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Sanders, part 2

Is veteran worth a later round pick?

I’m a day late, but let me chime in on Emmanuel Sanders. I do have a couple of thoughts on him landing with the Saints.

I don’t love the signing. He’s 33. I’m not sure how much he has left. He made a few plays last year, I guess. His best game was in the Superdome with 7 catches for 157 yards, with a 75-yard touchdown (plus he threw a touchdown in that game). He’ll probably be their primary deep-ball guy, but Drew Brees doesn’t have much of an arm anymore.

To me, Sanders looks more like a contributor. The Saints have their primary weapons in place – Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara, Jared Cook – and I would think he comes in behind those guys.

Sean Payton and Brees have been there a long time, putting up plenty of stats. In all those years, they’ve only ever had one season where they had two good wide receivers. Back in 2016, when they were running with both Brandin Cooks and Michael Thomas, with them both in the top 10 using PPR scoring.

On only three other occasions has New Orleans’ 2nd-best wide receiver finished with top-30 numbers. Robert Meachem ranked 26th back in 2009, and Lance Moore clocked in at 24th and 21st in the 2010 and 2012 seasons.

2ND-BEST WIDE RECEIVERS IN NEW ORLEANS
YearPlayerRecYdsAvgTDPPRRk
2006Devery Henderson3274523.36143.941
2007David Patten5479214.73150.743
2008Marques Colston4776016.25153.038
2009Robert Meachem4572216.010185.426
2010Lance Moore6676311.68190.324
2011Lance Moore5262712.18166.734
2012Lance Moore65104116.06205.121
2013Kenny Stills3264120.05127.156
2014Kenny Stills6393114.83173.939
2015Willie Snead6998414.33185.432
2016Brandin Cooks78117315.08246.310
2017Ted Ginn5378714.94159.634
2018TreQuan Smith2842715.35100.773
2019Ted Ginn3042114.0285.981

The No. 1 receiver in this offense almost always puts up great numbers, but that role is spoken for.

BEST WIDE RECEIVERS IN NEW ORLEANS
YearPlayerRecYdsAvgTDPPRRk
2006Marques Colston70103814.88221.816
2007Marques Colston98120212.311284.28
2008Lance Moore7992811.810231.815
2009Marques Colston70107415.39232.016
2010Marques Colston84102312.27228.415
2011Marques Colston80114314.38242.310
2012Marques Colston83115413.910258.413
2013Marques Colston7594312.65199.325
2014Marques Colston5990215.35179.237
2015Brandin Cooks84113813.69253.614
2016Michael Thomas92113712.49259.77
2017Michael Thomas104124512.05258.56
2018Michael Thomas125140511.29319.56
2019Michael Thomas149172511.69374.61

If Sanders is going to make an impact, it will be a matchup guy to possibly plug in when the Saints are playing at home in a situation where they’re likely to throw 3 TDs. Maybe you toss him in with hopes of getting a touchdown.

While the Saints really jammed the ball into Thomas’ hands last year, they did have some success drawing up plays for touchdowns to lesser guys. Taysom Hill, for example, caught 6 TDs.

TreQuan Smith will be part of this offense as an accent piece. He had a couple of huge games as a rookie. He missed about half of last year with a high-ankle sprain, but after he came back, he caught 4 TDs in his final six games.

If you take every player in the league who caught at least 5 TDs last year, only six of those players scored on over 15 percent of their catches. The Saints, oddly, had half of those six players.

Some chance that Sanders can be one of those kind of guys.

SCORING ON 15% OF CATCHES
RecRecTDPct
Taysom Hill, N.O.19631.6%
TreQuan Smith, N.O.18527.8%
Foster Moreau, Oak.21523.8%
Mecole Hardman, K.C.26623.1%
Jared Cook, N.O.43920.9%
Darren Fells, Hou.34720.6%
Adam Thielen, Min.30620.0%
Mark Ingram, Balt.26519.2%
Phillip Dorsett, N.E.29517.2%
Kenny Golladay, Det.651116.9%
Darius Slayton, NYG48816.7%
Breshad Perriman, T.B.36616.7%
Kendrick Bourne, S.F.30516.7%
Willie Snead, Balt.31516.1%
Mark Andrews, Balt.641015.6%
A.J. Brown, Ten.52815.4%
Kyle Rudolph, Min.39615.4%
Marquise Brown, Balt.46715.2%

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index