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Factoid

Rookie quarterbacks

Mike Glennon's solid first-year numbers

What is Mike Glennon all about? That’s one of the big issues facing Lovie Smith in Tampa Bay. Can Glennon be their long-term solution at quarterback? Or should the Bucs be on the lookout for another young arm?

Glennon’s rookie numbers were surprisingly good. He completed 59 percent of his passes, with 19 TDs and 9 interceptions. That’s good for a rookie.

In the last 10 years, 32 quarterbacks selected in the first, second or third round has attempted at least 100 passes as a rookie. Of those group, only a half-dozen finished with better passer ratings in their first year, and it’s a nice-looking group – RG3, Russell Wilson, Roethlisberger, Cutler, Ryan and Newton.

ROOKIE PASSERS, 2003-2013 DRAFTS
YearPasserPctTDIntRating
2012Robert Griffin III65.6%205102.4
2012Russell Wilson64.1%2610100.0
2004Ben Roethlisberger66.4%171198.1
2006Jay Cutler59.1%9588.5
2008Matt Ryan61.1%161187.7
2011Cam Newton60.0%211784.5
2013Mike Glennon59.4%19983.9
2012Nick Foles63.1%6582.1
2011Andy Dalton58.1%201380.4
2008Joe Flacco60.0%141280.3
2013EJ Manuel58.8%11977.7
2012Andrew Luck54.1%231876.5
2010Sam Bradford60.0%181576.5
2012Ryan Tannehill58.3%121376.1
2010Colt McCoy60.8%6974.5
2006Matt Leinart56.8%111274.0
2003Byron Leftwich57.2%141673.0
2012Brandon Weeden57.4%141772.6
2007Trent Edwards56.1%7870.4
2005Charlie Frye59.8%4670.2
2011Christian Ponder54.3%131370.1
2006Vince Young51.5%121366.7
2013Geno Smith55.8%122166.5
2011Blaine Gabbert50.8%121165.4
2009Mark Sanchez53.8%122063.0
2003Kyle Boller51.8%7962.4
2009Matthew Stafford53.3%132061.0
2009Josh Freeman54.5%101859.8
2010Jimmy Clausen52.5%3958.4
2004Eli Manning48.2%6955.4
2007John Beck56.1%1650.3
2005Alex Smith50.9%11140.8

Note that passer rating is not necessarily the silver bullet of player indicators. The game is constantly changing, and it’s easier now to finish with an 84 passer rating than it was 5-10 years ago. And guys grow and improve at different rates. Note that Eli Manning, Matthew Stafford and Alex Smith all played poorly as rookies, and they would rank a lot higher if you simply ranked these quarterbacks 1 thru 32. They’d all rank ahead of Matt Leinart, Colt McCoy, Charlie Frye and a lot of others.

Is Glennon for real? Or should the Bucs be looking to add another arm?

—Ian Allan

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