Fantasy Index Weekly

January 20, 2017

Weekend preview

Player projections for Sunday's players

The four remaining teams have released their injury reports. No big changes relative to yesterday. It’s the Packers with the biggest question marks entering Sunday.

Green Bay lists three of its top 4 wide receivers as questionable: Jordy Nelson (ribs), Davante Adams (ankle) and Geronimo Allison (hamstring). Nelson put in limited practices Wednesday and Thursday, while Adams and Allison haven’t practiced at all. All look like game-time decisions.

With it being an all-hands-on-deck situation, there’s a chance all will be available, but tough to count on any of them being anywhere near as effective and productive as usual. Adams at least says this ankle injury isn’t as severe as the one he played with last year.

With this injuries, I think you can count on Randall Cobb and Jared Cook being very involved in the passing game on Sunday. But with the Packers running short on weapons, I think it’s also worth pondering whether Aaron Rodgers can continue to put up the insane numbers he’s been posting recently (including over 350 passing yards in both of his playoff games).

The Packers list James Starks (concussion) as out, but I don’t see that as relevant. He’s an older, ineffective back, and I don’t think he’s even their backup tailback anymore. Should they make it to the Super Bowl, I doubt that he’ll be active.

For Atlanta, Julio Jones (toe) missed practice on Wednesday and Thursday but returned to put in a limited workout on Friday. Dan Quinn says everyone on his team is playing, not even listing Jones as questionable.

The Steelers list three players at questionable. James Harrison (shoulder, triceps) practiced fully on Wednesday and Friday, so he looks good to go. Ladarius Green (concussion, ill) didn’t practice on Thursday and was limited on Wednesday and Friday. One of the steps of the concussion protocol includes practicing fully; he hasn’t done that, so it doesn’t look likely that they’ll even have the option of using him. Fitzgerald Toussaint (concussion) practiced fully on Thursday and Friday, so he’s presumably ready to role, but he should play sparingly on special teams.

The Patriots list seven players as questionable, and all were limited in practice all week. Most notably, Martellus Bennett (knee), Malcolm Mitchell (knee), Danny Amendola (ankle) and Chris Hogan (thigh). Bennett, Amendola and Hogan all should be fine. Mitchell hasn’t played since Week 15 and was struggling anyway, so the Patriots might prefer to just go with more veteran pass catchers.

My revised rankings, using standard scoring. On these, you’re looking passing, rushing and receiving yards, total touchdowns (passing, rushing, receiving, returns) and fantasy points. Even though I’m listing touchdowns in one big clump, scoring is 4 for TD passes and 6 for TDs scored.

Further below are the PPR rankings.

If you want the itemized TD numbers, you can check out the TD-only rankings at the bottom.

