Fantasy Index

NFL Draft

NFL Draft Round 1 Live Blog

Snap reactions to each first-round pick

Andy Richardson reacts to the first round of the NFL Draft as it happens. Pick discussion below. Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comments.

7:15 p.m. Eastern. NFL Draft 2024 let's gooo! Welcome to this year's coverage of the first round of the Draft. We're about an hour away from the first pick and probably an hour and 20 minutes away from the first surprise.

Here's the plan: after each pick, I'll be updating this post with the player picked and providing some brief initial comments on player, team fit, what I think of it, and what might come next.

As time allows between picks, I'll post and/or answer questions or debate picks in the comments, and I believe other Fantasy Index staff will weigh in. Reader comments welcome! More to come.

As I write this, there have been no trades. Apparently half the teams at the top of the round are open to trading down, and half the teams from about 1.06 on are looking to trade up. So there could be a whole bunch of trades, or it's a bunch of hype that won't come to fruition and each team will just dutifully make their pick.

We'll find out soon....

7:45. The Bears will be taking Caleb Williams at 1.01. That's known. And it sounds like 1.02 will be Jayden Daniels to Washington, and that 1.03 should be Drake Maye to New England. Let's hope it goes better than the last time QBs went 1-2-3: 2021, with Trevor Lawrence followed by Zach Wilson and Trey Lance.

8:12 p.m. Bears are on the clock.

1.01. Caleb Williams, Chicago. I like Williams. Strong arm, athletic, and a guy who will make sandlot plays at the level of Patrick Mahomes (the most frequent comparison) or Brett Favre. The Bears think they’ve got their first real franchise quarterback since… Jim McMahon? Perhaps Jay Cutler? I agree with them. When the worst thing you can say about a guy is he’s arrogant or maybe his Dad is too involved in his life, I’m in. Fantasy-wise, he starts out throwing to DJ Moore, Keenan Allen and Cole Kmet. As we stand right now, I've got the Bears with a bottom-10 offensive line; that's a concern. But things are seldom perfect right away for QBs going No. 1 overall; I think it's a better than average situation for him.

That was the known pick. The next 31 are where the uncertainty comes in. From here on out, we won’t be 100 percent certain what the pick is until it’s made.

1.02. Jayden Daniels, Washington. Washington hopes Daniels is better than Drake Maye; some aren’t so sure. But I think most teams would have gone this route. Fantasy-wise, he’ll run a lot more than the other top quarterbacks, so could be the superior option. But he’s a thin guy (and looks it, I think) who might not be able to run as much in the pros, and he also has just the one big year (after putting up really modest numbers at Arizona State). And as I’ve mentioned in recent weeks, some of Washington’s offseason moves seemed weird to me.

1.03. Drake Maye, New England. People who like Maye really like him. Apparently the Vikings and Giants tried hard to come up and get him. Ideal size and athletic (ran more than you’d expect in college), but looking to make plays downfield rather than running it. Although he did run for 1,209 yards and 16 TDs the last two seasons. Fantasy negatives: well the Patriots seem kind of thin on offensive talent around him. This is a rebuild of the likely fourth-place team in the AFC East.

1.04. Marvin Harrison, Arizona. Some brief discussion here early in the offseason over whether Harrison is actually the best wide receiver in this class, or if he’s helped by the name. Didn’t work out at the combine or Ohio State’s pro day, while Malik Nabers was running a 4.35 (at his pro day, not the combine). But I don’t see anything concerning with him – great routes, great hands, great body control and ball awareness. Maybe all three of these top wide receivers will be really really good. Great get for Kyler Murray.

Chalk so far. Now come some surprises, probably.

1.05. Joe Alt, L.A. Chargers. The favorite to be the first tackle drafted, Notre Dame’s Alt is an athletic guy (former tight end) who’s yet another son of a former NFL player. Huge (6-9), and the first thing I thought was, is he too tall? I’ve seen some discussion along those lines. But have to figure Jim Harbaugh knows what he’s doing.

Giants can now take either the 4th QB or the 2nd WR. Probably one of the two.

