In November, rankings for dynasty leagues get particularly tricky. You get into trying to weigh guys with some short-term value against younger players with some potential to maybe develop into something in the future. (Or not.)
Specifically at the tight end position, what are the values of guys like Jason Witten and Greg Olsen? They’ve been great players in the past and will catch a few balls, but I don’t think we’ll see either of them on the field in 2020. And we can probably put Benjamin Watson and Delanie Walker in this group.
Or do we instead go with a youngster like Jace Sternberger or Dawson Knox? These guys might not become viable players, but some chance they might develop into decent starters at some point. Knox has had a credible rookie season with the Bills. With Sternberger, the Packers drafted him in the third round, and I’m operating under the assumption that Jimmy Graham will be gone at the end of the season.
With these rankings, you have to decide how far in the future you want to look. Do you at all about 2023 or 2024? And any model needs to factor in that things invariably change along the way. A month ago, for example, nobody considered Jacob Hollister to be one of the game’s top 50 tight ends. Now you can legitimately argue whether he might be a top-10 guy for the remainder for the 2019 season (and if so, perhaps a viable choice in 2020).
For these rankings, I’m going off my gut. That is, I’ve got the guys in a long list, and I comb over it for about an hour, moving guys a few spots up and down, based on what feels right. I’m assuming PPR scoring, and I’m assuming we’re in a dynasty league with deep rosters – perhaps 12 teams with each of them carrying three tight ends.
I turn my attention to dynasty leagues each Saturday, focusing on one position. To see previous posts, use the “past issues” links on the right side of the page.
Last week: Wide receivers.
Next week: quarterbacks.
Rookies tagged with black dots.
|DYNASTY TIGHT ENDS|
|8.||DET||• T.J. Hockenson||22|
|10.||DEN||• Noah Fant||21|
|13.||MIN||• Irv Smith||21|
|20.||GB||• Jace Sternberger||23|
|24.||BUF||• Dawson Knox||23|
|35.||JAC||• Josh Oliver||22|
|38.||OAK||• Foster Moreau||22|
|47.||TB||• Tanner Hudson||25|
|48.||CIN||• Drew Sample||23|
|53.||HOU||• Kahale Warring||22|
|60.||NYJ||• Trevon Wesco||24|