It was a better game than most were expecting, with the Dolphins even covering the 11.5 point spread. But the Bills took care of business and moved to 3-0 on the season, while the Dolphins continued their march to the 5-12 season that three AFC East teams might be headed for.
QUARTERBACKS
Josh Allen is on top of his game. He's near-impossible to sack; there was one in the second quarter where the pocket collapsed that was notable just because it was so surprising. Another official one later in the game near the goal line that I disagree with the official gamebook; Allen was clearly looking to run the ball in when he got tackled. He's using all his receivers (the announcers kept referring to the "Everybody eats" team mantra right now, which is great except for you know fantasy football). And he's making some great throws, one of the best of which was an end-zone strike that was broken up by a nice defensive play. Bettors will note that Allen was under on both passing and rushing yards, but over on touchdown passes. Those of us who selected Joe Burrow early gaze wistfully at what Allen is doing these days. And he's married to Hailee Steinfeld, so cool in Sinners.
It was a mostly good game for Tua Tagovailoa. Aside, does anyone else find it really weird watching lefty quarterbacks? They're doing it backwards, it doesn't look, um, right. I'll point out at this point that I'm lefthanded, so I can say these things. I think. Anyway, it was a great game-opening drive for a touchdown, with Tagovailoa using all his targets right until a short rushing score for the offense. And an even better drive right before the half, coming when Buffalo had seemingly taken control of the game, with Tua converting three third downs to Tyreek (a couple of the longer variety) and even scrambling to convert a third and long. A failing on any one of those plays and the Bills would have gotten the ball back with 1-2 minutes left and probably driven down to go up 21-7 and the game would have been over.
Ultimately, he only threw for 146 yards, you're lucky if you get 10 rushing yards, and I have no idea what he saw on the interception with 3 minutes left that basically ended the game. But aside from that it was a pretty good game, and would certainly have beat a lot of the league's teams last night. But not Buffalo, and the Dolphins' season is essentially all over on September 19th. Sorry Dolphins.
RUNNING BACKS
That James Cook sure is underrated. Three games in he's gone over 100 scrimmage yards every game and scored every game (4 TDs total). This is a guy nobody wanted to draft because he had the nerve to hold in for a salary bump and there was a concern the Bills would use Ray Davis and Ty Johnson more. And in fairness, he has averaged just about 55 percent of the snaps so far. But he's the guy, scoring a short touchdown last night, catching all 9 passes thrown his way so far, looking a little faster and more explosive than the guys trying to tackle him. Maybe he benefits from his MVP quarterback, but whatever. I look at any one of my random drafts and see some of the running backs taken ahead of him, including three rookies who are doing very little to this point, and shake my head. He's a workhorse without the snap count or PR. (Johnson and Davis combined for 3 carries and 1 catch.)
DeVon Achane is a guy I've never had and probably will never have on a team, because there's someone in every draft that believes in him way more than I do. Last night was a decent enough PPR night with 7 catches and 16.1 PPR points. He's a talented guy who can zip through holes and pick up yards beyond what's blocked for him. But it was also funny/disturbing for those who had him how the Bills negated his impact. On Miami's first drive he took a little outlet pass for 15 yards. From that point forward, every time they ran that play there was a defender there to plant him in the ground. He caught 6 more passes that went for a total of 14 yards. Presumably other NFL coaches were watching the way Buffalo shut that down. Miami needs to figure something else out.
Ollie Gordon came in for the opening drive goal-line sequence, and another short-yardage play. I'm pretty sure they'll keep doing that, giving Gordon value in some formats. But on just a quarter of the snaps, it's a pretty low floor if he doesn't manage to punch in a touchdown at some point. But another negative for Achane.
