I was not crazy about Chicago’s decision to sign D’Andre Swift. Are we sure he’s much of an upgrade over the running backs they already have?

Khalil Herbert, he’s averaged 5.1 yards per carry over the last two years; that’s 2nd-most among running backs with at least 200 carries. And they indicated they were surprised last year when Roschon Johnson (who backed up Bijan Robinson at Texas) was still around in the fourth round.

Swift definitely has some talent. He had multiple games with 130-plus rushing yards for both the Lions and Eagles. But both of those teams decided to move on to other backs. Swift has had problems staying healthy, and he’s not a tackle breaker.

Given Swift’s style and body type, I imagine we’ll be seeing Herbert and Johnson plenty. That could include replacing Swift in goal-line situations. He hasn’t been an effective runner in that part of the field. This wasn’t a big issue in Philly (with the Eagles liking their Tush Push play); but the Bears will want to run the ball more conventionally in that part of the field.

Below see our in-house numbers for the last four years. This is a summary of all plays in which running backs needed 1 yard to either score a touchdown or keep a drive alive on third or fourth down. Listed are the 41 running backs with at least 25 of those carries. Swift is one of only two backs on the list who failed to convert over half of his attempts.

Swift doesn’t have a ton of attempts in part because of injuries, and also because his teams have opted to use other guys. The Eagles featured Jalen Hurts a bunch last year, and the Lions in 2022 relied on Jamaal Williams to handle most of their short-yardage work.

"AND ONE" RUSHING (last 4 yrs)
Gus Edwards394881.3%
James Conner597578.7%
Antonio Gibson293778.4%
Derrick Henry577378.1%
Ezekiel Elliott547077.1%
Tony Pollard293876.3%
Sony Michel192576.0%
Jamaal Williams527074.3%
Nick Chubb192673.1%
Kenyan Drake212972.4%
Brian Robinson233271.9%
Chuba Hubbard253571.4%
AJ Dillon294170.7%
Alvin Kamara263770.3%
Christian McCaffrey334770.2%
Melvin Gordon213070.0%
David Montgomery405869.0%
Miles Sanders202969.0%
Leonard Fournette314568.9%
Devin Singletary223268.8%
Rachaad White223268.8%
Saquon Barkley172568.0%
Kareem Hunt274067.5%
Jonathan Taylor507566.7%
Darrel Williams182766.7%
Latavius Murray233565.7%
Zack Moss243764.9%
Kenneth Walker182864.3%
Aaron Jones213363.6%
James Robinson213363.6%
Darrell Henderson162661.5%
Najee Harris223759.5%
Joe Mixon386459.4%
Austin Ekeler274658.7%
Dalvin Cook295058.0%
Josh Jacobs386657.6%
Travis Etienne203557.1%
Joshua Kelley162857.1%
Benny Snell142556.0%
D'Andre Swift132650.0%
Cordarrelle Patterson102540.0%

—Ian Allan