1.06. Malik Nabers, N.Y. Giants. Not as big as the other two Big 3 wideouts, but faster. Size similar and speed perhaps better (4.35 at his pro day) than two other guys who have done pretty well coming out of LSU recently, Chase and Jefferson. Awesome after the catch. Good for the Giants, this is what I was thinking they’d do (rather than select a QB), though I don't know if they really wanted to trade up for Maye.

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1.07. JC Latham, Tennessee. Another expected pick. Tennessee had one of the league’s worst lines last year and desperately needed to do something. Latham was viewed by some as the Draft’s best tackle, definitely comparable to Alt. Some recent linemen picks from Alabama have been a little underwhelming, but a need pick of a highly regarded player. Can’t really argue it.

1.08. Michael Penix, Atlanta. My planned Penix comments are kind of out the window here. I am very intrigued in his NFL prospects. Too bad he's going to ride the bench for the next year or two barring an injury to Kirk Cousins. I don't really know what the rationale is. Great, you've got your succession plan. Did you need to draft it at No. 8 overall? Penix is 24, after six (!) college seasons. He's ready to play now. On a lot of teams, he would. Just not Atlanta.

1.09. Rome Odunze, Chicago. Hey, the outlook just got even better for Caleb Williams. And Chicago is protected in case of a Keenan Allen injury. Slightly better numbers than the others, main wideouts, bigger than Nabers. Exploded in his two seasons with Michael Penix. Hard to argue with the pick, though the landing spot doesn’t seem ideal in the short term, as with Jaxon Smith-Njigba a year ago. But Keenan probably a one-year guy.

1,10, J.J. McCarthy, Minnesota. A trade, with the Vikings swapping with the Jets, presumably fearing someone else (Denver? I don't think those franchises get along) might move ahead of them. McCarthy was supposedly a consideration for the teams picking in the top 3, but that turned out, apparently, to be just hype or smoke screens or whatever you want to call it. In general, McCarthy was a game-manager of a team with a great defense and running game. BUT, he also threw for big numbers when necessary, like the Fiesta Bowl shootout with TCU. Threw 3 TDs and led a huge drive in the win over Alabama, too. Vikings believe, I'll give them the benefit of the doubt.

1.11. Olu Fashanu, N.Y. Jets. One of the top 3 tackles in the draft going to one of the teams that really, really needs to protect its creaky old quarterback. Seems like a wise decision.

1.12. Bo Nix, Denver. 12 picks in, 6 quarterbacks. I was not expecting Penix or Nix to go this early. I can only assume the feeding frenzy forced Denver's hand a bit. We'll never know for sure if they liked him more than say McCarthy, but he was popularly mocked to Denver. Like Penix, he ran a high-powered passing game in college. I like Penix more, but Nix's landing spot (Sean Payton, and no $100M Kirk Cousins in front of him) is a whole lot better. He'll beat out Denver's other quarterbacks -- sorry, check that, he already has. Not a runner. Kurt Warner compared him to Drew Brees on NFL Network. Denver can only hope. Week 1 starter.

1.13. Brock Bowers, Las Vegas. A year ago they drafted Michael Mayer. Now, supposedly hoping to draft a quarterback but seeing six go in the first 12 picks ahead of them, they select the top tight end. I wrote about Bowers for the site here yesterday, I'm a big fan. Not a fan of him going to a team with another good tight end, but presumably they have a plan that involves putting both on the field a ton. If so, Mayer will be the one doing more blocking, Bowers more receiving.

1.14. Taliese Fuaga, New Orleans. Saints really needed offensive line help, and while everyone was talking about the QBs and WRs in this draft, there was also some less-publicized talk about it being a really good draft for offensive tackles. That's 4 in 14 picks. Big need for New Orleans even before James Hurst, retired the other day. Fuaga could potentially start out at guard.

1.15. Laiatu Latu, Indianapolis. Colts going defense seemed pretty likely, and they got the first defensive player selected -- don't have time to look it up, but I won't be surprised if it's the first time in history it's been this late. Latu one of the best pass rushers in the draft and he goes to a team that was pretty good in that regard a year ago (51 sacks). Colts going to be an interesting defense in fantasy, I think. And fun to watch on offense with a healthy Anthony Richardson, of course.

1.16. Byron Murphy, Seattle. Pete Carroll would have liked this pick. Some thought the Texas DT would go in the top 10, but with all the quarterbacks going, it worked out well for the Seahawks. Seattle's new coach comes over from Baltimore, so he knows something about defense.

