The Lions signed Tyrell Williams, and I like the move. It’s a low-cost roll of the dice, and maybe they come up with a serviceable deep threat who can be their third receiver.

Williams wasn’t much of a factor in his two years with the Raiders. He missed all of last season after surgery on a torn labrum. But Williams was seen as good enough in the spring of 2019 that they signed him to a four-year deal worth $44 million. He’s only 29 years old.

When Williams was with the Chargers (pictured), he was most usually deployed as a deep threat. With good size (6-4, 205), he’s a larger, friendlier target on long passes down the sidelines. He averaged 42 catches for 691 yards in his final two seasons with the Chargers, with 4 and 5 TDs in those seasons, averaging 16.4 yards per reception.

Back in 2016, Williams showed he could be more than just a one-trick-pony deep threat. That was the year Keenan Allen tore his ACL in the season opener at Kansas City. That moved Williams into a more featured role, and he caught 69 passes for 1,059 yards and 7 TDs.

In the last 20 years, only 13 wide receivers who entered the league as undrafted free agents have gone over 1,000 yards. Williams is one of them.

UNDRAFTED 1,000-YARD RECEIVERS (since 2000)
YearPlayerRecYardsAvgTD
2000Rod Smith, Den.1001,60216.08
2011Wes Welker, N.E.1221,56912.99
2011Victor Cruz, NYG821,53618.79
2018Adam Thielen, Min.1131,37312.29
2012Wes Welker, N.E.1181,35411.56
2009Wes Welker, N.E.1231,34811.04
2001Rod Smith, Den.1131,34311.911
2009Miles Austin, Dall.811,32016.311
2017Adam Thielen, Min.911,27614.04
2004Drew Bennett, Ten.801,24715.611
2007Wes Welker, N.E.1121,17510.58
2008Wes Welker, N.E.1111,16510.53
2004Rod Smith, Den.791,14414.57
2016Doug Baldwin, Sea.941,12812.07
2005Rod Smith, Den.851,10513.06
2020Robby Anderson, Car.951,09611.53
2012Victor Cruz, NYG861,09212.710
2006Mike Furrey, Det.981,08611.16
2015Doug Baldwin, Sea.781,06913.714
2016Tyrell Williams, S.D.691,05915.47
2012Lance Moore, N.O.651,04116.06
2010Miles Austin, Dall.691,04115.17
2015Allen Hurns, Jac.641,03116.110
2002Rod Smith, Den.891,02711.55
2011Nate Washington, Ten.741,02313.87

I am not, to clarify, suggesting Williams will be another Rod Smith, Adam Thielen or Doug Baldwin. If we’re making a binary “hit or miss?” decision, I will pick miss. But I think the signing makes sense. Per reports, it’s a one-year deal worth up to $6.2 million with incentives, but it would probably be more accurate to describe it as a modest contract that could escalate if Williams is a success. If Williams isn’t much of a factor, we could be looking at something more like $2 million for a year.

With the Lions in dire need of pass catchers, this looks like a decent gamble for them.

—Ian Allan