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Strength of Schedule

Colts, Titans, Eagles appear to have easiest schedules

Checking in again with some revised Strength of Schedule numbers. It’s too early in the year to use 2014 data (the Texans are 2-0, while the Saints are 0-2, so what’s the point in that?). The 2013 data is too outdated.

So I’m working off my own estimations.

If the 32 teams were each to play an average schedule, I would expect the win-loss records would look something like this …

POWER RANKINGS
TeamWLTPct
Seattle1330.813
Denver1231.781
New England1150.688
Cincinnati1051.656
Carolina1060.625
Green Bay1060.625
Indianapolis1060.625
New Orleans1060.625
Arizona961.594
Philadelphia961.594
San Diego961.594
Atlanta970.563
Baltimore970.563
San Francisco970.563
Detroit871.531
Chicago880.500
Buffalo781.469
Kansas City781.469
Miami781.469
Minnesota781.469
NY Jets781.469
Pittsburgh781.469
Tennessee781.469
Dallas790.438
Houston6100.375
Washington5101.344
Cleveland5110.313
St. Louis5110.313
Jacksonville4111.281
NY Giants4111.281
Tampa Bay4111.281
Oakland2131.156

Taking those numbers and plugging them into the 2014 schedule, the Strength of Schedule numbers look something like this (for the remaining games – Weeks 3-17).

The Colts, Titans, Eagles and Texans appear to have the easiest schedules the rest of the way.

The Raiders, Panthers, Rams and Jets project to play the hardest schedules.

ESTIMATED STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (Weeks 3-17)
TeamWLTPct
Indianapolis961280.429
Tennessee1001240.446
Philadelphia1041200.464
Houston1041191.467
Dallas1051190.469
Seattle1061180.473
San Diego1061180.473
Baltimore1061171.475
Jacksonville1071161.480
NY Giants1081160.482
Cleveland1081160.482
Washington1081160.482
Atlanta1081151.484
Cincinnati1101140.491
Pittsburgh1111121.498
Denver1121120.500
Miami1131110.504
Buffalo1131101.507
Kansas City1141100.509
Minnesota1141091.511
New Orleans1151090.513
Arizona1161080.518
San Francisco1161071.520
New England1161071.520
Green Bay1171070.522
Detroit1171061.525
Chicago1181051.529
Tampa Bay1191041.533
NY Jets1201031.538
St. Louis1211021.542
Carolina1221011.547
Oakland126971.565

—Ian Allan

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