Fantasy Index

Factoid

Carson Palmer / Arizona offense

Carson Palmer is headed to Arizona, and that's a fixer-upper offense he'll take over. Arizona converted only 25 percent on third downs last year, the worst by any team since 2005.

Offensive line issues played a huge role, of course, and Arizona also didn't have much at quarterback, where they were using Kevin Kolb, John Skelton and others.

Things look certain to be better. We're confident there. When you're at the bottom of the well, there's nowhere to go but up.

Of all the other teams that have converted under 30 percent on third downs in the last 10 years, all of them were at least somewhat better the next season. Only one of those teams, however (the 2005 Giants) were not only better, but better than the NFL average (which over the last 10 years is about 38 percent on third downs).

Good luck, Carson.


CONVERTING UNDER 30% ON 3RD DOWNS
   Pct.   Next Yr

   24.0%   34.4%   2005   San Francisco
   24.0%   36.5%   2002   Dallas
   25.1%   28.8%   2004   Chicago
   25.2%                2012   Arizona
   25.8%   37.9%   2009   Buffalo
   25.8%   30.9%   2002   Houston
   27.3%   36.7%   2009   Kansas City
   27.8%   32.2%   2010   Arizona
   28.1%   32.1%   2011   St. Louis
   28.5%   29.6%   2008   Oakland
   28.6%   35.6%   2002   Carolina
   28.8%   35.9%   2008   Detroit
   28.8%   36.8%   2005   Chicago
   29.1%   33.0%   2004   Cleveland
   29.3%   37.0%   2010   Washington
   29.4%   35.1%   2011   San Francisco
   29.5%   39.6%   2004   NY Giants
   29.6%   34.1%   2009   Oakland
   29.6%                2012      Jacksonville
   29.6%   35.1%   2002   Detroit
   29.8%   31.9%   2009   San Francisco
   29.9%   36.3%   2003   Atlanta


^aEUR"Ian Allan

Fantasy Index