tom Savage, Hou.223219.4%
Matt Moore, Mia.127129.4%
Trevor Siemian, Den.349339.5%
Josh McCown, NYJ397399.8%
Tyrod Taylor, Clev.4204611.0%
Jacoby Brissett, Ind.4695211.1%
Blaine Gabbert, Ten.1712313.5%

So I'm not too worried about San Francisco's line, or how Garoppolo will fare behind it. It looks like a solid group to me, and I think he'll be better at avoiding sacks than his brief 2018 track record indicates. As an aside, I think it's pretty clear that Mullens will be the backup in San Francisco this year. Beathard will either be the No. 3, or maybe on another roster.

--Andy Richardson

8 Reader Comments:

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2019-03-19T19:02:32Z
Garoppolo's 3 starts were MIN, home vs. DET, and @ KC. Those 3 teams placed, respectively, 3rd (T), 11th (T), and 1st in sacks for the year.
Just thought it's worth a mention.
For Mullen, I'm pretty sure they simplified for him his first few starts, giving him quick reads to get the ball out of his hands and get him in rhythm. The teams he faced as time went on took away those quick hits, made things tougher.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2019-03-19T20:44:36Z
Slow day for me. So... what do you (Andy & Ian) think of SF's addition of Jordan Matthews? I thought I'd seen something here, but might've been one of the (sports) news outlets.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2019-03-19T20:53:09Z
Thanks Paul. I don’t think Matthews is the same guy he used to be. Young in years, but not mileage. Maybe he’s their No. 3 (behind Pettis and Goodwin), but even then he’d still be behind Kittle and the running backs for targets. Just looks like a flyer.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2019-03-19T21:58:26Z
Thanks Andy. He seemed to show up for a TD here, TD there with Philly this past year. But didn't look like a typical Shanahan speed piece (such as Taylor Gabriel, etc.).

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2019-03-19T22:23:04Z
Shanahan has had some success with big receivers. Andre Johnson had 100-catch seasons for him. Garcon caught a league-high 113 passes for Shanahan in Washington Garcon came to San Fran and averaged 5 catches per game in a half season in 2017 before getting hurt. Matthews had a couple of big volume seasons with the Eagles. I'm not sure if he can do that kind of stuff still, and I'm not sure if the 49ers will try to feature him in that way. I imagine they could still be adding a wide receiver who'll be their No. 1 guy.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2019-03-19T23:52:28Z
The thought occurred to me that they might have brought Matthews in as a positive veteran presence. But unlike Garcon, there's no past to recommend him as such.
Hate to say this (especially because I was pretty optimistic that they'd finally gotten it right in SF). But I think Andy hit it on the head. These guys really don't seem to have a genuine, fully-plotted-out plan in place.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2019-03-20T00:51:58Z
I forget where I ripped them exactly, but I think I was speaking specifically about the running back position, going after LeVeon and then adding Coleman when they already seemed to have some capable backs on the roster. (Lynch might be in over his head a little, too.) But Shanahan certainly has a good offensive track record, I'm not questioning his ability to put an offense together.

Bob McKinlay

Casselberry, FL
2019-03-20T04:17:04Z
I think Kittle might be filling the big receiver role Shanahan has had success with. Not much in WR free agent market left.
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