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Ready to go marching in?

Shough puts up solid numbers down the stretch

I’m intrigued by what they have going in New Orleans. Those were really nice initial seasons for Kellen Moore and Tyler Shough. That’s a franchise seemingly headed in the right direction.

The Saints finished the year with a 6-11 record, which is nothing special, but they were arguably the league’s most improved franchise as the year progressed. They went 1-8 in their first nine games, but they closed by winning five of their final eight. And they were among the most improved on both sides of the ball.

New Orleans ranked next-to-last in scoring in the first half of the season, averaging only 15.3 points per game. But they averaged a credible 21 points in their remaining games. In the second half of the season, only three offenses averaged more improvement (Jaguars, 49ers, Rams – all by over 8 points per game).

The Saints were even more improved on the other side of the ball. They were a bottom-10 defense in the first nine weeks of the season, allowing 27 points per game. They ranked 5th in scoring defense in the final nine weeks, down at 17.5 points on average. That’s a nice bounce-back season for defensive coordinator Brandon Staley, who worked with Moore with the Chargers.

If we put the offensive and defensive numbers together, the Saints were over 15 net points per week better in the second half of the season. That’s 2 points behind Jacksonville, but at least 5 points ahead of everyone else.

On the chart below, I looked at average improvement in Weeks 1-9 versus Weeks 10-18. I used per-game stats because each team played eight games in one half of the season and nine in the other.

MOST IMPROVED TEAMS (by points)
TeamOffDefTotal
Jacksonville11.16.117.2
New Orleans5.79.515.2
Cincinnati.89.310.1
San Francisco8.8-2.06.8
Baltimore-.66.86.2
Tennessee4.8.95.7
Chicago-1.87.55.7
Miami.94.45.3
New England5.3-.15.2
NY Giants1.13.95.0
Atlanta5.5-2.52.9
Cleveland1.31.32.6
Minnesota-4.86.92.2
Seattle-.93.02.1
Houston5.2-4.21.0
Philadelphia-7.07.6.6
LA Rams8.2-8.5-.2
Carolina-1.3.9-.4
Pittsburgh-3.63.0-.5
Dallas-3.21.5-1.7
LA Chargers-4.83.1-1.7
Denver-3.0.3-2.7
Las Vegas-4.41.6-2.8
Buffalo-2.0-1.1-3.2
Washington-3.0-.7-3.6
Green Bay-5.2-.8-6.0
Detroit-3.0-3.9-6.8
Tampa Bay-4.3-3.6-7.9
NY Jets-6.3-3.7-10.0
Kansas City-10.2-3.5-13.7
Arizona-3.1-13.8-16.9
Indianapolis-10.2-8.8-19.0

Shough was a ring leader in this turnaround. He moved into the starting lineup at the halfway point of the season, and he vastly exceeded expectations.

He averaged 251 passing yards in his nine starts, with 10 touchdowns versus 5 interceptions. He also averaged 19 rushing yards, with an additional 3 TDs.

In his nine starts, Shough completed 69 percent of his passes. In the 32-team era, 65 other rookie quarterbacks have started over half the season, and none of them finished with a higher completion percentage. Only seven finished with higher passer ratings (which is how I have them ranked below). Note that the rookies who had better passer ratings weren't flash-in-the-pan type guys -- they had good careers for the most part.

I’m not giving all of the credit to Shough. I think Kellen Moore has a good feel for how to put together a passer-friendly offense. But they look like a good one-two punch, and Shough has played well enough that I don’t think the Saints will be thinking at all about adding a quarterback in the offseason.

They will, on the other hand, be adding a wide receiver, and I’m guessing that will be one of the rookie pass catchers that I’m most excited about. And if I’m a rookie running back, New Orleans would be the city I would be hoping for.

