As Jonathan Gannon sees it, Marvin Harrison is headed for a big year. Harrison, Gannon says, is working hard – seemingly determined to become a top-tier receiver.
“When the staff’s in place, the jump from Year 1 to Year 2, I think that’s where guys make a huge jump,” Gannon said on a recent radio show. “And this guy played unbelievable ball for us. But if you talk to him, he’d be the first to tell you, I need to get better at these couple of things. And man, he has went to work on them. He’s went to work on them … He looks awesome out there right now.”
All of which was great. But if Harrison has an unusual work ethic and drive, where was it last year? Why wasn’t he correcting these issues during the 2024 season?
Harrison had a serviceable rookie season – 62 catches for 885 yards and 8 TDs – but it fell short of what you would expect for a wide receiver selected with the No. 4 pick of the draft.
And while it’s easy to toss around the idea that a receiver will be a lot better in his second year, simply because he’s been around, with a better feel for the offense and the pro game, it’s not strongly supported by the numbers.
Consider the charts below. The first shows the 26 wide receivers who’ve ranked between 25th and 40th statistically in their first season in the last 15 years – guys who have had some success (using PPR scoring) but who haven’t quite broken into stardom. I left out receivers who ranked in the top 24 because I wanted to stay away from the dynamic of it simply being hard to match big numbers.
The second chart shows how those receivers fared in their second season. Thirteen of them got better, but 11 of them got worse. Only three (in bold) moved up into the top 10 at their position statistically. Another five moved up into the top 20, so you could say a third (8 of 24) moved up into the top 20, having “breakout” seasons of sorts.
Almost as many receivers finished with lesser number than in their rookie season. (I’ve got those guys tagged with dots.) But in fairness, note that four receivers missed at least half of the season because of injuries and a suspension. If we set those four aside, there are almost twice as many wide receivers getting better rather than worse. That can be considered a good sign for those hoping for a Harrison breakout.
I’m not opposed to picking Harrison, but I will guess that he’ll be a little lower on my board than most.
ROOKIE RECEIVERS WITH 'SOLID' SEASONS | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Player | G | No | Rec | Run | TD | PPR | Rk |
2024 | Marvin Harrison, Ari. | 17 | 62 | 885 | 0 | 8 | 198.5 | 30 |
2024 | Xavier Worthy, K.C. | 17 | 59 | 638 | 104 | 9 | 187.2 | 33 |
2023 | Jayden Reed, G.B. | 16 | 64 | 793 | 119 | 10 | 217.2 | 25 |
2023 | Rashee Rice, K.C. | 16 | 79 | 938 | -3 | 7 | 214.5 | 27 |
2023 | Tank Dell, Hou. | 11 | 47 | 709 | 51 | 7 | 165.0 | 39 |
2023 | Zay Flowers, Balt. | 16 | 77 | 858 | 56 | 6 | 206.4 | 31 |
2022 | Drake London, Atl. | 17 | 72 | 866 | 0 | 4 | 184.6 | 28 |
