Fantasy Index Weekly

January 19, 2017

Weekend preview

Player projections for Sunday's players

The conference championship games are three days away, and the Packers are the team with most serious injury concerns. As well as Aaron Rodgers has been playing, will there be anyone left to catch passes from him?

Jordy Nelson has been a limited participant in practices the last two days, but team reporters say he’s been mostly jogging around with no shoulder pads on. With the broken ribs he suffered against New York, it’s iffy that he’ll play at all. Tough to envision him both playing and being an impact-type receiver like he was in the regular season.

The Nelson injury is compounded by Davante Adams and Geronimo Allison both missing practice entirely on Wednesday and Thursday. Mike McCarthy says that if it were the regular season, he would have ruled them out. Adams had his ankle twisted late in the Dallas game; he’s the more important of the two. Allison takes on added importance with Adams and Nelson not healthy; normally he’s their fourth receiver. If Adams plays at all, he should be limited at best. Allison isn’t 100 percent but is expected to play.

With the way the injuries are piling up, I think it’s fair to wonder if Matt Ryan might outperform Aaron Rodgers. And I think we need to look at Randall Cobb and Jared Cook being used extensively, and Ty Montgomery catching a few more passes out of the backfield. When Adams missed a couple of plays late against Dallas, the Packers ran Trevor Davis onto the field; he might need to be a regular this week. They also have Jeff Janis.

For the Falcons, Julio Jones hasn’t practiced at all. He aggravated his toe injury in the Seattle game. But Jones says he’s fine and definitely will play on Sunday. (And Atlanta is otherwise healthy.)

Nothing too notable with the Steelers. Tight end Ladarius Green (concussion) has missed the last four games. He was limited in practice on Wednesday but didn’t practice at all on Thursday. That is related in part to the flu traveling through the team, but Green doesn’t look likely to be a big factor – unsure if he’ll even be active.

LeVeon Bell didn’t practice Thursday for what Mike Tomlin called personal reasons, but Bell will definitely to be ready to roll.

For the Patriots, every player was at least a limited participant in practice. Chris Hogan (thigh) and Martellus Bennett (knee) were nicked up in the Houston game, but they should be good to go. Malcolm Mitchell (knee) hasn’t played since Week 16; maybe he returns, but probably more likely they’ll go with their veterans – Michael Floyd and Danny Amendola.

Factoring in those injuries, I’ve made a few revisions to my projections for the week. This is standard scoring. Below those rankings, I’ve got the PPR rankings.