Vikings trade up with Jacksonville. Interesting.

1.17. Dallas Turner, Minnesota. In recent years, wide receivers, running backs and quarterbacks have been early selections out of Alabama. A little different this year, with linemen and defenders getting the most interest. Turner is the third straight defender off the board, and Minnesota needs a lot of defensive help, so it makes sense.

1.18. Amarius Mims, Cincinnati. Another offensive lineman for a team that needs to keep its quarterback on the field. I've seen Mims graded as high as the 3rd tackle in this draft, and I have the Bengals' OL a little below average in my initial rankings.

1.19. Jared Verse, L.A. Rams. Talk of the Rams wanting to trade up into the top 10, perhaps for a wide receiver, didn't make much sense to me. A year after picking Nacua late they're gonna trade up for another wideout? Instead they get a big time pass rusher out of Florida State, with 9 sacks each of the last two years.

1.20. Troy Fautano, Pittsburgh. Steelers with an offensive lineman. I'm not sure they had any above-average starters (I have them as a bottom-10 line), so a good move for them, and required if you've seen Russell Wilson play the last couple of years.

1.21. Chop Robinson, Miami. Working on the defense story last week, I noticed Miami has completely overhauled last year's defense. And two of their best players, Bradley Chubb and Jaelen Phillips, are coming off major injury. So a big need, and Penn State's Robinson is one of more explosive pass rushers in the draft.

1.22. Quinyon Mitchell, Philadelphia. Probably one of the latest first cornerback selection. Eagles defense needs help in the secondary. I saw Mitchell mocked as high as Denver at 12.

1.23. Brian Thomas, Jacksonville. Jaguars reportedly wanted to move up for a wide receiver. They get the 4th best one after moving down. Apparently there are medical concerns; there was a report yesterday that he may need shoulder surgery. But a really talented guy for LSU. Last year, a quarter of his receptions (17 of 68) went for touchdowns – remarkable.

1.24. Terrion Arnold, Detroit. Cowboys trade down with the Lions, who need secondary help and get it with the Alabama corner. Nice suit!

1.25. Jordan Morgan, Green Bay. Packers know the value of offensive linemen, and they said goodbye to David Bakhtiari earlier in the offseason. Morgan will start somewhere for them...at the moment, I'm not sure where they'll put him. It won't necessarily be at tackle right away.

Getting a little bleary eyed here, but only eight picks left, we can do it!

1.26. Graham Barton, Tampa Bay. Ian Rapoport, for whatever it's worth, apparently felt the Cowboys wanted this interior lineman, and might regret trading back and not getting him. Whatever. Tampa Bay was going to be starting (I think) below-average players at left guard and center, and Barton will probably start in one of those spots.

1.27. Darius Robinson, Arizona. Cardinals don't waste much time grabbing a defensive player, last of the players invited to attend the draft. They've turned over a lot of their roster in the front seven, so he'll be a nice addition, I think.

1.28. Xavier Worthy, Kansas City. So the Bills, annually bounced from the playoffs by Kansas City, traded this pick to them so they could draft the best wideout left on the board. Interesting. Worthy just set a record with a 4.21 40 at the combine, but he's more than a fast guy (also top 5 performance in vertical and broad jump). Texas' leading receiver the last three years is small and caught only 5 TDs last year. But I think he at least might be closer to Tyreek Hill than what they've had the last couple of years, and they're probably not going to have Rashee Rice for multiple games, either.

1.29. Tyler Guyton, Dallas. Cowboys sure do like drafting offensive tackles whose names begin with Ty. Good pick for them though, with that line desperately needing some young talent.

1.30. Nate Wiggins, Baltimore. Ravens take a corner. I have to think they were eyeing one of the offensive linemen who've been selected, since they have a couple of holes they need to fill before the start of the season. But a lot of top guys are gone.

1.31. Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco. This won't quiet the Aiyuk / Deebo trade rumors. Pearsall wasn't nearly this high in any of the predraft rankings I saw, so we'll see if they know what they're doing. Didn't put up big numbers at Florida, most notably catching only 4-5 TDs each of the last three seasons. Surprised by this pick.

