One of my favorite things about “Shark Tank” (and the UK version, “Dragon’s Den,” which you should definitely check out) is how they like to beat up entrepreneurs over valuation. It’s like, if they can’t find anything else to attack, they always have a problem with how much the people have valued their company.

And really, it’s a fair point. Why should you pay a huge premium for what amounts to potential? Isn’t that the upside for the risk you take by getting in early? Potential has value, but it shouldn’t have more value than an actual track record. But that’s what happens on those shows.

It happens in your fantasy draft, too. And this year might be worse than ever.

Look, I like Kyle Pitts. I get the hype. He’s the highest-drafted tight end ever, Matt Ryan is still a capable quarterback, and Julio Jones is gone. But my drafts will make it look like I hate him, because I’m almost positive he won’t be on any of my teams.

Someone else will target him at least a couple rounds before I will. I like his potential, but I’m not paying a price like he’s George Kittle. He might prove me wrong, and it would be fun to watch if he did. But there’s no way you can get a good deal in choosing Pitts. The best-case scenario is he justifies his draft position.

Now, the same could be said for Travis Kelce, who will be (and better be) selected earlier than Pitts. But Kelce has a long track record of success, and he plays on a better team with a better quarterback. Pitts has potential. That’s mostly it at this point.

Same with Najee Harris. Again, great player in a good situation. And rookie running backs get more volume as a starter than any pass-catcher will. But again, I probably won’t have him anywhere, because he’s going too early for my tastes. I’m not ready to pencil him in as my RB1, and that might be where I’d have to take him.

I know this happens every year to some degree, but it feels like the hype train is hitting more stops this year. Darrell Henderson has a guaranteed lock on the Rams’ starting job, until about halftime of week 1. If he’s struggling, they’ll work in Xavier Jones or Jake Funk (or someone they picked up after final cuts). And if one of those guys looks good, you have to entertain the idea of a time share going forward. But many people see Henderson as a starter on a fantasy team.

And I can’t forget Tre’Quan Smith. The absence of Michael Thomas has led to Smith’s stock rising fast, despite not knowing who will be throwing him passes. Sure, he could be starter-worthy, but I don’t want to select him when other legitimate starters are out there.

I guess I want guys who have both potential and a track record. I don’t talk about players I like very often in this column, but I think CeeDee Lamb has the combination of track record and potential that I want in players. You can keep Amari Cooper and his higher ADP, or Tre’Quan Smith and his potential. I’d much rather have Lamb on my team.

I realize I’m not breaking any ground here. You know how good he is, and so does everyone else in your league. Lamb won’t be a draft-day steal. But Lamb had 74 catches and nearly 1,000 yards last season, and he did it without Dak Prescott for most of it. At least we’ve seen him prove it in the big leagues. I can buy into that kind of hype, even if it doesn’t always work out. But paying for potential alone? Someone will, but it probably won’t be me.

I’m sure I’ll miss out on some great players as a result, and I’ll hear plenty about it if and when they beat my team. I get that sometimes you have to take risks. I just like taking calculated risks, and I’m calculating that offseason hype is less likely to translate to fantasy points than established guys. I just don't like the valuation, so someone else will be buying. And if that’s you, I wish you good luck with them.

Who seems overrated to you? Which guy are you willing to reach for so they're on your team? Which player will you avoid at all costs? Share your thoughts below.