Patrick Mahomes finished the season with 50 touchdown passes. History tells us, however, that throwing a bunch of touchdown passes doesn’t necessarily mean a Super Bowl title is coming.
In league history, 12 other quarterbacks have finished seasons with 40-plus touchdown passes. Only one of those players (Kurt Warner in 1999) cap his season with a Super Bowl championship.
Three of the four others with at least 48 touchdown passes, at least made it to the championship game. None of the others did (and two didn’t even make the playoffs).
|QUARTERBACKS WITH 40 TOUCHDOWN PASSES|
|2013||Peyton Manning, Den.||55||lost in Super Bowl|
|2007||Tom Brady, N.E.||50||lost in Super Bowl|
|2018||Patrick Mahomes, K.C.||50||???|
|2004||Peyton Manning, Ind.||49||lost in divisional round|
|1984||Dan Marino, Mia.||48||lost in Super Bowl|
|2011||Drew Brees, N.O.||46||lost in divisional round|
|2011||Aaron Rodgers, G.B.||45||lost in divisional round|
|1986||Dan Marino, Mia.||44||didn’t make playoffs|
|2012||Drew Brees, N.O.||43||didn’t make playoffs|
|1999||• Kurt Warner, St.L.||41||won Super Bowl|
|2011||Matthew Stafford, Det.||41||lost in first round|
|2014||Andrew Luck, Ind.||40||lost in AFC Championship|
|2016||Aaron Rodgers, G.B.||40||lost in NFC Championship|