WIDE RECEIVERS
I selected Tyreek Hill in a league, and he worked out nicely last night. I think he had a better game than even the box score (5 for 49 and a score), with 10 targets, the incompletions mostly ones he had no shot at, out of bounds or whatnot. Three really clutch grabs on the drive before the half to convert third downs on an impressive touchdown drive. The problem is that Miami's offensive line is terrible at the moment, with two starters on IR (and it wasn't good anyway), so Hill's not going to be catching a lot of 40-yard passes in this offense. And the frustration is evident, so eventually it's going to end with him either on another team or, I don't know, sulking on the sidelines. Wait until Miami is really out of it (they're headed that way).
Jaylen Waddle is in similar straits. He's caught 5 passes and scored two weeks in a row, but there aren't going to be a lot of 100-yard games in this offense. He played all but 8 snaps, so at least the shoulder injury seems to be behind him, although it was worrying when he didn't even see a first-half target until the touchdown with 8 seconds left. Miami was busy throwing Achane passes that mostly went nowhere.
Third receiver Malik Washington caught 3 short passes, giving him 6 on the season while also running the ball 6 times. He's basically running the same kinds of plays as Achane, with similar (minimal) effect. If Achane gets hurt, he'll probably do both those things a little more. As is, pretty modest impact.
Buffalo wideouts, well, "everybody eats," which often means nobody really eats. Joshua Palmer has caught a total of 3 passes the last two weeks. Keon Coleman has caught in each of those, under 30 yards in both. Both players may be viable when in a competitive matchup, like that Ravens game. But glancing at the schedule, how many of those are there going to be? Next four are against the Saints, Patriots, Falcons and Panthers. See any high-scoring shootouts there? Second half of the season includes Kansas City, Tampa Bay, Cincinnati and Philadelphia, so that's good. But that's four games, and there are also three other divisional games, Cleveland, and a couple that only might be decent (Houston, Pittsburgh). Buffalo is going to win a bunch of games this year without great offensive numbers.
Mentioning Khalil Shakir separately because unlike Palmer or Coleman he seems a little more reliable to catch 4-plus passes per week. He's done it twice in three games, and last night (including a touchdown) will probably be a typical outing. But only 4 targets. Not a lot of upside there.
TIGHT ENDS
While it's hard to be interested in Buffalo's wide receivers, it was nice to see Dalton Kincaid having a good game. Almost a great game, since he could easily have scored 3 touchdowns. An athletic effort to grab an off-target throw for a sandlot touchdown on the opening drive. A near-miss on a perfect throw on the second drive, where a defender got his hand in the way to break things up. And then a little Achane-like outlet pass that Kincaid took down to the 1-yard line, setting up the Cook touchdown. Officially 5 for 66 with a score for Kincaid, leading the team in targets, catches and yards. Buffalo's third tight end, fifth-round rookie Jackson Hawes, caught a little shovel pass touchdown where it looked like Allen could have possibly run it in, but wisely avoided taking a hit. Hawes has one catch in each game. Not a fantasy option, but if you're holding onto Dawson Knox anywhere (not targeted while playing a little over half the snaps), you can move on.
Miami had two tight ends play around half the snaps and each catch one pass. Their mothers love them I'm sure, but I'm not going to bother naming them. And you can probably release Darren Waller. Assuming he at some point recovers from the hip injury that's kept him out of the first three games (which may be a bold assumption in itself), he's not going to start showing up and catching 5-6 passes in the offense.
MISCELLANEOUS
Matt Prater was so off-target on a 39-yard field goal attempt I think he almost hit Sean McDermott on the sideline. But the Bills kept the faith and let him try a 48-yarder at the end which not only affected a lot of over-under bets and clinched the game but was also risky (had he missed, Miami would have got the ball back at about the 40-yard line, down a touchdown with 30 seconds left).
Miami, which scored on a punt return last week, had a long kick return to open the game. So that's one plus for the Miami defense in fantasy leagues, which otherwise has played three games without recording a takeaway yet. Bills defense is also a little light (6 sacks and 3 takeaways), but as noted the schedule is pretty favorable for them.
And I think that's everything of note that happened.