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Jones on the rise?

Bucs talk up second-year back

I see that Bucs GM Jason Licht is talking up Ronald Jones. Tampa Bay selected him early in the second round last year, and the hope is that he can turn the corner and develop into a contributor.

Jones was supposed to be a starter last year, but that never materialized. He was thoroughly outplayed all along by Peyton Barber, formerly an undrafted free agent, and never came close to being a significantly part of Tampa Bay’s offense.

Jones carried 28 times for 22 yards in the preseason. Had the Bucs not drafted him, you have to wonder if he would have even made the team. He wasn’t much better in the regular season, gaining 44 yards on 23 carries. Bundling together that admittedly small sample of work, he’s sitting at 51 carries for 66 yards as a professional football player, with 2 TDs.

That’s not promising, but Licht indicates that Jones looks like a new-and-improved player. That’s not just his opinion, he says; coaches have noticed it as well.

“Right now the guy that we’re all collectively most impressed with is RoJo,. just his attitude, his willingness to do extra. You can just see the confidence rising in him,” Licht says.

I’m skeptical. It’s common for coaches to talk up players in the offseason. Licht might be simply trying to help Jones regain some confidence. The team would very much like to get something out of him, rather than giving up on a second-round pick.

I won’t get too excited about the possibility of Jones being much of anything until I see him successfully running for a few yards in a preseason game.

I was playing around with some numbers. I see 43 other running backs in this century who carried the ball at least 40 times (in the regular season) and averaged under 3 yards per attempt. Only six of those backs were able to then run for over 700 yards the next season.

UNDER 3 YARDS PER CARRY (the next year)
YearPlayerPrevious Att Yds AvgTD
2000Terrell Fletcher, S.D.48-126-2.61163843.33
2000Zack Crockett, Oak.45-91-2.0431303.07
2000Mario Bates, Det.72-202-2.8311274.12
2000Adrian Murrell, Was.193-553-2.820502.50
2001• Stacey Mack, Jac.54-145-2.62138774.19
2001Dorsey Levens, G.B.77-224-2.9441653.80
2001Rodney Thomas, N.E.61-175-2.8371263.40
2001Fred Beasley, S.F.50-147-2.923733.21
2002• Eddie George, Tenn.315-939-3.03431,1653.412
2002• Warrick Dunn, Atl.158-447-2.82309274.07
2002Nick Goings, Car.66-197-3.0501883.80
2002Zack Crockett, Oak.57-145-2.5401183.08
2002Marc Edwards, N.E.51-141-2.731963.10
2002Tony Richardson, K.C.66-191-2.822813.72
2003Zack Crockett, Oak.40-118-3.0481453.07
2003Mike Cloud, N.E.49-115-2.3271184.45
2003Cory Schlesinger, Det.49-139-2.89161.80
2004• Emmitt Smith, Ariz.90-256-2.82679373.59
2004Dorsey Levens, Phil.68-197-2.8944104.44
2005Greg Jones, Jac.62-162-2.61515753.84
2006Dominic Rhodes, Ind.40-118-3.01876413.45
2006Anthony Thomas, Buff.43-92-2.11073783.52
2006Noah Herron, G.B.48-123-2.5371504.11
2006Kevin Faulk, N.E.51-145-2.8251234.91
2006Marcel Shipp, Ariz.157-451-2.817412.44
2006Tony Fisher, St.L.60-173-2.8691.50
2008Rudi Johnson, Det.170-497-2.9762373.11
2008Greg Jones, Jac.42-119-2.82136.50
2009Tim Hightower, Ariz.143-399-2.81435984.28
2011Chester Taylor, Ariz.112-267-2.420773.91
2012Tashard Choice, Buff.57-152-2.7471934.11
2013• Rashad Jennings, Oak.101-283-2.81637334.56
2014Trent Richardson, Ind.188-563-3.01595193.33
2014Bernard Pierce, Balt.152-436-2.8933663.92
2015Charles Sims, T.B.66-185-2.81075294.90
2015Donald Brown, S.D.85-223-2.6592293.91
2016Arian Foster, Mia.63-163-2.522552.50
2017Doug Martin, T.B.144-421-2.91384062.93
2017Charles Sims, T.B.51-149-2.921954.50
2017Dwayne Washington, Det.90-265-2.920442.20
2018• Doug Martin, Oak.138-406-2.91727234.24
2018DeAndre Washington, Oak.57-153-2.6301153.80
2018Thomas Rawls, Cin.58-157-2.700--0

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index