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Dak Prescott

Fantasy star will stay in Dallas

The Cowboys finally signed Dak Prescott to a long-term deal yesterday: 4 years, $160 million. It's a huge amount of money, and some NFL fans can wonder if he's worth it. But fantasy teams can rejoice, because Prescott in Dallas has been pretty awesome the past few years.

Prescott played in only five games last season before getting injured, but those were some games. He averaged over 33 fantasy points in a scoring system that awards 4 for TD passes, 6 for runs, and 1 for every 10 rushing and 20 passing yards. That's the top average for any quarterback with at least 5 starts in any of the past four seasons. Looking at the top 60 such performances since 2017, Prescott shows up on that list three times.

QB FANTASY POINTS PER GAME, 2017-2020
YearPlayerGPassTDRunTDRPPRFF/G
2020Dak Prescott, Dall.518569933168.233.6
2018Patrick Mahomes, K.C.165097502722496.131.0
2019Lamar Jackson, Balt.1531273612067463.030.9
2020Josh Allen, Buff.164544374218473.529.6
2020Patrick Mahomes, K.C.154740383082437.829.2
2017Deshaun Watson, Hou.71699192692203.929.1
2020Kyler Murray, Ariz.1639712681911450.4528.2
2020Aaron Rodgers, G.B.164299481493440.2527.5
2020Deshaun Watson, Hou.164823334443437.5527.3
2020Russell Wilson, Sea.164212405132435.927.2
2018Ryan Fitzpatrick, T.B.82366171522215.526.9
2018Ben Roethlisberger, Pitt.16512934983429.226.8
2018Matt Ryan, Atl.164924351253428.226.8
2019Jameis Winston, T.B.165109332501426.526.7
2020Justin Herbert, LAC154336312345398.226.5
2017Russell Wilson, Sea.163983345863415.826.0
2019Deshaun Watson, Hou.153852264137389.526.0
2019Matthew Stafford, Det.8249919660207.625.9
2019Dak Prescott, Dall.164902302773412.825.8
2020Lamar Jackson, Balt.1527572610057386.3525.8
2017Carson Wentz, Phil.133296332990334.725.7
2020Tom Brady, T.B.1646334063410.2525.6
2018Andrew Luck, Ind.164593391480405.925.4
2020Ryan Tannehill, Ten.163819332667398.5524.9
2018Deshaun Watson, Hou.164165265515397.424.8
2018Jared Goff, LAR164688321082397.224.8
2018Cam Newton, Car.143395244884342.624.5
2019Patrick Mahomes, K.C.144031262182341.424.4
2020Kirk Cousins, Min.164265351561384.8524.1
2019Russell Wilson, Sea.164110313423383.724.0
2019Drew Brees, N.O.11297927-41262.623.9
2018Drew Brees, N.O.15399232224356.923.8
2018Jameis Winston, T.B.112992192811259.723.6
2019Matt Ryan, Atl.154466261471350.023.3
2018Mitchell Trubisky, Chi.143223244213325.323.2
2017Alex Smith, K.C.154042263551347.623.2
2018Aaron Rodgers, G.B.164442252692367.022.9
2017Aaron Rodgers, G.B.71675161260160.422.9
2017Cam Newton, Car.163302227546366.522.9
2018Carson Wentz, Phil.11307421930250.422.8
2017Tom Brady, N.E.16457732280363.722.7
2018Kirk Cousins, Min.164298301231360.122.5
2019Ryan Tannehill, Ten.122742221854269.622.5
2019Daniel Jones, NYG133027242792291.322.4
2020Gardner Minshew, Jac.92259161531201.2522.4
2020Matt Ryan, Atl.16458126922356.2522.3
2018Baker Mayfield, Cle.143725271310311.422.2
2017Ben Roethlisberger, Pitt.15425128470333.322.2
2017Kirk Cousins, Was.164093271794354.622.2
2018Philip Rivers, LAC1643083270354.122.1
2018Dak Prescott, Dall.163885223056352.822.0
2017Matthew Stafford, Det.16444629980352.122.0
2018Russell Wilson, Sea.163448353760351.922.0
2018Tom Brady, N.E.16435529352350.921.9
2019Kyler Murray, Ariz.163722205444350.521.9
2020Carson Wentz, Phil.122620162765262.621.9
2020Joe Burrow, Cin.102688131423218.621.9
2020Ben Roethlisberger, Pitt.15380333110327.2521.8
2020Derek Carr, L.V.164103271403347.1521.7
2019Josh Allen, Buff.163089205109345.521.6

Given his production, it's fair to wonder if Prescott will be undervalued in drafts. He won't be selected as early as Mahomes, Jackson, Watson or Murray, most likely, but the potential is there for him to outperform them. Particularly for those in best-ball leagues drafting now, Prescott being under contract makes him a much safer pick.

He might not be as good as last year (Dallas's defense couldn't possibly be as bad as it was in those games where Prescott was tearing it up), but his pass-run combo makes him look very appealing.

--Andy Richardson

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