Factoid

April 19, 2022

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

New KC receiver likely to disappoint

Kansas City has remade its receiving corps, with Tyreek Hill gone and JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling in. Smith-Schuster, I’m interested in. Valdes-Scantling, not so much.

Valdes-Scantling signed a three-year, $30 million contract, and while that’s not the top dollar some wideouts are getting these days, it’s a lot for a pretty marginal player. Unlikely he makes that contract look good.

I won't pick on MVS's sub-50 percent career catch rate. Running almost exclusively deep patterns, the success rate on those plays is low.

But if you're going to pay a wide receiver $10 million a year he has to at least achieve some impressive level of production at some point, right? Valdes-Scantling has been around and generally a starting, No. 2 wideout for four years now, and he's never put up big numbers. That's while working with one of the game's other elite quarterbacks.

Over the last four years, there have been 110 wide receiver seasons where a player has started at least 7 games (to squeeze in MVS's 2021 season, which he was injured at the end of) and averaged under 4 catches per start (No/St, in the table below). Only one guy has done it in all four years. Valdes-Scantling.

WRS AVERAGING UNDER 4 CATCHES PER START, 2018-2021
Year	Player	St	No	Yds	Avg	TD	No/St
2020	Michael Gallup, Dall.	15	59	843	14.3	5	3.9
2018	Danny Amendola, Mia.	15	59	575	9.8	1	3.9
2018	Demaryius Thomas, 2TM	15	59	677	11.5	5	3.9
2019	Corey Davis, Ten.	11	43	601	14.0	2	3.9
2018	Antonio Callaway, Cle.	11	43	586	13.6	5	3.9
2019	Nelson Agholor, Phil.	10	39	363	9.3	3	3.9
2018	Marvin Jones, Det.	9	35	508	14.5	5	3.9
2021	Olamide Zaccheaus, Atl.	8	31	406	13.1	3	3.9
2019	DK Metcalf, Sea.	15	58	900	15.5	7	3.9
2019	Josh Gordon, 2TM	7	27	426	15.8	1	3.9
2018	Dante Pettis, S.F.	7	27	467	17.3	5	3.9
2018	Doug Baldwin, Sea.	13	50	618	12.4	5	3.8
2018	Marquez Valdes-Scantling, G.B.	10	38	581	15.3	2	3.8
2018	Quincy Enunwa, NYJ	10	38	449	11.8	1	3.8
2021	Corey Davis, NYJ	9	34	492	14.5	4	3.8
2021	Donovan Peoples-Jones, Cle.	9	34	597	17.6	3	3.8
2019	Kelvin Harmon, Was.	8	30	365	12.2	0	3.8
2020	T.Y. Hilton, Ind.	15	56	762	13.6	5	3.7
2018	Zay Jones, Buff.	15	56	652	11.6	7	3.7
2021	Adam Humphries, Was.	11	41	383	9.3	0	3.7
2020	Jerry Jeudy, Den.	14	52	856	16.5	3	3.7
2021	Marquez Valdes-Scantling, G.B.	7	26	430	16.5	3	3.7
2018	David Moore, Sea.	7	26	445	17.1	5	3.7
2020	Nelson Agholor, L.V.	13	48	896	18.7	8	3.7
2018	Devin Funchess, Car.	12	44	549	12.5	4	3.7
2018	Josh Doctson, Was.	12	44	532	12.1	2	3.7
2020	Allen Lazard, G.B.	9	33	451	13.7	3	3.7
2020	N'Keal Harry, N.E.	9	33	309	9.4	2	3.7
2021	Courtland Sutton, Den.	16	58	776	13.4	2	3.6
2018	Josh Reynolds, LAR	8	29	402	13.9	5	3.6
2019	Curtis Samuel, Car.	15	54	627	11.6	6	3.6
2019	Demaryius Thomas, NYJ	10	36	433	12.0	1	3.6
2021	Quez Watkins, Phil.	12	43	647	15.1	1	3.6
2021	Tajae Sharpe, Atl.	7	25	230	9.2	0	3.6
2021	Brandon Aiyuk, S.F.	16	56	826	14.8	5	3.5
2019	JuJu Smith-Schuster, Pitt.	12	42	552	13.1	3	3.5
2019	Tyrell Williams, Oak.	12	42	651	15.5	6	3.5
2018	Ryan Grant, Ind.	10	35	334	9.5	1	3.5
2019	John Ross, Cin.	8	28	506	18.1	3	3.5
2019	Robby Anderson, NYJ	15	52	779	15.0	5	3.5
2021	Allen Robinson, Chi.	11	38	410	10.8	1	3.5
2018	Keelan Cole, Jac.	11	38	491	12.9	1	3.5
2021	Kalif Raymond, Det.	14	48	576	12.0	4	3.4
2018	Donte Moncrief, Jac.	14	48	668	13.9	3	3.4
2021	Henry Ruggs, L.V.	7	24	469	19.5	2	3.4
2018	DeVante Parker, Mia.	7	24	309	12.9	1	3.4
