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What is Marvin Harrison's ceiling?

Heralded receiver has modest first season

What are we making of Marvin Harrison? One year in, he’s looking good but not necessarily great.

The rookie taken just after him, Malik Nabers, was a lot more productive and dynamic last year. So was the other LSU receiver taken in the first round, Brian Thomas. Second-rounder Ladd McConkey was a lot busier.

Harrison managed 8 touchdowns, but he finished the season with a relatively modest 62 catches for 885 yards. That’s under 4 catches per week.

It’s just one season, but Harrison doesn’t seem to have an elite top gear. (He had the good business sense to not confirm as much by running at the combine last year). I think pretty much every team, if given the choice today, would take both Nabers and Thomas before Harrison.

But Harrison also doesn’t look like a bust. Below see the rundown of the 31 wide receivers selected with top-10 picks in the 32-team era. His first-year numbers are above-average when compared to those guys, whether by total production (PPR scoring), per-game production or yards per target.

He comes in slightly below-average in catch percentage, but he ran more downfield routes than most of those guys.

There’s been a fair number of top-10 receivers who have been misses, but they all tend to show up in the bottom third in whatever metric you choose. Harrison is comfortable above those guys.

WIDE RECEIVERS SELECTED WITH TOP-10 PICKS
YearPlayerGRecYdsAvgTDPPRRk
2021Ja'Marr Chase, Cin.1781145518.013306.65
2024• Malik Nabers, NYG15109120411.17273.66
2021Jaylen Waddle, Mia.1610410159.86247.812
2014Mike Evans, T.B.1568105115.512245.113
2011A.J. Green, Cin.1565105716.37218.017
2022Garrett Wilson, NYJ1783110313.34217.721
2015Amari Cooper, Oak.1672107014.96214.721
2011Julio Jones, Atl.135495917.88203.521
2014Sammy Watkins, Buff.166598215.16200.027
2024Marvin Harrison, Ari.176288514.38198.530
2021DeVonta Smith, Phil.176491614.35187.630
2003Andre Johnson, Hou.166697614.84186.622
2004Larry Fitzgerald, Ari.165878013.58185.431
2012Justin Blackmon, Jac.166486513.55184.829
2022Drake London, Atl.177286612.04184.628
2004Roy Williams, Det.145481715.18183.832
2007Calvin Johnson, Det.154875615.84158.838
2024• Rome Odunze, Chi.175473413.63146.949
2013Tavon Austin, St.L.134041810.54132.953
2009Michael Crabtree, S.F.114862513.02122.560
2005Braylon Edwards, Cle.103251216.03101.267
2007Ted Ginn, Mia.163442012.4294.374
2005Troy Williamson, Min.142437215.5276.082
2017Corey Davis, Ten.113437511.0071.585
2005Mike Williams, Det.142935012.1170.088
2003Charles Rogers, Det.52224311.1366.088
2004Reggie Williams, Jac.16272689.9163.893
2009Darrius Heyward-Bey, Oak.11912413.8129.3118
2017Mike Williams, LAC1011958.6020.5139
2017John Ross, Cin.300--01.2199
2015Kevin White, Chi.000--0.0--

—Ian Allan

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