I’m not sure Allen Hurns will even be on Jacksonville’s opening day roster. I think he’s probably their 4th-best wide receiver, and for what they’re paying him, I think the logical move is to cut him loose.
The Jaguars have two other returning wide receivers who are both better than Hurns, and they’re entering the final seasons of their rookie contracts – Allen Robinson and Marqise Lee. Lee underperformed in his first two seasons but came on last year.
And the Jaguars selected Dede Westbrook in the fourth round. He’s a small, quick playmaking receiver. Westbrook comes with the baggage of having twice been arrested (but not charged) in domestic violence issues, so he probably would have been selected in the second or third round if he had a clean background. When the Jaguars selected him in the fourth (taking on that risk), that means they must like him a lot.
So I think it’s time for Hurns to go. He signed a five-year contract worth almost $41 million prior to last year, and he’s simply not worth that kind of money. He’s not worth half that much.
Hurns played well in his first two seasons, but he really struggled last year. Especially with simply catching the ball. He dropped 6 passes while catching only 35 passes.
Across the league last year, 89 wide receivers caught at least 30 passes. Hurns had the worst drop rate of all of them.
| DROP RATES FOR WIDE RECEIVERS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rk | Player | Rec | Drop | Pct |
| 1. | Emmanuel Sanders, DEN | 79 | 0 | .0% |
| 2. | Randall Cobb, GB | 60 | 0 | .0% |
| 3. | Terrance Williams, DAL | 44 | 0 | .0% |
| 4. | Tajae Sharpe, TEN | 41 | 0 | .0% |
| 5. | Chris Hogan, NE | 38 | 0 | .0% |
| 6. | Taylor Gabriel, ATL | 35 | 0 | .0% |
| 7. | Andrew Hawkins, CLE | 33 | 0 | .0% |
| 8. | Doug Baldwin, SEA | 94 | 1 | 1.1% |
| 9. | Stefon Diggs, MIN | 84 | 1 | 1.2% |
| 10. | Pierre Garcon, WAS | 79 | 1 | 1.3% |
| 11. | Jamison Crowder, WAS | 67 | 1 | 1.5% |
| 12. | Brandon LaFell, CIN | 64 | 1 | 1.5% |
| 13. | Jeremy Kerley, SF | 64 | 1 | 1.5% |
| 14. | Mohamed Sanu, ATL | 59 | 1 | 1.7% |
| 15. | Dontrelle Inman, SD | 58 | 1 | 1.7% |
| 16. | DeVante Parker, MIA | 56 | 1 | 1.8% |
| 17. | Adam Humphries, TB | 55 | 1 | 1.8% |
| 18. | Antonio Brown, PIT | 106 | 2 | 1.9% |
| 19. | Alshon Jeffery, CHI | 52 | 1 | 1.9% |
| 20. | Cordarrelle Patterson, MIN | 52 | 1 | 1.9% |
| 21. | Dez Bryant, DAL | 50 | 1 | 2.0% |
| 22. | Jordy Nelson, GB | 97 | 2 | 2.0% |
| 23. | Eli Rogers, PIT | 48 | 1 | 2.0% |
| 24. | Jarvis Landry, MIA | 94 | 2 | 2.1% |
| 25. | Michael Thomas, NO | 92 | 2 | 2.1% |
| 26. | Jeremy Maclin, KC | 44 | 1 | 2.2% |
| 27. | Brian Quick, LA | 41 | 1 | 2.4% |
| 28. | John Brown, ARI | 39 | 1 | 2.5% |
| 29. | Cole Beasley, DAL | 75 | 2 | 2.6% |
