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Andy Richardson

Thursday Night Recap

Dolphins somewhat bad

I kid of course. It's tough watching Miami. There are some talented players there, and Mike McDaniel has some offensive knowhow and such. But there are glaring limitations, and when those show up at the worst possible times...usually the coach will take the fall.

Firing McDaniel, which will happen eventually, won't fix anything with the Dolphins. But it will be viewed as a necessary step, whether it happens today, next month, or in January. And then this team will try and rebuild around the good players they have. (Sadly, there aren't very many.)

QUARTERBACKS

Lamar Jackson returned, and while he didn't run much, he sure was effective passing it. I saw one of those Next Gen graphics during the game saying that the Ravens, just 2-5, still had a 51 percent chance to win the AFC North -- still the favorites. I assume today it's like 80 percent or something. With Jackson in the lineup, they're going to be favored in most remaining games, probably finishing the year no worse than 10-7, which should be enough. Everything looks better with him in the lineup, and when an opponent doesn't have much pass rush and he has time to work, he'll pretty much kill you.

I don't know what the Dolphins will do with Tua Tagovailoa, who actually had a good game last night (despite his limitations showing regularly). He throws a really nice ball on those intermediate passes, he was really sharp marching the team up and down the field for the entire first half. Got robbed of a long completion to Jaylen Waddle inside Baltimore's 10-yard line by a bizarre tripping penalty on Ollie Gordon; Gordon slipped and fell down in the backfield, and when a defender got slightly hung up, he was called for tripping. Those plays they can't review? Terrible call and kind of big, though granted Miami might well have fouled it up anyway, like all their other red-zone opportunities.

But Tagovailoa's two major limitations also factored into things. He doesn't have a big arm, which we were reminded of at the end of the first half when, with Miami near midfield, he threw the ball away at the sidelines and then took a pitiful sack rather than heave up a Hail Mary attempt. And he's completely immobile, which makes it easier on defenses in critical short-yardage situations; just clog the middle and there's no way they're picking that up with a run play. I don't know what Miami is going to do with him, but teams eat big contracts these days and at some point they'll be doing it with Tua's. Or maybe they'll deal him to Cleveland.

RUNNING BACKS

I know it will sound wrong to say this after he ran for 119 yards and averaged 6.3 per attempt, but it might be pretty much over for Derrick Henry. (I would not be trading for him in a fantasy league or drafting him next year, on the off-chance he returns. Henry in the first half carried 9 times for 30 yards, and my sense is that's a more accurate picture of where he'll be in a lot of games. Maybe the blocking isn't great, but he looks a step slow at the line -- e.g., I was not surprised, after watching his lone goal-line tote, that they favored the pass on future red-zone plays. I'm aware he finished with good numbers and maybe I'm being unfair, but I did not see a running back who's going to be lifting the team on his shoulders in any upcoming games. Not that the Ravens have any choice, they're not going to be winning games with passing-downs back Justice Hill or speedy change-of-pace Keaton Mitchell. But I think this team is going as far as Jackson takes them, which will probably be 1-2 playoff games, tops.

I've never had De'Von Achane on a team. Nothing personal, the guy just gets taken too early for me. Great talent, if there's a hole he's getting through it, and there's that safe PPR floor. Catches a lot of passes, scores a decent amount. But there's also a ceiling since his rushing numbers usually won't be great and if the team ever decides to just line up and run the ball, he's not going to go anywhere. The blocking isn't there, the rushing touchdowns won't be happening, the quarterback need not be accounted for. There was a first-half 3rd-and-2 play where they tried to run the ball with him and he got planted. Followed by a fourth-d0wn end-zone fade where Tagovailoa threw to a spot and Achane stopped his route; Kirk Herbstreit called Achane out for his lack of receiving awareness, but I also saw criticism of isolating a 5-foot-8 running back one in one in that kind of situation. Whatever. Achane's a talented guy, but seems like he'd be better in a tandem, which they used to have with Raheem Mostert (and hasn't much happened yet with Ollie Gordon, who left early last night with an ankle injury.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Good game for Jaylen Waddle, which could have been great if that 36-yard pass play had held up. He's the only wide receiver (only receiver, really) the team can count on, so he's going to continue to have some 80-yard receiving games in losses. The less said about the team's other wideouts the better. Malik Washington caught 3 passes, also losing a fumble (I almost thought he lost two, but it was Miami's other player whose last name is Washington that lost the first one, a critical play where he had the ball punched out near his own goal line, setting Baltimore up for the touchdown that swung momentum which seemed to be all Miami's early on.

Zay Flowers is a good player. One play that stood out to me was a third-down catch where he showed great awareness of where he had to get to pick up the first, diving ahead to make sure he got it. So often you'll see guys not fully aware of where they need to get and cutting back or letting themselves be tackled a yard or a foot short, requiring the painful scenes of officials spotting balls, ruling players short, just tedious and avoidable if players were better about knowing where they are. Flowers caught 5 passes for 64 yards last night, continuing his run as the easiest to project wide receiver in the entire league. In his last five games, Flower has caught 7, 5, 6, 7 and 5 passes for an average of....64 yards. He's been within 10 of that total in four of those games.

Rashod Bateman is in the Jameson Williams school of receivers I will never have on my team. Yes, he scored last night. He caught 1 other pass. He averages 1.9 receptions on the season and 2.6 for his career. He caught 9 touchdowns last year and is still, to me, a useless player in typical leagues. Fine, in half his games he got you 8-9 points. In the half he didn't score you may as well have started someone on his bye. At least we don't need to make the mistake of considering players like DeAndre Hopkins and Tylan Wallace (no catches for either on 1 total target) anymore.

TIGHT ENDS

Anyone else facing Mark Andrews in two leagues this week? Andrews in his last 2.5 games with Jackson has caught 15 passes and 4 touchdowns. Baltimore also ramped up Isaiah Likely usage for this game, with Likely playing a little more than Andrews and catching 3 passes for 60 yards. This could all disappear, but Likely was hurt early in the year and Lamar more recently, but with both guys healthy, it sure looks like he'll be essentially the No. 2 receiver in this offense (all the more reason not to waste a roster spot on Bateman).

When the Broncos drafted Greg Dulcich in the third round a few years back, I drafted him in my TE-premium dynasty league. That was three years and three teams ago, I was barely aware he was on Miami's practice squad. But with Darren Waller on IR, Julian Hill also hurt, and Tanner Conner's contributions to the offense failing to get both feet in bounds on a pretty nice Tagovailoa throw in the first half (he also had a costly false start penalty in the red zone), Dulcich very quickly became a go-to receiver, catching all 5 passes thrown his way for 49 yards. Maybe I'll pick him up in that dynasty league next week. Hard to imagine Miami burying that potential behind Hill and Conner even if they're both available, right?

MISCELLANEOUS

I don't think there's much more to say about this one. Broadly speaking, the Ravens are probably going to win at least 4 of their next 5 and be back atop the AFC North, or at worst in a dogfight with the Steelers, who they still need/get to play twice. The Dolphins will lose to the Bills next week, play the Commanders overseas somewhere, then have a bye week, during which maybe McDaniel will be fired depending on how that game goes, maybe not. After the bye the Dolphins play the Saints and Jets and maybe get a couple of wins, but it won't matter to anyone (fans would probably prefer more losses at that point).

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