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Rougher waters wait for Colts

Updated strength of schedule for next five games

If anybody can slow down the Colts, maybe it’s the schedule makers. They’ve got a bunch of harder defenses coming up on their schedule.

That includes a pair against the Texans, who lead the league in scoring defense. And it includes games at Kansas City and Seattle.

Looking at just the next five games for each team (what’s right in front of us), I see 20 points per game, on average for defenses that are in the near future for the Colts. That’s the fewest in the league.

There are five offenses who’s next five games are against opponents allowing a cumulative average of 21 points per game or less, and four of them have notable offense for our own selfish fantasy purposes – Colts, Bucs, Bills and Kansas City.

If you want to try and ride the strength of schedule wave, better to be looking at Ravens, Patriots, Bears, Chargers and Eagles, who are all up near the top.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (next 5 G, pts)
TeamW
Cleveland26.5
Baltimore26.5
New England26.1
Chicago26.0
Miami25.8
LA Chargers24.9
Philadelphia24.5
Cincinnati24.1
NY Jets24.0
Pittsburgh24.0
Detroit23.9
Minnesota23.8
Green Bay23.7
Las Vegas23.4
Arizona23.1
Seattle23.1
Atlanta23.0
Jacksonville22.6
San Francisco22.5
LA Rams22.4
New Orleans22.4
Washington22.0
Houston22.0
Dallas21.8
NY Giants21.6
Denver21.5
Carolina21.3
Buffalo21.0
Kansas City21.0
Tampa Bay20.7
Tennessee20.2
Indianapolis20.0

Looking at those same next five games, only focusing on wins and losses rather than points, the Ravens are again right up next the top. Their next five are against teams that are currently 9-25-0. Dolphins, Vikings, Browns, Jets, Bengals. They may be 2-5, but my hunch is the Ravens will still be winning the AFC North.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (next 5 G, wins)
TeamWLTPct
Baltimore9250.265
Cleveland9250.265
Miami9240.273
Jacksonville11230.324
NY Jets12210.364
New England13210.382
Denver13210.382
Seattle14200.412
San Francisco15200.429
Atlanta16190.457
LA Chargers16180.471
Buffalo16170.485
Tampa Bay17170.500
Tennessee17170.500
Dallas18170.514
Chicago17160.515
Las Vegas18161.529
New Orleans18160.529
Detroit17151.530
Indianapolis17150.531
Green Bay19150.559
Washington19150.559
Carolina18141.561
LA Rams20150.571
Cincinnati18130.581
Houston20140.588
Minnesota19121.609
Kansas City20121.621
Philadelphia20112.636
Pittsburgh21120.636
Arizona22121.643
NY Giants2391.712

—Ian Allan

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