| 30. | Mike Wallace, BAL | 72 | 2 | 2.7% |
| 31. | Larry Fitzgerald, ARI | 107 | 3 | 2.7% |
| 32. | Adam Thielen, MIN | 69 | 2 | 2.8% |
| 33. | Cameron Meredith, CHI | 66 | 2 | 2.9% |
| 34. | Eddie Royal, CHI | 33 | 1 | 2.9% |
| 35. | Malcolm Mitchell, NE | 32 | 1 | 3.0% |
| 36. | Kelvin Benjamin, CAR | 63 | 2 | 3.1% |
| 37. | Tyreek Hill, KC | 61 | 2 | 3.2% |
| 38. | Donte Moncrief, IND | 30 | 1 | 3.2% |
| 39. | Amari Cooper, OAK | 83 | 3 | 3.5% |
| 40. | Julio Jones, ATL | 83 | 3 | 3.5% |
| 41. | Tyler Boyd, CIN | 54 | 2 | 3.6% |
| 42. | Brandin Cooks, NO | 78 | 3 | 3.7% |
| 43. | Robert Woods, BUF | 51 | 2 | 3.8% |
| 44. | Allen Robinson, JAX | 73 | 3 | 3.9% |
| 45. | Willie Snead, NO | 72 | 3 | 4.0% |
| 46. | Steve Smith Sr., BAL | 70 | 3 | 4.1% |
| 47. | Golden Tate, DET | 91 | 4 | 4.2% |
| 48. | Kenny Britt, LA | 68 | 3 | 4.2% |
| 49. | Rishard Matthews, TEN | 65 | 3 | 4.4% |
| 50. | Marqise Lee, JAX | 63 | 3 | 4.5% |
| 51. | Kenny Stills, MIA | 42 | 2 | 4.5% |
| 52. | Jermaine Kearse, SEA | 41 | 2 | 4.7% |
| 53. | Tyler Lockett, SEA | 41 | 2 | 4.7% |
| 54. | Julian Edelman, NE | 98 | 5 | 4.9% |
| 55. | DeAndre Hopkins, HOU | 78 | 4 | 4.9% |
| 56. | Terrelle Pryor Sr., CLE | 77 | 4 | 4.9% |
| 57. | DeSean Jackson, WAS | 56 | 3 | 5.1% |
| 58. | Odell Beckham Jr., NYG | 101 | 6 | 5.6% |
| 59. | Anquan Boldin, DET | 67 | 4 | 5.6% |
| 60. | A.J. Green, CIN | 66 | 4 | 5.7% |
| 61. | Corey Coleman, CLE | 33 | 2 | 5.7% |
| 62. | Sterling Shepard, NYG | 65 | 4 | 5.8% |
| 63. | T.Y. Hilton, IND | 91 | 6 | 6.2% |
| 64. | Davante Adams, GB | 75 | 5 | 6.3% |
| 65. | Chris Conley, KC | 44 | 3 | 6.4% |
| 66. | Quincy Enunwa, NYJ | 58 | 4 | 6.5% |
| 67. | Tyrell Williams, SD | 69 | 5 | 6.8% |
| 68. | Mike Evans, TB | 96 | 7 | 6.8% |
| 69. | Victor Cruz, NYG | 39 | 3 | 7.1% |
| 70. | Demaryius Thomas, DEN | 90 | 7 | 7.2% |
| 71. | Quinton Patton, SF | 37 | 3 | 7.5% |
| 72. | Jordan Matthews, PHI | 73 | 6 | 7.6% |
| 73. | Travis Benjamin, SD | 47 | 4 | 7.8% |
| 74. | Phillip Dorsett, IND | 33 | 3 | 8.3% |
| 75. | Ted Ginn Jr., CAR | 54 | 5 | 8.5% |
| 76. | Robby Anderson, NYJ | 42 | 4 | 8.7% |
| 77. | Albert Wilson, KC | 31 | 3 | 8.8% |
| 78. | Michael Crabtree, OAK | 89 | 9 | 9.2% |
| 79. | Will Fuller, HOU | 47 | 5 | 9.6% |
| 80. | Michael Floyd, NE | 37 | 4 | 9.8% |
| 81. | Marvin Jones Jr., DET | 55 | 6 | 9.8% |
| 82. | Dorial Green-Beckham, PHI | 36 | 4 | 10.0% |
| 83. | Nelson Agholor, PHI | 36 | 4 | 10.0% |
| 84. | J.J. Nelson, ARI | 34 | 4 | 10.5% |
| 85. | Tavon Austin, LA | 58 | 7 | 10.8% |
| 86. | Seth Roberts, OAK | 38 | 5 | 11.6% |
| 87. | Brandon Marshall, NYJ | 59 | 8 | 11.9% |
| 88. | Breshad Perriman, BAL | 33 | 5 | 13.2% |
| 89. | Allen Hurns, JAX | 35 | 6 | 14.6% |
—Ian Allan