PLAYER PROJECTIONS FOR THIS WEEKEND (Standard scoring)
Pos	Tm	Player	Pass	Run	Rec	TD	Pts
QB	GB	Aaron Rodgers	292	22	0	2.78	28.3
QB	ATL	Matt Ryan	310	6	0	2.62	26.6
QB	NE	Tom Brady	285	5	0	2.13	23.5
QB	PIT	Ben Roethlisberger	262	3	0	1.45	19.3
RB	PIT	LeVeon Bell	0	103	43	.69	18.7
RB	ATL	Devonta Freeman	0	55	34	.83	13.9
WR	PIT	Antonio Brown	0	1	85	.50	11.6
WR	ATL	Julio Jones	0	0	81	.56	11.5
WR	GB	Randall Cobb	0	1	68	.71	11.2
WR	NE	Julian Edelman	0	3	81	.44	11.0
RB	ATL	Tevin Coleman	0	49	19	.67	10.9
RB	GB	Ty Montgomery	0	50	28	.48	10.6
RB	NE	Dion Lewis	0	52	24	.34	9.6
WR	ATL	Taylor Gabriel	0	1	63	.53	9.5
RB	NE	LeGarrette Blount	0	46	3	.69	9.1
PK	NE	Stephen Gostkowski	0	0	0	.00	8.8
TE	GB	Jared Cook	0	0	56	.45	8.3
PK	ATL	Matt Bryant	0	0	0	.00	8.2
WR	GB	Davante Adams	0	0	50	.47	7.8
WR	NE	Chris Hogan	0	0	50	.40	7.4
PK	GB	Mason Crosby	0	0	0	.00	7.3
WR	ATL	Mohamed Sanu	0	0	50	.37	7.2
PK	PIT	Chris Boswell	0	0	0	.00	6.7
TE	NE	Martellus Bennett	0	0	37	.47	6.6
WR	PIT	Eli Rogers	0	0	48	.23	6.2
WR	GB	Geronimo Allison	0	0	32	.29	5.0
RB	GB	Aaron Ripkowski	0	22	11	.25	4.8
WR	NE	Malcolm Mitchell	0	0	29	.21	4.1
TE	PIT	Jesse James	0	0	29	.19	4.0
RB	NE	James White	0	8	21	.15	3.9
TE	ATL	Levine Toilolo	0	0	22	.21	3.4
WR	NE	Michael Floyd	0	0	20	.14	2.9
WR	GB	Jordy Nelson	0	0	15	.13	2.3
WR	PIT	DeMarcus Ayers	0	0	16	.09	2.1
TE	GB	Richard Rodgers	0	0	12	.13	2.0
WR	ATL	Justin Hardy	0	0	13	.11	1.9
WR	GB	Trevor Davis	0	0	12	.10	1.8
WR	PIT	Cobi Hamilton	0	0	13	.07	1.8
TE	ATL	Austin Hooper	0	0	9	.11	1.6
RB	ATL	Patrick DiMarco	0	0	8	.13	1.6
WR	ATL	Aldrick Robinson	0	0	9	.08	1.4
WR	PIT	Darrius Heyward-Bey	0	0	11	.06	1.4
WR	GB	Jeff Janis	0	0	9	.08	1.4
RB	GB	Christine Michael	0	8	1	.05	1.3
WR	NE	Danny Amendola	0	0	9	.06	1.2
TE	PIT	Ladarius Green	0	0	8	.06	1.1
TE	NE	Matt Lengel	0	0	6	.06	.9
RB	PIT	DeAngelo Williams	0	5	3	.04	.9
RB	NE	James Develin	0	0	6	.04	.9
TE	PIT	Xavier Grimble	0	0	5	.04	.8
TE	ATL	Joshua Perkins	0	0	3	.03	.5
WR	PIT	Sammie Coates	0	0	3	.01	.4
RB	PIT	Will Johnson	0	1	1	.02	.3
QB	NE	Jimmy Garoppolo	4	0	0	.03	.3
RB	GB	James Starks	0	1	1	.01	.3
QB	PIT	Landry Jones	4	0	0	.02	.3
QB	GB	Brett Hundley	3	0	0	.03	.3
QB	ATL	Matt Schaub	3	0	0	.02	.2
WR	ATL	Nick Williams	0	0	1	.01	.2
RB	GB	Joe Kerridge	0	0	1	.01	.2
TE	PIT	David Johnson	0	0	1	.01	.1
RB	NE	Brandon Bolden	0	0	1	.01	.1
WR	ATL	Eric Weems	0	0	0	.01	.1
RB	PIT	Fitzgerald Toussaint	0	0	0	.01	.1
RB	NE	D.J. Foster	0	0	0	.00	.1
RB	ATL	Terron Ward	0	0	0	.00	.1
TE	ATL	D.J. Tialavea	0	0	0	.00	.0
WR	NE	Matthew Slater	0	0	0	.00	.0