WEEKEND PROJECTIONS (standard scoring)
Pos	Tm	Player	Pass	Rec	Run	Tot	TD	Pts
QB	GB	Aaron Rodgers	291	0	22	313	2.73	28.0
QB	ATL	Matt Ryan	307	0	6	313	2.62	26.4
QB	NE	Tom Brady	285	0	5	290	2.13	23.5
QB	PIT	Ben Roethlisberger	262	0	3	266	1.46	19.3
RB	PIT	LeVeon Bell	0	43	102	145	.70	18.7
RB	ATL	Devonta Freeman	0	34	55	89	.84	13.9
WR	PIT	Antonio Brown	0	85	1	86	.50	11.6
WR	ATL	Julio Jones	0	81	0	81	.56	11.4
WR	GB	Randall Cobb	0	68	1	69	.70	11.0
WR	NE	Julian Edelman	0	81	3	84	.44	11.0
RB	ATL	Tevin Coleman	0	19	49	68	.68	10.9
RB	GB	Ty Montgomery	0	28	50	78	.46	10.5
RB	NE	Dion Lewis	0	24	52	76	.34	9.6
WR	ATL	Taylor Gabriel	0	62	1	63	.53	9.5
RB	NE	LeGarrette Blount	0	3	46	49	.69	9.1
PK	NE	Stephen Gostkowski	0	0	0	0	.00	8.8
TE	GB	Jared Cook	0	56	0	56	.44	8.2
PK	ATL	Matt Bryant	0	0	0	0	.00	8.2
WR	GB	Davante Adams	0	50	0	50	.46	7.8
WR	NE	Chris Hogan	0	50	0	50	.40	7.4
PK	GB	Mason Crosby	0	0	0	0	.00	7.3
WR	ATL	Mohamed Sanu	0	50	0	50	.37	7.2
PK	PIT	Chris Boswell	0	0	0	0	.00	6.7
TE	NE	Martellus Bennett	0	37	0	37	.47	6.6
WR	PIT	Eli Rogers	0	48	0	48	.23	6.2
RB	GB	Aaron Ripkowski	0	11	22	33	.25	4.7
TE	PIT	Jesse James	0	29	0	29	.19	4.1
WR	GB	Geronimo Allison	0	26	0	26	.23	4.0
RB	NE	James White	0	21	8	29	.15	3.9
WR	NE	Malcolm Mitchell	0	26	0	26	.18	3.7
TE	ATL	Levine Toilolo	0	22	0	22	.21	3.4
WR	GB	Jordy Nelson	0	21	0	21	.18	3.1
WR	NE	Michael Floyd	0	20	0	20	.14	2.9
WR	PIT	DeMarcus Ayers	0	17	0	17	.09	2.3
TE	GB	Richard Rodgers	0	12	0	12	.13	1.9
WR	ATL	Justin Hardy	0	12	0	13	.11	1.9
WR	PIT	Cobi Hamilton	0	14	0	14	.08	1.9
WR	GB	Trevor Davis	0	12	0	12	.10	1.8
WR	NE	Danny Amendola	0	12	0	12	.08	1.6
TE	ATL	Austin Hooper	0	9	0	9	.11	1.6
RB	ATL	Patrick DiMarco	0	7	0	8	.13	1.6
WR	PIT	Darrius Heyward-Bey	0	12	0	12	.06	1.6
WR	ATL	Aldrick Robinson	0	9	0	9	.08	1.4
WR	GB	Jeff Janis	0	9	0	9	.08	1.3
RB	GB	Christine Michael	0	1	8	9	.05	1.3
TE	PIT	Xavier Grimble	0	8	0	8	.06	1.1
TE	NE	Matt Lengel	0	6	0	6	.06	.9
RB	PIT	DeAngelo Williams	0	3	4	7	.04	.9
RB	NE	James Develin	0	6	0	6	.04	.9
TE	ATL	Joshua Perkins	0	3	0	3	.03	.5
TE	PIT	Ladarius Green	0	3	0	3	.03	.4
WR	PIT	Sammie Coates	0	3	0	3	.01	.4
RB	PIT	Will Johnson	0	1	1	2	.02	.3
QB	NE	Jimmy Garoppolo	4	0	0	4	.03	.3
RB	GB	James Starks	0	1	1	2	.01	.3
QB	PIT	Landry Jones	4	0	0	4	.02	.3
QB	GB	Brett Hundley	3	0	0	3	.03	.2
QB	ATL	Matt Schaub	2	0	0	2	.02	.2
WR	ATL	Nick Williams	0	1	0	1	.01	.2
RB	GB	Joe Kerridge	0	1	0	1	.01	.2
TE	PIT	David Johnson	0	1	0	1	.01	.1
RB	NE	Brandon Bolden	0	1	0	1	.01	.1
WR	ATL	Eric Weems	0	0	0	0	.01	.1
RB	PIT	Fitzgerald Toussaint	0	0	0	0	.01	.1
RB	NE	D.J. Foster	0	0	0	0	.00	.1
RB	ATL	Terron Ward	0	0	0	0	.00	.1
TE	ATL	D.J. Tialavea	0	0	0	0	.00	.0
WR	NE	Matthew Slater	0	0	0	0	.00	.0

