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Updated strength of schedule

Eagles could be ready to soar

The Eagles have been one of the season’s most disappointing teams (especially on Sunday against Seattle). But let’s not give up on them just yet. Their schedule is about to get a whole lot easier.

Philadelphia plays the Dolphins, Giants and Washington in their next three. That gives them a nice opportunity to get a lot of things right before they play Dallas in Week 16, likely with the NFC East title on the line. Then they’ve got the Giants again in Week 17.

For the final five weeks of the season, that makes for a composite record of 14-41-0, by far the easiest in the league.

Other teams with easy schedules over the final five weeks include the Browns, Packers and Dolphins.

Four notable teams, on the other hand, will play the hardest schedules during the final five weeks: the 49ers, Bills, Titans and Ravens.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE, WINS (Weeks 13-17)
TeamWLTPct
Philadelphia14410.255
Cleveland18361.336
Green Bay20341.373
Miami21340.382
NY Giants22330.400
Jacksonville23320.418
Tampa Bay23311.427
Oakland24310.436
New England24310.436
NY Jets25300.455
Washington26290.473
Dallas26290.473
Cincinnati26290.473
Denver27271.500
LA Chargers28270.509
Kansas City28270.509
Indianapolis28270.509
Detroit28270.509
Houston29260.527
Carolina29260.527
Pittsburgh29251.536
Minnesota29251.536
New Orleans30250.545
Atlanta32230.582
Arizona32230.582
LA Rams31222.582
Seattle32221.591
Chicago32221.591
Baltimore33220.600
Tennessee35200.636
Buffalo35200.636
San Francisco36190.655

Wins and losses, of course, pertain more to the league in general (playoff positioning, and whatnot). Looking more at scoring, the Jaguars, Giants, Eagles and Washington project to see the softest defenses for the next month.

Jacksonville’s next four games are against defenses that have allowed a combined 123 touchdowns. With four teams each playing 11 games, that works out to 2.8 per week. (On this chart, unlike the other, I’m focusing just on Weeks 13-16 – most fantasy leagues conclude before Week 17).

The four hardest schedules all belong to AFC teams that would be in the playoffs if the season ended today: Bills, Texans, Ravens and Patriots.

Buffalo in particular faces an uphill struggle. It’s next four games are against defenses that have allowed 73 touchdowns – 10 fewer than any other schedule. The 73 touchdowns (30 rushing, 43 passing) work out to just 1.7 per week.

REMAINING TOUCHDOWNS (Weeks 13-16)
TeamRunPassTotalPer G
Jacksonville34891232.80
NY Giants43781212.75
Philadelphia43761192.70
Washington55641192.70
Miami46701162.64
Seattle36801162.64
Indianapolis41741152.61
Tampa Bay37761132.57
Denver37761132.57
Chicago45651102.50
Pittsburgh36731092.48
Tennessee28811092.48
Oakland43651082.45
NY Jets39691082.45
Carolina37711082.45
Minnesota44641082.45
Cleveland34721062.41
LA Chargers33731062.41
Atlanta47581052.39
New England42621042.36
Green Bay35681032.34
Cincinnati35671022.32
Arizona34681022.32
San Francisco36661022.32
LA Rams3365982.23
Detroit2768952.16
New Orleans2866942.14
Dallas3954932.11
Baltimore3555902.05
Houston2659851.93
Kansas City3053831.89
Buffalo3043731.66

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index