And by the Bills trading down again, with Carolina. One spot. Not sure who the Panthers had to have here to give up the first pick of Day 2....

32. Xavier Legette, Carolina. So my son goes to South Carolina and Legette was pretty awesome to watch this season (granted his only big season). Needless to say, I'm not terribly excited to see him go to work in a passing game as awful as the Panthers, but hey, he can only help and it can only get better. Good pick for the Panthers, not a great landing spot for Legette (though he'll have some fans in Charlotte). As a for instance, I'd have liked Buffalo a lot more. Oh well.

And that's a wrap. Thanks to those who followed along, I hope you enjoyed and found it useful and/or entertaining. Please feel free to post questions or comments below, and I'll do my best to answer them in the morning. G'night.

--Andy Richardson

88 Reader Comments:

James Clarke

Wilkes Barre, PA
2024-04-25T23:58:21Z
How many of the early qb's will actually succeed?

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T00:11:00Z
Historically speaking...half to two-thirds. Of the QBs going 1-2-3, I would take Williams and a slight edge to Daniels over Maye. Probably not all three.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T00:11:48Z
Jayden Daniels can really run. If you agree with that premise (which I think is very conservative) that he starts to look like a decent possibility for top-15 QB numbers. I have a chart I've been working on (I'll post it tomorrow or Saturday on the website). It includes about 20 rookie quarterbacks who've averaged over 30 rushing yards. Almost all of them have averaged top-15 QB numbers in their first year. (I speak of per-game stats -- most of those guys weren't full-season starters -- but Daniels has some value in my opinion).

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T00:12:26Z
I am not, by the way, locking in on Daniels as being higher than Caleb in Year One. I like Williams also. He can also run.

Brian Grzybowski

San Francisco, CA
2024-04-26T00:27:16Z
I wasn’t blown away by any of the QB prospects this year. I think a couple of them will stay in the league for a while. I thought Penix had the most talent but he’s got other question marks. If you put the over/under at Justin Fields, I’d think 1.5 of this crop would go over.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T00:30:13Z
Couldn't they get Jayden a hat with Washington colors?

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T00:33:06Z
Love this. Crazy that Mayfield and Darnold went before Allen.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T00:33:13Z
Caleb Williams has unusually good wide receivers (DJ & KA). They will help him along. But I like that pair in Washington. McLaurin & Dotson; those guys are good players. Dotson showed some real potential as a rookie. Something was off last year, but it could have been that coaching staff wasn't using him properly.

Paul Owers

Boynton Beach, FL
2024-04-26T00:33:42Z
Nobody knows how these QBs will do in the pros. That said, I just can’t help thinking that Bryce Young at No. 1 last year looks like a giant bust.

PAUL LAMBERT

Oklahoma City, OK
2024-04-26T00:34:40Z
Chalk so far. Will the Cardinals trade down?

Dennis Thomas

Royal Oaks, CA
2024-04-26T00:35:21Z
Draft Day Hats, NFL money maker.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T00:35:43Z
I don't think so. The J.J. at 4 talk might have just been hype.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T00:36:39Z
I guess they're all getting gray hats

Mike Piotrowski

Ocean City, MD
2024-04-26T00:37:35Z
Why is Fields getting no respect in Pittsburgh?

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T00:39:16Z
The physics on Jayden, I will admit, are scary. He's a thin guy, and he tries to play like he's Josh Allen. That's not a recipe for lasting 17 games.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T00:41:00Z
Cardinals had a lot of success with that franchise receiver they selected very high over 20 years ago. I wonder if that would influence their thinking.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T00:41:32Z
No NFL team wanted to give up anything of consequence for Fields. Including Pittsburgh. It can happen for him, but it doesn't seem like anyone is optimistic.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T00:42:15Z
Jim Harbaugh, I think, believes that the way you win is by beating people up with larger, physical players. He did it at Stanford, San Francisco and Michigan. So I believe pick for Chargers will be not a wide receiver but a tackle.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T00:43:26Z
Agreed

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T00:44:17Z
Still time for a trade down

Mike Piotrowski

Ocean City, MD
2024-04-26T00:45:54Z
Should the Pats should have taken MHJ?

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T00:47:18Z
So Daniels is another RG3? Spooky

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T00:52:23Z
I published something a while back saying I did think the Pats should go WR. If Maye hits, they'll have made the right move I guess.