PLAYER PROJECTIONS FOR THIS WEEKEND (PPR scoring)
Pos	Tm	Player	Pass	Run	Rec	TD	Pts
QB	GB	Aaron Rodgers	292	22	0	2.78	28.3
QB	ATL	Matt Ryan	310	6	0	2.62	26.6
RB	PIT	LeVeon Bell	0	103	43	.69	23.9
QB	NE	Tom Brady	285	5	0	2.13	23.5
QB	PIT	Ben Roethlisberger	262	3	0	1.45	19.3
WR	NE	Julian Edelman	0	3	81	.44	18.7
WR	PIT	Antonio Brown	0	1	85	.50	18.5
RB	ATL	Devonta Freeman	0	55	34	.83	18.4
WR	GB	Randall Cobb	0	1	68	.71	17.7
WR	ATL	Julio Jones	0	0	81	.56	16.6
RB	GB	Ty Montgomery	0	50	28	.48	14.0
WR	ATL	Taylor Gabriel	0	1	63	.53	13.4
TE	GB	Jared Cook	0	0	56	.45	13.1
RB	NE	Dion Lewis	0	52	24	.34	12.9
RB	ATL	Tevin Coleman	0	49	19	.67	12.8
WR	ATL	Mohamed Sanu	0	0	50	.37	11.7
WR	GB	Davante Adams	0	0	50	.47	11.4
WR	NE	Chris Hogan	0	0	50	.40	10.5
WR	PIT	Eli Rogers	0	0	48	.23	10.2
RB	NE	LeGarrette Blount	0	46	3	.69	9.7
TE	NE	Martellus Bennett	0	0	37	.47	9.5
PK	NE	Stephen Gostkowski	0	0	0	.00	8.8
PK	ATL	Matt Bryant	0	0	0	.00	8.2
WR	GB	Geronimo Allison	0	0	32	.29	7.6
TE	PIT	Jesse James	0	0	29	.19	7.4
PK	GB	Mason Crosby	0	0	0	.00	7.3
RB	GB	Aaron Ripkowski	0	22	11	.25	6.8
PK	PIT	Chris Boswell	0	0	0	.00	6.7
WR	NE	Malcolm Mitchell	0	0	29	.21	6.4
RB	NE	James White	0	8	21	.15	6.1
TE	ATL	Levine Toilolo	0	0	22	.21	5.5
WR	NE	Michael Floyd	0	0	20	.14	4.3
WR	GB	Jordy Nelson	0	0	15	.13	3.4
WR	PIT	DeMarcus Ayers	0	0	16	.09	3.3
TE	GB	Richard Rodgers	0	0	12	.13	3.2
WR	ATL	Justin Hardy	0	0	13	.11	3.1
WR	PIT	Cobi Hamilton	0	0	13	.07	2.8
WR	GB	Trevor Davis	0	0	12	.10	2.8
RB	ATL	Patrick DiMarco	0	0	8	.13	2.6
TE	ATL	Austin Hooper	0	0	9	.11	2.4
WR	PIT	Darrius Heyward-Bey	0	0	11	.06	2.2
WR	GB	Jeff Janis	0	0	9	.08	2.0
WR	ATL	Aldrick Robinson	0	0	9	.08	2.0
WR	NE	Danny Amendola	0	0	9	.06	2.0
RB	NE	James Develin	0	0	6	.04	1.8
TE	PIT	Ladarius Green	0	0	8	.06	1.7
TE	NE	Matt Lengel	0	0	6	.06	1.5
RB	GB	Christine Michael	0	8	1	.05	1.4
RB	PIT	DeAngelo Williams	0	5	3	.04	1.3
TE	PIT	Xavier Grimble	0	0	5	.04	1.3
TE	ATL	Joshua Perkins	0	0	3	.03	.7
WR	PIT	Sammie Coates	0	0	3	.01	.5
RB	PIT	Will Johnson	0	1	1	.02	.5
RB	GB	James Starks	0	1	1	.01	.4
RB	GB	Joe Kerridge	0	0	1	.01	.3
QB	NE	Jimmy Garoppolo	4	0	0	.03	.3
WR	ATL	Nick Williams	0	0	1	.01	.3
QB	PIT	Landry Jones	4	0	0	.02	.3
QB	GB	Brett Hundley	3	0	0	.03	.3
TE	PIT	David Johnson	0	0	1	.01	.2
QB	ATL	Matt Schaub	3	0	0	.02	.2
RB	NE	Brandon Bolden	0	0	1	.01	.2
WR	ATL	Eric Weems	0	0	0	.01	.1
RB	NE	D.J. Foster	0	0	0	.00	.1
TE	ATL	D.J. Tialavea	0	0	0	.00	.1
RB	PIT	Fitzgerald Toussaint	0	0	0	.01	.1
RB	ATL	Terron Ward	0	0	0	.00	.1
WR	NE	Matthew Slater	0	0	0	.00	.0

—Ian Allan

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