2022 | George Pickens, Pitt. | 17 | 52 | 801 | 24 | 5 | 166.5 | 40 |
2021 | DeVonta Smith, Phil. | 17 | 64 | 916 | 0 | 5 | 187.6 | 30 |
2020 | Brandon Aiyuk, S.F. | 12 | 60 | 748 | 77 | 7 | 184.5 | 35 |
2020 | Tee Higgins, Cin. | 16 | 67 | 908 | 28 | 6 | 196.6 | 28 |
2019 | Darius Slayton, NYG | 14 | 48 | 740 | 0 | 8 | 170.0 | 37 |
2019 | Deebo Samuel, S.F. | 15 | 57 | 802 | 159 | 6 | 191.1 | 31 |
2019 | Diontae Johnson, Pitt. | 16 | 59 | 680 | 41 | 6 | 167.1 | 39 |
2019 | DK Metcalf, Sea. | 16 | 58 | 900 | 11 | 7 | 193.1 | 29 |
2019 | Terry McLaurin, Was. | 14 | 58 | 919 | 0 | 7 | 191.9 | 30 |
2018 | DJ Moore, Car. | 16 | 55 | 788 | 172 | 2 | 163.0 | 36 |
2017 | Cooper Kupp, LAR | 15 | 62 | 869 | 0 | 5 | 178.9 | 25 |
2016 | Sterling Shepard, NYG | 16 | 65 | 683 | 31 | 8 | 184.4 | 36 |
2014 | Jarvis Landry, Mia. | 16 | 84 | 758 | -4 | 5 | 189.4 | 30 |
2014 | Jordan Matthews, Phil. | 16 | 67 | 872 | 0 | 8 | 202.2 | 25 |
2014 | Sammy Watkins, Buff. | 16 | 65 | 982 | 8 | 6 | 200.0 | 27 |
2013 | Cordarrelle Patterson, Min. | 16 | 45 | 469 | 158 | 9 | 161.7 | 38 |
2012 | Justin Blackmon, Jac. | 16 | 64 | 865 | 23 | 5 | 184.8 | 29 |
2012 | T.Y. Hilton, Ind. | 15 | 50 | 861 | 29 | 8 | 187.0 | 28 |
2011 | Torrey Smith, Balt. | 16 | 50 | 841 | 39 | 7 | 180.0 | 30 |
SAME RECEIVERS, SECOND SEASONS | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Player | G | No | Rec | Run | TD | PPR | Rk |
2024 | Zay Flowers, Balt. | 17 | 74 | 1059 | 56 | 4 | 209.5 | 25 |
2024 | • Jayden Reed, G.B. | 17 | 55 | 857 | 163 | 7 | 199.0 | 29 |
2024 | • Tank Dell, Hou. | 14 | 51 | 667 | 43 | 3 | 140.0 | 51 |
2024 | • Rashee Rice, K.C. | 4 | 24 | 288 | 1 | 2 | 64.9 | 101 |
2023 | George Pickens, Pitt. | 17 | 63 | 1140 | 18 | 5 | 208.8 | 30 |
2023 | • Drake London, Atl. | 16 | 69 | 905 | 0 | 2 | 174.6 | 36 |
2022 | DeVonta Smith, Phil. | 17 | 95 | 1196 | 0 | 7 | 256.6 | 9 |
2021 | Tee Higgins, Cin. | 14 | 74 | 1091 | 0 | 6 | 221.1 | 23 |
2021 | • Brandon Aiyuk, S.F. | 17 | 56 | 826 | 17 | 5 | 172.3 | 35 |
2020 | DK Metcalf, Sea. | 16 | 83 | 1303 | 0 | 10 | 273.3 | 7 |
2020 | Terry McLaurin, Was. | 15 | 87 | 1118 | 30 | 4 | 225.8 | 20 |
2020 | Diontae Johnson, Pitt. | 15 | 88 | 923 | 15 | 7 | 223.8 | 21 |
2020 | • Darius Slayton, NYG | 16 | 50 | 751 | -1 | 3 | 143.0 | 54 |
2020 | • Deebo Samuel, S.F. | 7 | 33 | 391 | 26 | 1 | 80.7 | 96 |
2019 | DJ Moore, Car. | 15 | 87 | 1175 | 40 | 4 | 232.5 | 16 |
2018 | • Cooper Kupp, LAR | 8 | 40 | 566 | 25 | 6 | 135.1 | 51 |
2017 | • Sterling Shepard, NYG | 11 | 59 | 731 | 4 | 2 | 144.5 | 42 |
2015 | Jarvis Landry, Mia. | 16 | 110 | 1157 | 113 | 6 | 275.5 | 9 |
2015 | Jordan Matthews, Phil. | 16 | 85 | 997 | 0 | 8 | 232.7 | 16 |
2015 | Sammy Watkins, Buff. | 13 | 60 | 1047 | 1 | 9 | 218.8 | 20 |
2014 | • Cordarrelle Patterson, Min. | 16 | 33 | 384 | 117 | 2 | 95.1 | 83 |
2013 | T.Y. Hilton, Ind. | 16 | 82 | 1083 | 6 | 5 | 220.9 | 19 |
2013 | • Justin Blackmon, Jac. | 4 | 29 | 415 | -1 | 1 | 76.4 | 93 |
2012 | Torrey Smith, Balt. | 16 | 49 | 855 | 9 | 8 | 183.4 | 31 |
—Ian Allan