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Updated strength of schedule

Final month looks friendly for Falcons

As we get ready for the final quarter of the regular season, let’s pause to look at Strength of Schedule. Based on how teams have been playing, it looks like the Atlanta Falcons have by far the league’s easiest remaining schedule.

Atlanta’s final four games are against teams that currently are a combined 14-34. Five other teams have schedules that are at least 10 games under .500 – Seahawks, 49ers, Vikings, Bills and Texans. Houston, of course, is in that three-way tie for the AFC South lead.

Denver is on the outside looking it, and it’s remaining schedule is the hardest in the league, with the Titans, Raiders, Patriots and Kansas City sitting at a combined 35-13. Three other teams have schedules that are 10 games over .500 – Kansas City, Philadelphia and the Giants.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE, Wins (Weeks 14-17)
TeamWLTPct
Atlanta14340.292
Seattle16311.344
San Francisco17310.354
Minnesota17310.354
Buffalo17310.354
Houston18291.385
Washington20280.417
Cincinnati20280.417
San Diego23250.479
Los Angeles21252.458
Cleveland22251.469
NY Jets24240.500
Jacksonville24240.500
Indianapolis24240.500
Tennessee25230.521
Tampa Bay25230.521
New England25230.521
Miami24231.510
Arizona24231.510
Pittsburgh25221.531
Green Bay25221.531
Carolina25221.531
New Orleans26211.552
Chicago26211.552
Baltimore26211.552
Oakland28200.583
Detroit28200.583
Dallas28200.583
Kansas City29190.604
NY Giants30171.635
Philadelphia32151.677
Denver35130.729

If we instead look at just points allowed, the Falcons, Panthers and Chargers on paper should play the easiest schedules. Atlanta’s final four are against teams currently allowing an average of 26.7 points per game – over a point more than any other schedule.

The Packers, Ravens, Eagles and Steelers project to play the hardest schedules.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE, Points (Weeks 14-17)
TeamW
Atlanta26.73
Carolina25.65
San Diego25.29
Tampa Bay25.27
Minnesota24.94
Seattle24.67
Houston24.56
Buffalo24.44
San Francisco24.40
New Orleans24.02
Los Angeles23.85
Kansas City23.81
NY Jets23.48
Oakland22.94
Cleveland22.67
Indianapolis22.46
Jacksonville22.35
Washington22.29
Arizona22.21
Chicago22.04
Cincinnati21.92
Denver21.75
Tennessee21.69
Miami21.65
Detroit21.56
New England21.27
NY Giants21.23
Dallas21.15
Pittsburgh20.29
Philadelphia20.08
Baltimore19.73
Green Bay19.25

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index