2018	Josh Gordon, 2TM	12	41	737	18.0	4	3.4
2020	Tim Patrick, Den.	15	51	742	14.6	6	3.4
2020	TreQuan Smith, N.O.	10	34	448	13.2	4	3.4
2021	Odell Beckham, 2TM	13	44	537	12.2	5	3.4
2018	Michael Crabtree, Balt.	16	54	607	11.2	3	3.4
2019	Isaiah McKenzie, Buff.	8	27	254	9.4	1	3.4
2020	A.J. Green, Cin.	14	47	523	11.1	2	3.4
2020	Damiere Byrd, N.E.	14	47	604	12.9	1	3.4
2019	Chris Conley, Jac.	14	47	775	16.5	5	3.4
2020	Darius Slayton, NYG	15	50	751	15.0	3	3.3
2019	Ted Ginn, N.O.	9	30	421	14.0	2	3.3
2021	Robby Anderson, Car.	16	53	519	9.8	5	3.3
2021	Tim Patrick, Den.	16	53	734	13.9	5	3.3
2020	Odell Beckham, Cle.	7	23	319	13.9	3	3.3
2020	Richie James, S.F.	7	23	394	17.1	1	3.3
2019	Mike Williams, LAC	15	49	1001	20.4	2	3.3
2021	Emmanuel Sanders, Buff.	13	42	626	14.9	4	3.2
2020	Cam Sims, Was.	10	32	477	14.9	1	3.2
2019	Demarcus Robinson, K.C.	10	32	449	14.0	4	3.2
2020	Gabriel Davis, Buff.	11	35	599	17.1	7	3.2
2019	Zach Pascal, Ind.	13	41	607	14.8	5	3.2
2020	Zach Pascal, Ind.	14	44	629	14.3	5	3.1
2021	Freddie Swain, Sea.	8	25	343	13.7	4	3.1
2020	Jalen Guyton, LAC	9	28	511	18.3	3	3.1
2019	Jarius Wright, Car.	9	28	296	10.6	0	3.1
2021	Julio Jones, Ten.	10	31	434	14.0	1	3.1
2021	Allen Lazard, G.B.	13	40	513	12.8	8	3.1
2019	Brandin Cooks, LAR	14	42	583	13.9	2	3.0
2019	Adam Thielen, Min.	10	30	418	13.9	6	3.0
2021	Sammy Watkins, Balt.	9	27	394	14.6	1	3.0
2019	Zay Jones, 2TM	9	27	216	8.0	0	3.0
2018	Pierre Garcon, S.F.	8	24	286	11.9	1	3.0
2018	Equanimeous St. Brown, G.B.	7	21	328	15.6	0	3.0
2021	Van Jefferson, LAR	17	50	802	16.0	6	2.9
2021	Zach Pascal, Ind.	13	38	384	10.1	3	2.9
2020	Denzel Mims, NYJ	8	23	357	15.5	0	2.9
2018	Marquise Goodwin, S.F.	8	23	395	17.2	4	2.9
2018	Allen Hurns, Dall.	7	20	295	14.8	2	2.9
2021	Nelson Agholor, N.E.	13	37	473	12.8	3	2.8
2021	Bryan Edwards, L.V.	12	34	571	16.8	3	2.8
2020	Jalen Reagor, Phil.	11	31	396	12.8	1	2.8
2019	Willie Snead, Balt.	11	31	339	10.9	5	2.8
2018	John Brown, Balt.	15	42	715	17.0	5	2.8
2020	Marquez Valdes-Scantling, G.B.	12	33	690	20.9	6	2.8
2021	Kenny Golladay, NYG	14	37	521	14.1	0	2.6
2019	Marquez Valdes-Scantling, G.B.	10	26	452	17.4	2	2.6
2020	Preston Williams, Mia.	7	18	288	16.0	4	2.6
2021	T.Y. Hilton, Ind.	9	23	331	14.4	3	2.6
2021	Keelan Cole, NYJ	11	28	449	16.0	1	2.5
2021	Jalen Reagor, Phil.	13	33	299	9.1	2	2.5
2020	Breshad Perriman, NYJ	12	30	505	16.8	3	2.5
2021	Demarcus Robinson, K.C.	10	25	264	10.6	3	2.5
2018	Kelvin Benjamin, 2TM	10	25	380	15.2	1	2.5
2018	Kenny Stills, Mia.	15	37	553	15.0	6	2.5
2018	Chris Conley, K.C.	13	32	334	10.4	5	2.5
2018	Chad Williams, Ariz.	7	17	171	10.1	1	2.4
2019	Cody Latimer, NYG	10	24	300	12.5	2	2.4
2021	Chris Conley, Hou.	10	22	323	14.7	2	2.2
2020	Henry Ruggs, L.V.	12	26	452	17.4	2	2.2
2018	John Ross, Cin.	10	21	210	10.0	7	2.1
2018	Tajae Sharpe, Ten.	13	26	316	12.2	2	2.0
2020	Miles Boykin, Balt.	13	19	266	14.0	4	1.5
2019	Miles Boykin, Balt.	11	13	198	15.2	3	1.2
2021	Josh Gordon, K.C.	7	5	32	6.4	1	0.7

MVS has averaged over 15 yards per reception in all four of those seasons, which is impressive. He's not a nobody; he can be a big asset to an offense.

But averaging under 4 catches -- under 3 in two of those seasons -- as a starting wideout isn't something that should earn you a huge contract. Catching all of 13 TDs in those seasons, while working with a quarterback who's thrown 136 in that timeframe, isn't impressive either. Pretty likely he will disappoint in Kansas City.

--Andy Richardson

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

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