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Nick Chubb

Second-rounder could start for Cleveland

A lot of Browns fans wanted the team to select Saquon Barkley at No. 1 overall, then take a quarterback at No. 4. The Browns instead went withquarterback, Barkley went to the Giants, and Cleveland selected Nick Chubb in the second round. Chubb isn't as exciting a prospect as Barkley, but there's some fantasy appeal if he wins the starting job -- which he might.

Cleveland signed Carlos Hyde, of course, but Hyde has generally been a disappointing pro. ESPN's Browns reporter believes Chubb could win the starting job in camp.

Even if he does, though, he'll lose all passing downs work to Duke Johnson Jr. And Hyde is being paid decent money, so he'll likely have a role as well. Chubb makes sense as a first- or early second-round rookie pick in dynasty drafts (I've seen him go everywhere from 3rd to 10th), but not a safe choice for 2018 value.

Since 2000, nine second-round running backs have gone over 1,000 total yards as rookies. But there haven't been any the last two years. The best was Joe Mixon a year ago, with a relatively disappointing 913 total yards and 4 TDs. The best rookie in 2016 from the second round was Derrick Henry, and he totaled just 627 yards and 5 TDs. (Another unremarkable pick was Hyde himself in 2014.)

SECOND-ROUND RUNNING BACKS, 2000-2017
YearPickPlayerRunRecTotalTD
200251Clinton Portis, Den.1508364187217
200844Matt Forte, Chi.1238477171512
201361Eddie Lacy, G.B.1178257143511
200660Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac.941436137716
200138Anthony Thomas, Chi.118317813617
201455Jeremy Hill, Cin.112421513399
201348LeVeon Bell, Pitt.86039912598
201337Giovani Bernard, Cin.69551412098
201536T.J. Yeldon, Jac.74027910193
200953LeSean McCoy, Phil.6373089454
200443Julius Jones, Dall.8191079267
201748Joe Mixon, Cin.6262879134
200158Travis Henry, Buff.7291799084
201554Ameer Abdullah, Det.5971837803
200855Ray Rice, Balt.4542737270
201358Montee Ball, Den.5591457044
201454Bishop Sankey, Tenn.5691337022
201162Daniel Thomas, Mia.581726531
201645Derrick Henry, Tenn.4901376275
200544J.J. Arrington, Ariz.3701395092
201051Toby Gerhart, Minn.3221674891
200441Tatum Bell, Den.396804763
200256Ladell Betts, Wash.3071544611
201741Dalvin Cook, Minn.354904442
201457Carlos Hyde, S.F.333684014
200763Brandon Jackson, G.B.2671303971
200149LaMont Jordan, NYJ292443362
200645LenDale White, Tenn.244603040
200254Maurice Morris, Sea.153251781
200455Greg Jones, Jac.162131753
200750Chris Henry, Tenn.119531722
201261LaMichael James, S.F.125291540
201362Christine Michael, Sea.790790
201250Isaiah Pead, St.L.5416700
201156Shane Vereen, N.E.570571
201157Mikel Leshoure, Det.0000
201138Ryan Williams, Ariz.0000
201058Ben Tate, Hou.0000
201059Montario Hardesty, Clev.0000
200749Kenny Irons, Cin.0000
200554Eric Shelton, Car.0000
200234DeShaun Foster, Car.0000

The standout season of recent years was 2013, which produced three backs who put up at least 1,200 total yards: LeVeon Bell, Giovani Bernard and Eddie Lacy. But most of the best second-rounders came from a decade or so ago, guys like Clinton Portis, Matt Forte and Maurice Jones-Drew.

This year's second-rounders were Chubb, Ronald Jones, Kerryon Johnson and Derrius Guice. At least a couple of those guys might be immediate starters; it's a good rookie class. But they'll be bucking recent odds if they do make a big impact in 2018.

--Andy Richardson

Fantasy Index