HIGHEST-RATED ROOKIE QUARTERBACKS SINCE 2002
YearPlayerGPctYd/GTDIntRate
2016Dak Prescott, Dall.1667.8229.2234104.9
2012Robert Griffin, Was.1565.6213.3205102.4
2023C.J. Stroud, Hou.1563.9273.9235100.8
2024Jayden Daniels, Was.1769.0209.9259100.1
2012Russell Wilson, Sea.1664.1194.92610100.0
2004Ben Roethlisberger, Pitt.1366.9188.115999.4
2020Justin Herbert, LAC1566.6289.1311098.3
2025Tyler Shough, N.O.969.2250.710595.8
2018Baker Mayfield, Cle.1363.3271.1271493.4
2024Bo Nix, Den.1766.3222.1291293.3
2021Mac Jones, N.E.1767.6223.6221392.5
2021Davis Mills, Hou.1168.8228.515991.8
2025Jaxson Dart, NYG1263.7189.315591.7
2015Marcus Mariota, Ten.1262.2234.8191091.5
2019Gardner Minshew, Jac.1259.1237.418490.1
2020Joe Burrow, Cin.1065.3268.813589.8
2024Drake Maye, N.E.1267.0187.8151088.9
2024Caleb Williams, Chi.1762.5208.320687.8
2019Daniel Jones, NYG1261.8250.8241287.7
2008Matt Ryan, Atl.1661.1215.0161187.7
2019Kyler Murray, Ari.1664.4232.6201287.4
2020Tua Tagovailoa, Mia.963.9200.611586.9
2014Teddy Bridgewater, Min.1264.7230.8141285.3
2011Cam Newton, Car.1660.0253.2211784.5
2015Jameis Winston, T.B.1658.3252.6221584.2
2023Will Levis, Ten.958.4200.98484.2
2023Aidan O'Connell, L.V.1061.5214.311683.9
2013Mike Glennon, T.B.1359.4200.619983.9
2011Andy Dalton, Cin.1658.1212.4201380.4
2008Joe Flacco, Balt.1660.0185.7141280.3
2025Cam Ward, Ten.1759.8186.415780.2
2016Carson Wentz, Phi.1662.4236.4161479.3
2022Kenny Pickett, Pitt.1262.5190.37679.0
2013EJ Manuel, Buff.1058.8197.211977.7
2018Sam Darnold, NYJ1357.7220.4171577.6
2017Mitchell Trubisky, Chi.1259.4182.87777.5
2014Derek Carr, Oak.1658.1204.4211276.6
2012Andrew Luck, Ind.1654.1273.4231876.5
2010Sam Bradford, St.L.1660.0219.5181576.5
2012Ryan Tannehill, Mia.1658.3205.9121376.1
2021Justin Fields, Chi.1059.2180.07975.3
2006Matt Leinart, Ari.1156.5226.6111174.9
2023Bryce Young, Car.1659.8179.8111073.7
2012Brandon Weeden, Cle.1557.4225.7141772.6
2007Trent Edwards, Buff.956.6170.37772.6
2021Trevor Lawrence, Jac.1759.6214.2121771.9
2003Byron Leftwich, Jac.1356.3207.3121670.1
2011Christian Ponder, Min.1054.4175.4131370.1
2021Zach Wilson, NYJ1355.6179.591169.7
2014Blake Bortles, Jac.1359.0206.591568.8
2018Josh Allen, Buff.1153.4181.8101268.5
2018Josh Rosen, Ari.1355.2172.5111367.7
2006Vince Young, Ten.1352.3158.9111267.5
2013Geno Smith, NYJ1655.8190.4122166.5
2002Chad Hutchinson, Dall.950.8172.87866.3
2006Bruce Gradkowski, T.B.1154.3149.29966.3
2011Blaine Gabbert, Jac.1450.4154.4121164.8
2009Mark Sanchez, NYJ1553.8162.9122063.0
2002David Carr, Hou.1652.5162.091562.8
2010Jimmy Clausen, Car.1053.4145.23762.1
2003Kyle Boller, Balt.951.6138.97962.1
2002Joey Harrington, Det.1250.6186.8121561.5
2009Matthew Stafford, Det.1053.3226.7132061.0
2017DeShone Kizer, Cle.1553.6192.9112260.5
2009Josh Freeman, T.B.954.5204.3101859.8
2005Kyle Orton, Chi.1551.6124.691359.7

Statistics compiled using search tools at Pro-Football-Reference.com

—Ian Allan

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