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Michael Thomas

Value in long-shelved wideout?

Michael Thomas sighting! The NFL's all-time single-season leader in receptions with 149 (probably broken at some point with the new 17-game season) will be an afterthought for some, having not played in a game since 2020. But there are at least some signs that maybe, just maybe, he'll return to form this season.

Thomas posted a video to his Instagram feed that shows him running routes, apparently without limitations. It's a noteworthy development for a player who didn't step on the field last season, and played in only seven games in 2020. There are no "best shape of his life" stories yet, but if he is in fact finally healthy, there's considerable upside.

Forget his record-setting 2019 season, when Drew Brees was still putting up Pro Bowl numbers, and look instead at his abbreviated 2020 season. That year Brees wasn't quite Brees anymore, and Taysom Hill started a handful of games. Thomas in his seven healthy games caught 40 passes for 438 yards, with a trio of 8-catch games. Among wide receivers to play in that many games in either of the last two years, just 25 have averaged more receptions per game. If he's healthy, no reason he can't step back up among the league's more productive wideouts.

WR CATCHES PER GAME, 2020-2021
YearPlayerGTgtRecYdsAvgTDRec/G
2021Cooper Kupp, LAR17191145194713.4168.5
2020Davante Adams, G.B.14149115137412.0188.2
2020Stefon Diggs, Buff.16166127153512.187.9
2021Davante Adams, G.B.16169123155312.6117.7
2020DeAndre Hopkins, Ariz.16160115140712.267.2
2020Keenan Allen, LAC141471009929.987.1
2021Chris Godwin, T.B.1412798110311.357.0
2021Diontae Johnson, Pitt.16169107116110.986.7
2021Keenan Allen, LAC16157106113810.766.6
2021Tyreek Hill, K.C.17159111123911.296.5
2021Jaylen Waddle, Mia.1614010410159.866.5
2020Allen Robinson, Chi.16151102125012.366.4
2021Justin Jefferson, Min.17167108161615.0106.4
2020Tyler Lockett, Sea.16132100105410.5106.3
2020Cooper Kupp, LAR151249297410.636.1
2020JuJu Smith-Schuster, Pitt.16128978318.696.1
2021Stefon Diggs, Buff.17164103122511.9106.1
2021Hunter Renfrow, L.V.17128103103810.196.1
2020Calvin Ridley, Atl.1514390137415.396.0
2021Antonio Brown, T.B.7624254513.046.0
2020Robby Anderson, Car.1613695109611.535.9
2020Diontae Johnson, Pitt.151448892310.575.9
2020Terry McLaurin, Was.1513487111812.945.8
2020Tyreek Hill, K.C.1513587127614.7155.8
2020Amari Cooper, Dall.1613092111412.155.8
2020Michael Thomas, N.O.7554043811.005.7
2021Marquise Brown, Balt.1614691100811.165.7
2020Julio Jones, Atl.9685177115.135.7
2021Brandin Cooks, Hou.1613490103711.565.6
2020Robert Woods, LAR161299093610.465.6
2020Antonio Brown, T.B.8624548310.745.6
2020Justin Jefferson, Min.1612588140015.975.5
2020Sterling Shepard, NYG1290666569.935.5
2021DJ Moore, Car.1716393115712.445.5
2020Cole Beasley, Buff.151078296711.845.5
2020Chris Godwin, T.B.12846584012.975.4
2020Brandin Cooks, Hou.1511981115014.265.4
2021Amon-Ra St. Brown, Det.171199091210.155.3
2021Tee Higgins, Cin.1411074109114.765.3
2020Tyler Boyd, Cin.151107984110.745.3
2020DK Metcalf, Sea.1612983130315.7105.2
2021Michael Pittman, Ind.1712988108212.365.2
2021Adam Thielen, Min.13956772610.8105.2
2021Sterling Shepard, NYG7533636610.215.1
2020Curtis Samuel, Car.15977785111.135.1
2021Cole Beasley, Buff.16112826938.515.1
2020A.J. Brown, Ten.1410670107515.4115.0
2020Brandon Aiyuk, S.F.12966074812.555.0
2021Robert Woods, LAR9694555612.445.0

New Orleans has added a pair of notable wideouts this offseason -- first-rounder Chris Olave, and veteran Jarvis Landry. They're also unlikely to have the kind of offense they had with Brees on top of his game and Sean Payton calling the shots.

But Thomas produced with Hill at quarterback, including a pair of 9-reception games in 2020, and Winston is a better passer. There might be a learning curve for Olave, and Landry was potentially an insurance policy for Thomas (who should play over him in the slot).

I'm not sure what the right spot is for Thomas in drafts. In the magazine he's 35th in PPR. But if he's looking good in practices in August, he should move up some. Some rust to shake off and risk in selecting him, but reward, too.

--Andy Richardson

Fantasy Index