Fantasy Index

header banner img
OUR FANTASY BASEBALL MAGAZINE IS BACK! PRE-ORDER NOW
Win here.

Scheduletron

Updated strength of schedule

Washington's offense should be hindered by scheduling

The Monday night game is in the books, so a good time to take another look at the scheduling. This week I’m looking at the next four games for each team. (For most teams, Weeks 10-13; for those that still have a bye, Weeks 10-14).

Looking solely at touchdowns Miami, Arizona and Kansas City project to play the easiest schedules during the next month. They’re all playing their next four against defenses currently on pace (on average) to allow over 44 touchdowns. (That’s not including defense and special teams.)

Washington and San Francisco project to play the hardest schedules, facing defense that on average should finish the season allowing under 32 touchdowns. Atlanta has the league’s highest-scoring offense right now, but it projects to play the league’s 3rd-hardest schedule.

SCHEDULE, TOUCHDOWNS (next 4 games)
TeamAvg
Miami2.84
Arizona2.77
Kansas City2.75
NY Giants2.73
Baltimore2.69
Chicago2.69
Houston2.66
NY Jets2.64
Buffalo2.60
San Diego2.56
Philadelphia2.52
Pittsburgh2.52
New England2.52
Seattle2.47
Denver2.44
Carolina2.38
Los Angeles2.36
Oakland2.33
New Orleans2.33
Detroit2.28
Cleveland2.28
Tampa Bay2.25
Tennessee2.18
Minnesota2.17
Jacksonville2.17
Indianapolis2.14
Green Bay2.13
Dallas2.13
Cincinnati2.11
Atlanta2.03
San Francisco1.97
Washington1.81

Ben Roethlisberger and Cam Newton both come off lesser games, but scheduling suggests both will be better in the near future. Pittsburgh, Carolina and Kansas City have the easiest upcoming schedules for passing, with their next four games against defenses that on average are allowing over 276 passing yards per game.

Jacksonville, Atlanta and Washington project to play the hardest schedules during the next month for passing.

SCHEDULE, PASSING (next 4 games)
TeamAvg
Pittsburgh281.9
Carolina278.1
Kansas City276.1
Los Angeles275.2
Chicago275.2
Philadelphia275.0
Seattle274.8
NY Giants273.8
Cleveland270.6
Houston270.3
Buffalo269.4
Denver268.2
Baltimore264.6
Tampa Bay264.5
NY Jets262.3
Indianapolis262.0
San Diego261.5
Arizona258.5
Oakland257.4
Cincinnati256.8
New England256.8
New Orleans255.8
Tennessee254.9
Miami254.7
Detroit254.6
Dallas252.3
Minnesota250.9
Green Bay245.0
San Francisco242.9
Washington240.2
Atlanta237.8
Jacksonville235.1

The Jets, Cardinals and Bears project to have the easiest rushing schedules in the next month. All are playing schedules against defenses allowing an average of over 125 yards per game.

Washington, Philadelphia and Cleveland project to have the hardest upcoming schedules for rushing

SCHEDULE, RUSHING (next 4 games)
TeamAvg
NY Jets127.0
Arizona125.3
Chicago125.1
Baltimore121.2
New England117.7
Jacksonville117.7
NY Giants115.7
San Diego114.2
Miami113.3
Green Bay113.3
Buffalo111.9
Carolina111.7
Denver111.6
Pittsburgh110.4
San Francisco110.2
Oakland109.2
Atlanta108.1
Los Angeles106.7
Tennessee105.0
Minnesota104.9
Detroit104.8
Kansas City103.7
New Orleans103.0
Tampa Bay102.4
Seattle100.9
Indianapolis100.6
Houston98.2
Dallas98.2
Cincinnati96.5
Cleveland96.4
Philadelphia95.5
Washington89.3

I saw last week that a reader wanted to see defensive numbers. I will get those posted later in the week, when I have some extra time.

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index