PAUL LAMBERT

Oklahoma City, OK
2024-04-26T00:56:21Z
O the Vikes have a shot at McCarthy?

Sam Pickering

Oak Park, IL
2024-04-26T00:56:40Z
Nabers is heading into the Giants WR graveyard

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T00:59:36Z
I will take Nabers n the Daboll offense. They have nobody else. Barkley gone, Waller probably retires

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T01:01:24Z
At this point it seems like J.J. will be there at 11 if the Vikings want him.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T01:01:28Z
Nabers is definitely faster than Chase and Jefferson. No perhaps needed.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T01:02:58Z
Giants drafted the same kind of receiver last year. Hyatt can fly -- had that 5-TD game against Alabama. And Slayton is actually a much better deep threat than most realize. If they can ever figure out how to put the offense together (maybe get a quarterback) they could be cooking.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T01:04:28Z
Raiders knew exactly what they were doing when they unloaded Waller last year.

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T01:05:43Z
Giants trade back into the first round maybe?

Brack Varnon

Pearland, TX
2024-04-26T01:08:43Z
ragdoll

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T01:10:10Z
Why do the Falcons always screw it up? lol

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T01:11:20Z
Bears will get Odunze

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T01:13:06Z
Cousins to be traded?

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T01:13:56Z
The Penix rumors have been floating around. I thought they were some kind of crazy scheme to drive the price up on a trade or something. Why would they sign Cousins to a big deal and then pick Penix? WTF?

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T01:14:49Z
If this is some kind of Jimmy Johnson deal (where he took Steve Walsh in the supplemental, knowing he'd be able to trade him) it wouldn't surprise me.

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T01:16:15Z
Sean Peyton might want Captain Kirk?

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T01:16:54Z
I don't need to look it up to know that Cousins' contract is not tradeable.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T01:17:30Z
Odunze might be better than Harrison. Way fewer drops last year. He's a baller. Randy Mueller used to be an NFL GM. He says he likes Odunze more than both Harrison and Nabers.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T01:18:20Z
I ramp up for Odunze is great. He gets to contribute without expectations and job description being too complicated. Allen won't be there in 2025.

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T01:20:03Z
Give me some Caleb

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T01:21:27Z
Exciting so far. I think this is where we some trades.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T01:22:32Z
I did look it up, it's like a $90M cap hit to trade Cousins.

Brian Grzybowski

San Francisco, CA
2024-04-26T01:25:21Z
Vikings take McCarthy. Do we think they’ll be able to run the ball this year?

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T01:31:13Z
Atlanta has to be the worst drafting team evah! lol

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T01:38:09Z
looks like Vegas will be running a lot of 2-TE sets

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T01:45:14Z
McCarthy & Nix are the last of the six quarterbacks to be picked, they're going into good situations -- coaches who know what they're doing. In the case of McCarthy, he's also got Jefferson, Addison & Hockenson. He will not be a game-manager in MInnesota.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T01:46:41Z
Vegas will be fine. They have the O'Connell-Minshew safety net in place, so they can punt it for a year. (Or is Atlanta is trying to pull some kind of JImmy Johnson bullshit, Las Vegas could trade a whole bunch of stuff for Penix.)

