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Factoid

Long shot wide receivers

Draft looks lean on receiving talent -- or is it?

It’s not a great year for wide receivers in the draft. None will be picked in the top 10. I would guess that we probably won’t see any in the top 20. There’s no Calvin Johnson or A.J. Green type freak pushing up into the top 5. But that doesn’t mean there won’t be some good players.

Five times in this century no receiver has gone in the top 10. In three of those seasons, none went in the top 20 -- 2006, 2008, 2010. (In 2002, Donte Stallworth was the first receiver off the board, at 13th, while Corey Coleman went 15th two years ago.)

But there are so many talented, motivated receivers trying to carve out names for themselves, that there are always guys coming in every year who go on to make an impact.

In a rough sense there have been 28 wide receivers in those five draft classes who have come in and moved the needle. This is an unscientific list, but 28 guys (I think) who at some point in their career have been coveted – who’ve at been chosen in the vast majority of fantasy leagues to at least come in and serve as a second or third receiver.

And plenty of big-time receivers in there. I see 12 that at some point in their career were definitely among the first 10 wide receivers selected in drafts. Antonio Brown, Jordy Nelson, Marques Colston and Greg Jennings in particular – not guys that anybody was talking about for weeks and weeks prior to their NFL drafts, but they went on to have great careers. Brown was just a sixth-round pick, and he’s been putting up Jerry Rice type numbers for a lot of years.

Here be those 28. I’m listing them by how they performed in their first year.

ROOKIE RECEIVERS -- LEAN DRAFT YEARS
YearPkPlayerNoYdsAvgTDPts
201647• Michael Thomas, N.O.92113712.49167.7
2010101Mike Williams, T.B.6596414.811162.4
2006252• Marques Colston, N.O.70103814.88151.8
2016165• Tyreek Hill, K.C.615939.712131.3
200842Eddie Royal, Den.9198010.85128.0
201640Sterling Shepard, NYG6568310.58116.3
200849• DeSean Jackson, Phil.6291214.74115.2
200263Antonio Bryant, Dall.4473316.76109.3
200213Donte Stallworth, N.O.4259414.18107.4
201024• Dez Bryant, Dall.4556112.58104.1
200625Santonio Holmes, Pitt.4982416.83100.4
201621Will Fuller, Hou.4763513.5381.5
200652• Greg Jennings, G.B.4563214.0381.2
2016--Robby Anderson, NYJ4258714.0270.7
200262Antwaan Randle El, Pitt.4748910.4366.9
200265Deion Branch, N.E.4348911.4260.9
201078Brandon LaFell, Car.3846812.3152.8
201082• Emmanuel Sanders, Pitt.2837613.4249.6
200836• Jordy Nelson, G.B.3336611.1248.6
2006119• Brandon Marshall, Den.2030915.5242.9
201022• Demaryius Thomas, Den.2228312.9240.3
200220• Javon Walker, G.B.2331913.9137.9
201060Golden Tate, Sea.2122710.8022.7
2008224Stevie Johnson, Buff.1010210.2222.2
2010195• Antonio Brown, Pitt.1616710.4016.7
201087Eric Decker, Den.610617.7116.6
200895Mario Manningham, NYG4266.502.6
2008205Pierre Garcon, Ind.4235.802.3

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index