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Updated strength of schedule

Can KC overcome difficult closing schedule?

Kansas City’s offense has been a disappointment this year, averaging only 3 TDs per week. That’s about a touchdown less than what most were expecting. And as I look at the closing games, I’m not thinking that unit will suddenly spring to life.

Over the next three weeks, KC will face defenses that have allowed a combined 57 touchdowns in 36 games – under 1.6 per week. That’s powered by New England this week, but Denver and Chicago haven’t been chopped liver either. The total is the fewest for any team over the next three weeks.

Buffalo also faces a tough scheduling patch. It also has a New England game left, and it’s total of 58 is 11 fewer than 30 other teams.

If you’re looking for soft defenses, the Giants and Seahawks lead the way. They’ll both play their next three games against defenses that have allowed over 100 combined touchdowns (almost twice as many as Buffalo and Kansas City).

On this chart, I’m leaving Week 17 out (I believe most fantasy leagues are done by that time).

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE, TOUCHDOWNS (Wks 14-16)
TeamRunPassTotal
NY Giants3273105
Seattle3863101
Jacksonville316798
LA Chargers336497
Indianapolis376097
Washington375996
Tennessee257196
Denver286896
Miami375794
Philadelphia345892
Tampa Bay236891
Minnesota325789
San Francisco286088
Pittsburgh295988
Cleveland315788
Carolina315687
Atlanta454287
Oakland345185
NY Jets275885
Dallas305383
Cincinnati265783
Chicago364783
Arizona285482
Houston225981
Green Bay255681
Detroit196281
Baltimore324880
New England364379
LA Rams304171
New Orleans214869
Buffalo213758
Kansas City223557

If you want to look at the more traditional wins and losses, the Eagles, Browns and Giants project to play the easiest closing schedules.

The Titans, Bills and Bears have the hardest remaining schedules.

On this one, I’m leaving in Week 17 (thinking that this chart might be used more by people in trying to gauge which teams will be winning divisions and playoff spots).

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE, WINS (Wks 14-17)
TeamWLTPct
Philadelphia13350.271
Cleveland15321.323
NY Giants16320.333
Miami17310.354
Jacksonville19290.396
Oakland19290.396
Green Bay19281.406
Dallas20280.417
Tampa Bay20271.427
New England21270.438
Minnesota21261.448
Washington22260.458
Cincinnati23250.479
Houston23250.479
Kansas City23250.479
Indianapolis24240.500
Atlanta24240.500
Baltimore25230.521
Seattle25221.531
Denver25221.531
LA Chargers26220.542
Detroit26220.542
Pittsburgh26211.552
New Orleans28200.583
Carolina29190.604
NY Jets29190.604
Arizona29190.604
LA Rams29181.615
San Francisco30180.625
Chicago31170.646
Buffalo31170.646
Tennessee32160.667

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index