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Factoid

Rookie tight ends

Iowa rookies try to buck dire history at the position

A pair of Iowa tight ends were selected in the first round (T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant), and no doubt each will receive some interest in fantasy leagues. But history tells us it’s tough for a rookie to come in and put up good numbers right away.

There have been a few exceptions. Jeremy Shockey and Evan Engram, most notably, put up top-5 numbers in their first seasons. But the larger body of work shows far more misses than hits.

Of the last 30 tight ends selected with first-round picks, only those two put up top-10 numbers in their first year. Three others at least managed top-15 production (most recently, Heath Miller and Dustin Keller). That’s using PPR scoring an cumulative ranks.

Both of these Iowa guys, at least, should get a chance to contribute. With Golden Tate gone, the Lions need somebody who can work the middle of the field. They’ve got crusty old Danny Amendola in the slot, and not much else. (Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones are good receivers, but they’re both better suited to play outside and run mostly downfield routes).

Joe Flacco has a history of developing a security blanket type role with a tight end. He loves throwing 8-yard completions to tight ends. Just ask Dennis Pitta and Benjamin Watson. But we’ll see how it plays out. If Jake Butt can stop suffering ACL injuries, he could secure the bulk of those short-range looks, with Fant (pictured) operating as more of a downfield threat. Fant averaged 14.7 yards per catch his final two years in college.

ROOKIE TIGHT ENDS; PPR RANKS
YearPkPlayerNoYdsAvgTDPPRRnk
199215Johnny Mitchell, NYJ1621013.1143.024
199214Derek Brown, NYG4317.807.1--
199320Irv Smith, N.O.1618011.3246.024
199527Mark Bruener, Pitt.262389.2367.819
19959Kyle Brady, NYJ262529.7263.223
19969• Rickey Dudley, Oak.3438611.4496.612
199713Tony Gonzalez, K.C.3336811.2283.818
199722David LaFleur, Dall.181226.8242.238
200014Bubba Franks, G.B.3436310.7176.319
200027Anthony Becht, NYJ3268.705.685
200131Todd Heap, Balt.1620612.9142.632
200214• Jeremy Shockey, NYG7489412.12175.43
200228Jerramy Stevens, Sea.262529.7369.224
200221Daniel Graham, N.E.1515010.0136.034
200324Dallas Clark, Ind.2934011.7169.024
20046Kellen Winslow, Clev.55010.0010.037
200432Benjamin Watson, N.E.2168.003.640
200530• Heath Miller, Pitt.3945911.86120.914
20066Vernon Davis, S.F.2026513.3364.528
200628Marcedes Lewis, Jac.131269.7131.651
200731Greg Olsen, Chi.3939110.0292.122
200830• Dustin Keller, NYJ4853511.13119.514
200920Brandon Pettigrew, Det.3034611.5276.627
201021Jermaine Gresham, Cin.524719.14125.116
201321Tyler Eifert, Cin.3944511.4295.526
201410Eric Ebron, Det.252489.9155.840
201723• Evan Engram, NYG6472211.36173.65
201719O.J. Howard, T.B.2643216.66105.220
201729David Njoku, Clev.3238612.1494.724
201825Hayden Hurst, Balt.1316312.5135.360
20198T.J. Hockenson, Det.??????
201920Noah Fant, Den.??????

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index