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2024-04-26T02:03:25Z
My nephew had to work so I took notes on the draft for him. He had hoped the Raiders might get Penix, because they're pretty desperate at QB if they want to be competitive. David floated the idea of Kirk Cousins may be getting traded, he might be worth the contract to the Raiders.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T02:14:05Z
One, it's crazy to think the Falcons have changed their mind about Cousins six weeks after giving him a $180M contract. Two, $90 million is fully guaranteed, so that much would count against their cap if they traded him tomorrow. I don't know what Atlanta's cap situation is exactly, but it seems hard to imagine they could take on that kind of dead cap figure, even if they have decided they don't want to pay him six weeks after signing him. Seems more likely either 1) they're planning to trade Penix, which is stupid, or 2) they're planning on Penix sitting two years, which is also stupid. So I don't know, none of it makes much sense. But I don't think Cousins is tradeable. It's not that no one else would pay him. It's that I don't think it works cap-wise.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2024-04-26T02:21:44Z
Well, you pretty much sold me on that being not such a hot idea, Andy. lol Thanks.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T02:23:12Z
I am not opposed at all to Penix going in the top 10. I saw a lot of Washington this year, and I like the way he stands in the pocket and makes downfield throws. I just don't understand why he's going to Atlanta. Penix is from Tampa, by the way; he'll be seeing the Bucs twice per year.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T02:26:22Z
Raiders are well situated at tight end. They already have a good one. I assume the plan is to use Mayer as their traditional tight end, freeing up Bowers to move around more, lining up in the slot and whatnot. Bills selected Kincaid last year despite already having Knox (and giving Knox a nice contract). The scouting reports indicate most feel Bowers is better than Kincaid, and I think Mayer is better than Knox.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T02:27:24Z
Sorry, I didn't finish the thought. Both Knox and Kincaid were on the field for over 60 percent of Buffalo's plays last year. It will work. Raiders can play both Bowers and Mayer.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T02:28:40Z
Is it my imagination or do the Seahawks select a notable defensive player from the state of Texas about every other year?

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T02:32:42Z
Like the tackle pick for Cincinnati. Joe Burrow isn't a physically rugged guy. Let's make sure he's not getting hit too much.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T02:37:13Z
Steelers like Polynesians named Troy. (They also had that running back, Chris Fuamata-Ma'afala way back when.) They don't forget that demographic of their fan base.

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T02:38:30Z
I have no clue who Buffalo will take. Probably a pass rusher

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T02:41:50Z
Rams were a team where a quarterback consideration made a lot of sense, with a year to transition from Stafford. But the big six are gone, so nevermind.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T02:58:29Z
Receiver for Jaguars. Not surprising at all. They've got Kirk-Gabe-Engram, but they needed a guy who can develop into something better. Trevor Lawrence isn't good enough (at least not right now) to be one of those Mahomes-type quarterbacks who can do it by himself.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T02:59:01Z
Do I think the Vikings will be able to run the ball. Aaron Jones is way better than what they had last year. The passing game should be very good to keep things honest. So, yes

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T03:06:47Z
Kevin O'Connell is one of those Zach Taylor type coaches. I don't know that he's that interested in running the ball. They were 28th and 29th in rushing the last two years. Jones is better than Alexander Mattison, but I don't think the goal there is to be trying to run it a bunch.

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T03:08:52Z
Buffalo will go O line my prediction. Dominate up front and do the Josh Allen tush push.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T03:19:26Z
Jerry Jones has mismanaged the contracts with Dak & CeeDee, but I like the trade with the Lions. Move down a little and pick up a third-round pick. Those are valuable. (If you hit on them, anyway; the used a late second on Schoonmaker last year.)

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T03:22:05Z
We are 27 picks in and one Michigan player has been picked. We'll have to get the research team check the numbers, but has a national champion ever had only one player picked in the first round?

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T03:25:10Z
I change my mind. Ladd McConkey for the Mafia.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T03:40:04Z
I watched a 10-minute YouTube video on Ladd McConkey today, showing all of his targets from the 2023 season. He looks very reliable to me. I don't see how he could be anything than at least a good solid starter. I saw one drop. I like the way he sharply comes out of his cut. Just looks like a football player. Smart and tough. But I guess you never know. I thought Corey Coleman looked like another Steve Smith a few years ago.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T03:41:23Z
Bills had the stones to trade down with their nemesis. I liked that.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T03:44:11Z
KC didn't make any big plays last year. Mahomes averaged 4.0 yards per target, lowest in the league (tie, Mac Jones). That is, his average pass attempt was 4 yards downfield. X Worthy will add a couple of long plays. I don't know that he'll do much more. Accent piece.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T03:44:45Z
Adding some big plays a priority for KC. They already signed another Worthy-type piece in the offseason (Hollywood Brown).

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T03:46:39Z
We'll see what the post-mortem writeups say, but I'm guessing the Bills are still getting the player they would have taken with the earlier choice (or somebody they like just as much).

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T03:59:47Z
Carolina has selected a couple receivers with second-round picks in recent years. Terrace Marshall and Jonathan Mingo. Now they've traded for Diontae Johnson and used the 32nd pick on another receiver, making it seem like they're not optimistic about those guys turning it around.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T04:01:06Z
Kennedy stays up to midnight, waiting to see who his Bills add. They instead trade down twice. What a ripoff.

