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Isaiah Likely

Will 2nd TE be a fantasy factor?

When the Ravens drafted Mark Andrews a few years back, he was actually their second selection at the position, after Hayden Hurst. Has history repeated itself this year with their two selections at the position, Charlie Kolar and Isaiah Likely?

Both were fourth-round picks, and Kolar might well be great -- we don't know, because he's been hurt. But Likely has been about the most impressive tight end in the month of August, rookie or otherwise. Last night he caught all 8 passes thrown his way for 100 yards and a touchdown. Stunning.

I'm kicking myself for not picking Likely up in my TE-premium dynasty league a month ago. In that league, tight ends get 1.5 points per reception, and there are two flex spots, so you can start multiple players at the position. On a Baltimore team that will probably heavily feature 2 tight ends (it's an uninspiring group of wide receivers, basically Rashod Bateman -- and even he's unproven -- and nothing else), Likely might be a relevant player, even with Andrews on the roster.

It's not that easy, of course. The Ravens also have Nick Boyle, so a lot of their 2 tight end sets will feature Andrew and Boyle. Expecting Likely to be startable in 2022 would be optimistic. But you never know. Maybe Baltimore will send out the 3-TE offense on occasion.

I took a look at how often a team had a pair of top-20 fantasy tight ends (PPR) in the past. It doesn't happen a lot, but it does happen, and most of the pairings will be familiar.

Since 2000, there have been 26 times a team has had a pair of tight ends each put up at least 400 receiving yards. So a little more than once per season, on average. Eight times that 2nd tight end has finished in the top 20 at the position. In the table below, those top-20 No. 2 TEs are in bold. Dallas Goedert, pairing with Zach Ertz on the 2019 Eagles, is the most recent example.

TEAMS WITH TWO 400-YARD TIGHT ENDS, 2000-PRESENT
YearPlayerTgtRecYdsTDPPRRk
2020Tyler Higbee, LAR60445215128.218
2020Gerald Everett, LAR6241417294.924
2019Tyler Higbee, LAR89697343160.48
2019Gerald Everett, LAR6037408289.826
2019Zach Ertz, Phil.135889166217.64
2019Dallas Goedert, Phil.87586075148.710
2018Vance McDonald, Pitt.72506104135.010
2018Jesse James, Pitt.3930423284.323
2017Cameron Brate, T.B.77485916143.110
2017O.J. Howard, T.B.39264326105.220
2016C.J. Fiedorowicz, Hou.89545594133.917
2016Ryan Griffin, Hou.74504422106.224
2016Jack Doyle, Ind.75595845147.413
2016Dwayne Allen, Ind.52354066113.622
2016Martellus Bennett, N.E.73557017168.110
2016Rob Gronkowski, N.E.3825540397.026
2016Antonio Gates, S.D.93535487149.812
2016Hunter Henry, S.D.53364788131.818
2016Jordan Reed, Was.89666866170.69
2016Vernon Davis, Was.59445832114.321
2015Martellus Bennett, Chi.80534393114.922
2015Zach Miller, Chi.46344395107.924
2015Antonio Gates, S.D.85566305149.012
2015Ladarius Green, S.D.63374294107.923
2014Niles Paul, Was.5239507195.722
2014Jordan Reed, Was.6550465096.521
2013Jermaine Gresham, Cin.68464584115.821
2013Tyler Eifert, Cin.6039445295.526
2013Brent Celek, Phil.51325026118.220
2013Zach Ertz, Phil.57364694106.923
2012Brandon Pettigrew, Det.102595673133.716
2012Tony Scheffler, Det.8542504198.429
2012Rob Gronkowski, N.E.795579011200.05
2012Aaron Hernandez, N.E.83514835129.819
2011Ed Dickson, Balt.89545285136.817
2011Dennis Pitta, Balt.5640405398.526
2011Greg Olsen, Car.89455405131.018
2011Jeremy Shockey, Car.62374554106.523
2011Rob Gronkowski, N.E.12490132718330.91
2011Aaron Hernandez, N.E.113799107216.53
2010Joel Dreessen, Hou.55365184111.822
2010Owen Daniels, Hou.6838471297.126
2010Aaron Hernandez, N.E.64455636142.014
2010Rob Gronkowski, N.E.594254610156.611
2008Anthony Fasano, Mia.53344547121.413
2008David Martin, Mia.4531450394.023
2008Billy Miller, N.O.62455791108.916
2008Jeremy Shockey, N.O.7250483098.321
2005Erron Kinney, Ten.72555432121.313
2005Ben Troupe, Ten.80555304132.010
2000Ken Dilger, Ind.72475383118.87
2000Marcus Pollard, Ind.4230439393.912

The most famous (infamous, in retrospect) pairing over the years was in New England, in which Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez both finished in the top 20 at the position three years in a row -- top 3 in one of those seasons. That will probably never happen again.

But as noted, Baltimore is very thin at the wide receiver position. Two tight ends putting up significant numbers in this offense is possible. I'm not sure anyone should be selecting Likely outside of a dynasty format, but some chance he's one of the team's top 4 receivers this season.

--Andy Richardson

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