WEEKEND PROJECTIONS (PPR)
Pos	Tm	Player	Avg	Rec	Run	Tot	TD	Pts
QB	GB	Aaron Rodgers	.0	0	22	313	2.73	28.0
QB	ATL	Matt Ryan	.0	0	6	313	2.62	26.4
RB	PIT	LeVeon Bell	5.2	43	102	145	.70	23.9
QB	NE	Tom Brady	.0	0	5	290	2.13	23.5
QB	PIT	Ben Roethlisberger	.0	0	3	266	1.46	19.3
WR	NE	Julian Edelman	7.7	81	3	84	.44	18.7
WR	PIT	Antonio Brown	6.9	85	1	86	.50	18.5
RB	ATL	Devonta Freeman	4.4	34	55	89	.84	18.4
WR	GB	Randall Cobb	6.6	68	1	69	.70	17.6
WR	ATL	Julio Jones	5.0	81	0	81	.56	16.4
RB	GB	Ty Montgomery	3.4	28	50	78	.46	13.9
WR	ATL	Taylor Gabriel	3.9	62	1	63	.53	13.3
TE	GB	Jared Cook	4.8	56	0	56	.44	13.0
RB	NE	Dion Lewis	3.2	24	52	76	.34	12.9
RB	ATL	Tevin Coleman	2.0	19	49	68	.68	12.8
WR	ATL	Mohamed Sanu	4.4	50	0	50	.37	11.6
WR	GB	Davante Adams	3.5	50	0	50	.46	11.3
WR	NE	Chris Hogan	3.1	50	0	50	.40	10.5
WR	PIT	Eli Rogers	4.0	48	0	48	.23	10.2
RB	NE	LeGarrette Blount	.6	3	46	49	.69	9.7
TE	NE	Martellus Bennett	2.9	37	0	37	.47	9.5
PK	NE	Stephen Gostkowski	.0	0	0	0	.00	8.8
PK	ATL	Matt Bryant	.0	0	0	0	.00	8.2
TE	PIT	Jesse James	3.4	29	0	29	.19	7.4
PK	GB	Mason Crosby	.0	0	0	0	.00	7.3
RB	GB	Aaron Ripkowski	2.0	11	22	33	.25	6.7
PK	PIT	Chris Boswell	.0	0	0	0	.00	6.7
WR	GB	Geronimo Allison	2.1	26	0	26	.23	6.2
RB	NE	James White	2.3	21	8	29	.15	6.1
WR	NE	Malcolm Mitchell	2.1	26	0	26	.18	5.8
TE	ATL	Levine Toilolo	2.1	22	0	22	.21	5.5
WR	GB	Jordy Nelson	1.6	21	0	21	.18	4.7
WR	NE	Michael Floyd	1.4	20	0	20	.14	4.3
WR	PIT	DeMarcus Ayers	1.3	17	0	17	.09	3.5
TE	GB	Richard Rodgers	1.3	12	0	12	.13	3.2
WR	ATL	Justin Hardy	1.2	12	0	13	.11	3.1
WR	PIT	Cobi Hamilton	1.1	14	0	14	.08	3.0
WR	GB	Trevor Davis	.9	12	0	12	.10	2.7
WR	NE	Danny Amendola	1.0	12	0	12	.08	2.7
RB	ATL	Patrick DiMarco	1.0	7	0	8	.13	2.6
TE	ATL	Austin Hooper	.8	9	0	9	.11	2.4
WR	PIT	Darrius Heyward-Bey	.9	12	0	12	.06	2.4
WR	GB	Jeff Janis	.7	9	0	9	.08	2.0
WR	ATL	Aldrick Robinson	.6	9	0	9	.08	2.0
TE	PIT	Xavier Grimble	.8	8	0	8	.06	1.9
RB	NE	James Develin	1.0	6	0	6	.04	1.8
TE	NE	Matt Lengel	.5	6	0	6	.06	1.5
RB	GB	Christine Michael	.2	1	8	9	.05	1.4
RB	PIT	DeAngelo Williams	.4	3	4	7	.04	1.3
TE	ATL	Joshua Perkins	.3	3	0	3	.03	.7
TE	PIT	Ladarius Green	.2	3	0	3	.03	.6
WR	PIT	Sammie Coates	.1	3	0	3	.01	.5
RB	PIT	Will Johnson	.2	1	1	2	.02	.5
RB	GB	James Starks	.2	1	1	2	.01	.4
RB	GB	Joe Kerridge	.1	1	0	1	.01	.3
QB	NE	Jimmy Garoppolo	.0	0	0	4	.03	.3
WR	ATL	Nick Williams	.1	1	0	1	.01	.3
QB	PIT	Landry Jones	.0	0	0	4	.02	.3
QB	GB	Brett Hundley	.0	0	0	3	.03	.2
TE	PIT	David Johnson	.1	1	0	1	.01	.2
QB	ATL	Matt Schaub	.0	0	0	2	.02	.2
RB	NE	Brandon Bolden	.1	1	0	1	.01	.2
WR	ATL	Eric Weems	.0	0	0	0	.01	.1
RB	NE	D.J. Foster	.0	0	0	0	.00	.1
TE	ATL	D.J. Tialavea	.0	0	0	0	.00	.1
RB	PIT	Fitzgerald Toussaint	.0	0	0	0	.01	.1
RB	ATL	Terron Ward	.0	0	0	0	.00	.1
WR	NE	Matthew Slater	.0	0	0	0	.00	.0