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T04:03:53Z
Kool Aid. Mcdermott loves corners. LOL

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T04:06:59Z
It’s too soon to give up on Mingo. It’s not too soon to give up on Marshall, I believe everybody has. Diontae is entering the final year of his contract and was acquired cheaply, So he won’t necessarily be there a year from now. Legette and Mingo potentially the top 2 in 2025.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2024-04-26T04:37:26Z
Didn't get a chance to stick my nose here, other than just enough to get reminded that Cousins wasn't just on a 1-year deal (try a 4-yr $140M deal). Which makes the Penix pick all the more baffling (say, let's pick the kid for the future before someone else does!). Poor Raiders - they wanted a QB dearly but Arthur Blank's team of geniuses blew it all to smithereens when no one on the planet expected that.
This was a blast to read through - thanks guys!

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2024-04-26T06:04:36Z
Perhaps the Vikings PUP Cousins for a few weeks, Penix shows signs of growth... and voila! You've got your new quarterback, and one who still has value, especially when a team loses a top-end QB to injury. Hmmm.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2024-04-26T06:11:04Z
Oops, not Vikings,

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2024-04-26T06:11:41Z
The Falcons.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T11:27:10Z
Seven hours later, sleeping fitfully, reading a few reactions, having some coffee….i still think the Falcons selecting Penix is one of the most idiotic decisions I’ve seen in the history of the draft.

To be clear, it’s not how early he was taken. I believe the report that other teams were eyeing him that early (basically proved by Bo Nix going 12th).

It’s the selection of a 24-year-old quarterback who’s NFL-ready six weeks after giving cousins a $180 million contract, 90 million of which is fully guaranteed. I can’t fathom what the process was there. You only play one quarterback, so you either wasted a whole lotta money or the 8th overall pick, there’s no two ways around it.

If they defend it as insurance in case Cousins gets hurt, maybe they shouldn’t have signed Cousins if they need that expensive and high-value an insurance policy.

I don’t think the plan is to trade either player. Cousins’ contract seems untradeable. Penix is not likely to bring more in a trade than the 8th overall pick would have.

It reminds me of the fantasy draft I was in once where somebody took quarterbacks at 1:12 and 2.01 with the plan to trade one of them. It was stupid then and of course didn’t work out and it’s stupid now.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T14:55:01Z
For what it's worth: fantasy writer on Twitter named Sam Sherman floated two theories (while adding he doesn't believe either of them). 1. Atlanta got bad news on Cousins' Achilles rehab. 2. Tampering penalties for the Falcons in signing Cousins away from Minnesota result in his contract being voided.

Sherman doesn't think either is likely and I don't either, but both have more credibility than anything I am able to come up with as an explanation.

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2024-04-26T15:43:21Z
Atlanta drafts Pitts and throw to Jonnu Smith more. Then draft Bijan so he can split with a talented Algier. Atlanta is horrible at this.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2024-04-26T15:43:24Z
Cousins won't be around for the fourth year of his contract. If they release Cousins after two years (which looks like how it will play) he'll count $25 million against the cap in 2026. That will diminish to huge advantage of playing with a rookie quarterback. Atlanta likely will benefit from only one of those cost-controlled rookie years. At least Penix looks like a real nice player. (I believe the mistake was more signing Cousins than drafting Penix).

Jeff Fenn

Omaha, NE
2024-04-26T18:06:05Z
So we had no "Bo Callahan's this year. I like Worthy going to KC.

Jeff Fenn

Omaha, NE
2024-04-26T18:09:37Z
Did Raheem Morris have a piece of paper in his pocket that said "Micheal Penix Jr. no matter what"????

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2024-04-26T18:41:28Z
This is one that has to be put on the GM. Raheem Morris is a defensive guy and I can't see him making the call on the first-round pick. It's very strange to imagine the same decision-maker paying Cousins and drafting Penix, but I don't know what other conclusions can reasonably be drawn.

Kenneth Peck

Phoenix, OR
2024-04-26T23:13:12Z
The Giants pick for Malik Nabers only works out if the offensive line gives Daniel Jones time to throw the ball!
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