It’s early. No reason to draw overreaching conclusions yet. But I’m thinking Mike Evans won’t be as dominant around the end zone this season.

This is an idea I have been kicking around for months. I wrote about it in the magazine. It was shocking, really, how much they used him last year as a goal-line receiver. He caught 9 touchdowns that were shorter than 10 yards. Inside the 10-yard line, he accounted for almost a third of the team’s pass attempts. It was clear from the opener in the Superdome that he was a player Tom Brady was going to be looking for in those situations.

But the Bucs have a bunch of other really good pass catchers – Gronk, Antonio Brown, Chris Godwin. It makes sense to get those guys more involved.

In the opener, that’s how it played out. On their first drive into that area, Godwin caught 2 passes inside the 10, including a touchdown. Later he caught a pass on a play that started just outside that area (at the 13-yard line) that ended in the goal-line fumble near the end of the game.

Gronkowski caught a pair of short touchdowns.

Not that Evans is going to be ignored around the goal line, but I don’t think he’s going to be anywhere near as dominant in that part of the field.

MOST TARGETS INSIDE THE 10 (2020 season)
Davante Adams, G.B.191713068%
Mike Evans, T.B.1699056%
Adam Thielen, Min.151210173%
Travis Kelce, K.C.1497157%
Calvin Ridley, Atl.1365146%
Darren Waller, L.V.13106154%
Jimmy Graham, Chi.1296050%
Tyreek Hill, K.C.12106050%
Chase Claypool, Pitt.1233025%
DeAndre Hopkins, Ariz.1152018%
Justin Jefferson, Min.1141227%
Christian Kirk, Ariz.1054040%
Hayden Hurst, Atl.1054040%
Amari Cooper, Dall.1032020%
Brandon Aiyuk, S.F.1065050%
DK Metcalf, Sea.1044040%
Rob Gronkowski, T.B.1054040%
Jonnu Smith, Ten.1066060%
Allen Robinson, Chi.943033%
Tim Patrick, Den.976067%
T.J. Hockenson, Det.965167%
Mike Gesicki, Mia.933033%
DeVante Parker, Mia.933033%
Eric Ebron, Pitt.963144%
JuJu Smith-Schuster, Pitt.986178%
Tyler Lockett, Sea.987078%
Russell Gage, Atl.833038%
Mark Andrews, Balt.854050%
Jarvis Landry, Cle.853038%
Randall Cobb, Hou.822025%
Sammy Watkins, K.C.842025%
Nelson Agholor, L.V.831013%
Hunter Henry, LAC854050%
Keenan Allen, LAC853150%
Irv Smith, Min.854163%
A.J. Brown, Ten.855063%
Logan Thomas, Was.863038%

—Ian Allan