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Todd Gurley

Ex-Ram should be 2020 fantasy factor

The Rams released Todd Gurley today, after trying to trade him. The Falcons were reportedly interested, and since they just released Devonta Freeman, that would be an interesting landing spot; Atlanta doesn't have much else on the roster. Wherever he winds up, Gurley -- if healthy -- should be a relevant player.

Gurley has supposedly been dealing with some sort of knee issue since late in the 2018 season, described (and denied) as an arthritic knee. But while it may have limited him last year, he was still a top-15 fantasy back -- after back-t0-back years as one of the league's very best.

With Gurley, it's his all-around impact as both a runner and receiver (and scorer) that fuels his fantasy value. Over the last three seasons, 52 running backs have had at least 200 carries. Thirty-three of those runners have also had at least 200 receiving yards. Only two players have done both in each of those three seasons: Ezekiel Elliott, and Gurley.

Table shows all 52 200-carry running backs, with the 33 who also had at least 200 receiving yards listed first (sorted by name). Six other backs did it twice in the last three years. Fantasy ranking each season (PPR scoring) is also shown.

200-CARRY RUNNING BACKS, 2017-2019
YearPlayerAttYdsTDRecYdsTDRk
2019Aaron Jones, G.B.2361084164947432
2018Adrian Peterson, Was.2511042720208119
2017C.J. Anderson, Den.2451007328224118
2017Carlos Hyde, S.F.24093885935008
2019Chris Carson, Sea.2781230737266212
2019Christian McCaffrey, Car.287138715116100541
2018Christian McCaffrey, Car.2191098710786761
2019Dalvin Cook, Min.2501135135351906
2018David Johnson, Ariz.25894075044639
2019Derrick Henry, Ten.3031540161820625
2018Ezekiel Elliott, Dall.304143467756735
2019Ezekiel Elliott, Dall.3011357125442023
2017Ezekiel Elliott, Dall.242983726269212
2017Frank Gore, Ind.261961329245120
2018James Conner, Pitt.215973125549716
2018Joe Mixon, Cin.2371168843296110
2019Joe Mixon, Cin.2781137535287313
2017Kareem Hunt, K.C.272132785345534
2017Lamar Miller, Hou.238888336327316
2019Leonard Fournette, Jac.265115237652207
2017Leonard Fournette, Jac.2681040936302110
2017LeSean McCoy, Buff.287113865944827
2019LeVeon Bell, NYJ245789366461116
2017LeVeon Bell, Pitt.321129198565522
2019Mark Ingram, Balt.20210181026247510
2017Mark Ingram, N.O.2301124125841606
2017Melvin Gordon, LAC284110585847645
2019Nick Chubb, Cle.298149483627808
2018Saquon Barkley, NYG2611307119172142
2019Saquon Barkley, NYG2171003652438211
2017Todd Gurley, LAR2791305136478861
2018Todd Gurley, LAR2561251175958043
2019Todd Gurley, LAR2238571231207214
2019Phillip Lindsay, Den.2241011735196020
2017Alex Collins, Balt.212973623187019
2019David Montgomery, Chi.242889625185124
2017Isaiah Crowell, Cle.206853228182032
2019Josh Jacobs, Oak.2421150720166021
2018Chris Carson, Sea.2471151920163015
2018Lamar Miller, Hou.210973525163123
2017Jay Ajayi, 2TM208873124158135
2017Marshawn Lynch, Oak.207891720151023
2018Jordan Howard, Chi.250935920145021
2019Adrian Peterson, Was.211898517142032
2017Jordan Howard, Chi.2761122923125015
2017Latavius Murray, Min.216842815103025
2018Derrick Henry, Ten.2151059121599016
2019Sony Michel, N.E.24791271294031
2018Peyton Barber, T.B.23487152092131
2019Marlon Mack, Ind.247109181482023
2018Sony Michel, N.E.2099316750034
2019Carlos Hyde, Hou.245107061042028

I don't know where Gurley will play in 2020, and I'm not confident his knee is right enough that his career will be long. Not a guy I'm going after in dynasty leagues.

But his production was strong enough in 2019 that I'm willing to draft him in 2020. How high might depend on where he signs, but I think in the right spot, he'll be a valuable player this season.

As for the Rams, they're down to Malcolm Brown and Darrell Henderson. They also have John Kelly on the roster; I think he's bounced on and off once or twice; just 30 career carries. Henderson they liked enough to draft in the third round (trading up) a year ago. But he was also unremarkable enough as a rookie that I don't think it's a given he (or Brown) is the starter next year. They might still add someone to that backfield, then see how things shake out in August.

If I'm drafting now (and I know some are) I'm interested in Henderson. But I'm not willing to draft him as a featured back, or the next Gurley certainly, without seeing more out of him than we've seen thus far.

--Andy Richardson

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