Fantasy Index

Defensive Notes

New York, New York

Will either D be good for fantasy?

Working on the defensive rankings for the magazine, I'm conflicted over where to put the Giants and Jets. Both have some talent, especially in terms of pass rush, but both have a lot to prove after the second half of last season.

Looking at those final pass rush numbers, you might think they were OK. Each finished with 43-45 sacks, which were top-12 totals. Sounds pretty good.

But the Giants were wildly better in the first half of the season than the second, while the Jets were not only better the first half, they were best the first five games -- when Robert Saleh was the head coach. Through the first nine weeks of the 18-week NFL season, they ranked 1st and 2nd in sacks (35 and 31). In the final nine weeks, both teams experienced the two worst dropoffs in the league.

Table shows sack and interception totals the first nine weeks of the season, versus the second half, sorted by sack improvement or decline. The New York clubs were worst in that regard by a wide margin.

Because of the 17-game season, game totals can't be split perfectly in half; some teams (with an early bye) played 8 games the first nine weeks, some played 9. Never fear, eventually we'll have the 18-game season that nobody wants but the money-grubbing owners.

SACKS AND INTERCEPTIONS, FIRST HALF VS. SECOND, 2024
DefenseSk(1)Int(1)Sk(2)Int(2)Sk(+/-)Int(+/-)
Dallas184349165
Miami104256152
Atlanta9722513-2
Carolina103226123
Kansas City17522853
Las Vegas17521540
Seattle21624731
Cincinnati17619923
Pittsburgh19102172-3
New Orleans19112031-8
Denver31732811
Green Bay22102371-3
Arizona215204-1-1
Baltimore286266-20
LA Chargers249226-2-3
Detroit2011175-3-6
Buffalo218188-30
Philadelphia225198-33
San Francisco2010171-3-9
Tampa Bay255212-4-3
New England164123-4-1
Indianapolis2061610-44
LA Rams218175-4-3
Tennessee183148-45
Washington243194-51
Minnesota27132211-5-2
Jacksonville202144-62
Chicago237174-6-3
Houston2982011-93
Cleveland271143-132
NY Jets312125-193
NY Giants351104-253

As for whether either defense will be able to recapture last year's first half magic, that looks dubious so far. New Jets coach Aaron Glenn oversaw a below-average pass rush all four seasons in Detroit. The Lions did rank 10th in takeaways last year, and Glenn's DC Steve Wilks oversaw a strong pass rush in his last NFL job (San Francisco in 2023). It's early, but the Jets have lost more good players on defense (Javon Kinlaw, C.J. Mosley, Haason Reddick) than they've added thus far.

The Giants look like slightly better bets for a rebound. They're running it back with the same defensive coordinator (Shane Bowen), but they used their top pick on Penn State pass rusher Abdul Carter (pictured). And Bowen already had a couple of good pass rushers to work with (Dexter Lawrence and Brian Burns). New York added some talent in free agency, most notably in the secondary (Jevon Holland from Miami, Paulson Adebo from New Orleans). They seem like a slightly better bet to recapture that first-half performance than the Jets.

In my initial rankings, I have the Giants a little higher. If we're just talking sacks, they should be above-average. But with takeaways, I'll probably need to see it before counting on it too heavily. Right now, neither defense is in my top 12 for 2025.

--Andy Richardson

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