WEEKEND PROJECTIONS (TD-only)
Pos	Tm	Player	Pass	Rec	Run	Ret	Pts
QB	GB	Aaron Rodgers	2.54	.00	.18	.00	11.3
QB	ATL	Matt Ryan	2.58	.00	.03	.00	10.5
PK	NE	Stephen Gostkowski	.00	.00	.00	.00	8.8
QB	NE	Tom Brady	2.03	.00	.11	.00	8.7
PK	ATL	Matt Bryant	.00	.00	.00	.00	8.2
PK	GB	Mason Crosby	.00	.00	.00	.00	7.3
PK	PIT	Chris Boswell	.00	.00	.00	.00	6.7
QB	PIT	Ben Roethlisberger	1.45	.00	.01	.00	5.8
RB	ATL	Devonta Freeman	.00	.29	.55	.00	5.0
RB	PIT	LeVeon Bell	.00	.21	.49	.00	4.2
WR	GB	Randall Cobb	.00	.69	.00	.00	4.2
RB	NE	LeGarrette Blount	.00	.01	.68	.00	4.2
RB	ATL	Tevin Coleman	.00	.19	.49	.00	4.1
WR	ATL	Julio Jones	.00	.56	.00	.00	3.4
WR	ATL	Taylor Gabriel	.00	.52	.00	.00	3.2
WR	PIT	Antonio Brown	.00	.47	.01	.03	3.0
TE	NE	Martellus Bennett	.00	.47	.00	.00	2.8
RB	GB	Ty Montgomery	.00	.17	.29	.00	2.8
WR	GB	Davante Adams	.00	.46	.00	.00	2.8
WR	NE	Julian Edelman	.00	.42	.01	.01	2.6
TE	GB	Jared Cook	.00	.44	.00	.00	2.6
WR	NE	Chris Hogan	.00	.40	.00	.00	2.4
WR	ATL	Mohamed Sanu	.00	.37	.00	.00	2.2
RB	NE	Dion Lewis	.00	.13	.20	.01	2.0
RB	GB	Aaron Ripkowski	.00	.08	.17	.00	1.5
WR	PIT	Eli Rogers	.00	.23	.00	.00	1.4
WR	GB	Geronimo Allison	.00	.23	.00	.00	1.4
TE	ATL	Levine Toilolo	.00	.21	.00	.00	1.3
TE	PIT	Jesse James	.00	.19	.00	.00	1.1
WR	NE	Malcolm Mitchell	.00	.18	.00	.00	1.1
WR	GB	Jordy Nelson	.00	.18	.00	.00	1.1
RB	NE	James White	.00	.11	.04	.00	.9
WR	NE	Michael Floyd	.00	.14	.00	.00	.9
RB	ATL	Patrick DiMarco	.00	.13	.00	.00	.8
TE	GB	Richard Rodgers	.00	.13	.00	.00	.8
TE	ATL	Austin Hooper	.00	.11	.00	.00	.7
WR	ATL	Justin Hardy	.00	.10	.00	.00	.7
WR	GB	Trevor Davis	.00	.10	.00	.00	.6
WR	PIT	DeMarcus Ayers	.00	.09	.00	.00	.6
WR	NE	Danny Amendola	.00	.08	.00	.00	.5
WR	PIT	Cobi Hamilton	.00	.08	.00	.00	.5
WR	ATL	Aldrick Robinson	.00	.08	.00	.00	.5
WR	GB	Jeff Janis	.00	.08	.00	.00	.5
WR	PIT	Darrius Heyward-Bey	.00	.06	.00	.00	.4
TE	NE	Matt Lengel	.00	.06	.00	.00	.4
TE	PIT	Xavier Grimble	.00	.06	.00	.00	.4
RB	GB	Christine Michael	.00	.00	.05	.00	.3
RB	NE	James Develin	.00	.03	.01	.00	.2
RB	PIT	DeAngelo Williams	.00	.01	.02	.00	.2
TE	PIT	Ladarius Green	.00	.03	.00	.00	.2
TE	ATL	Joshua Perkins	.00	.03	.00	.00	.2
QB	NE	Jimmy Garoppolo	.03	.00	.00	.00	.1
QB	GB	Brett Hundley	.03	.00	.00	.00	.1
RB	PIT	Will Johnson	.00	.01	.01	.00	.1
WR	PIT	Sammie Coates	.00	.01	.00	.00	.1
QB	ATL	Matt Schaub	.02	.00	.00	.00	.1
QB	PIT	Landry Jones	.02	.00	.00	.00	.1
WR	ATL	Eric Weems	.00	.00	.00	.01	.1
RB	GB	Joe Kerridge	.00	.01	.00	.00	.1
WR	ATL	Nick Williams	.00	.01	.00	.00	.1
RB	GB	James Starks	.00	.01	.00	.00	.0
RB	NE	Brandon Bolden	.00	.00	.00	.00	.0
RB	PIT	Fitzgerald Toussaint	.00	.00	.00	.00	.0
TE	PIT	David Johnson	.00	.01	.00	.00	.0
RB	NE	D.J. Foster	.00	.00	.00	.00	.0
TE	ATL	D.J. Tialavea	.00	.00	.00	.00	.0
RB	ATL	Terron Ward	.00	.00	.00	.00	.0
WR	NE	Matthew Slater	.00	.00	.00	.00	.0

—Ian Allan

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Customer Service