There are still a lot of injuries to sort through – key players who may or may not play – but we’ve got our initial team forecasts put together. After looking at each of the games, we’ve decided on what kind of production to each from each offense.
The 49ers, Saints, Ravens and Seahawks, we’re figuring have the best chance of maybe scoring more than 3 touchdowns. The Bucs and Titans shouldn’t be far behind. (With Tampa Bay, that’s contingent on Jameis Winston being able to throw without being affected too much by his thumb injury.)
The Jets, Bengals, Lions and Washington we’ve got down at the bottom – teams that might not even score 2 TDs.
TOUCHDOWN PROJECTIONS (Week 15) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Team | Pass | Run | Total |
San Francisco | 2.07 | 1.49 | 3.56 |
New Orleans | 2.55 | .85 | 3.40 |
Baltimore | 1.88 | 1.31 | 3.19 |
Seattle | 1.73 | 1.46 | 3.19 |
Tampa Bay | 2.15 | 1.00 | 3.15 |
Tennessee | 2.02 | 1.10 | 3.12 |
Kansas City | 2.02 | .92 | 2.94 |
Dallas | 1.88 | .94 | 2.82 |
Houston | 1.88 | .88 | 2.76 |
Cleveland | 1.85 | .87 | 2.72 |
New England | 1.45 | 1.25 | 2.70 |
Green Bay | 1.80 | .80 | 2.60 |
Minnesota | 1.51 | 1.02 | 2.53 |
Oakland | 1.42 | 1.08 | 2.50 |
Arizona | 1.72 | .75 | 2.47 |
LA Rams | 1.18 | 1.23 | 2.41 |
Carolina | 1.23 | 1.08 | 2.31 |
Indianapolis | 1.40 | .90 | 2.30 |
NY Giants | 1.50 | .78 | 2.28 |
LA Chargers | 1.65 | .63 | 2.28 |
Philadelphia | 1.45 | .75 | 2.20 |
Jacksonville | 1.46 | .67 | 2.13 |
Chicago | 1.45 | .65 | 2.10 |
Pittsburgh | .94 | 1.15 | 2.09 |
Miami | 1.45 | .60 | 2.05 |
Denver | 1.13 | .87 | 2.00 |
Buffalo | 1.15 | .76 | 1.91 |
Atlanta | 1.45 | .40 | 1.85 |
Washington | 1.00 | .75 | 1.75 |
Detroit | 1.36 | .33 | 1.69 |
Cincinnati | 1.08 | .55 | 1.63 |
NY Jets | 1.03 | .56 | 1.59 |
For passing, we’ve got the Saints, Bucs and Cowboys at the top. Washington, Pittsburgh and Denver at the bottom.
Offenses here are sorted using 6 points for touchdowns and 1 for every 10 yards.
PASSING PROJECTIONS (Week 15) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Team | Yards | TDP | Pts |
New Orleans | 325 | 2.55 | 47.8 |
Tampa Bay | 310 | 2.15 | 43.9 |
Dallas | 305 | 1.88 | 41.8 |
Kansas City | 285 | 2.02 | 40.6 |
Tennessee | 265 | 2.02 | 38.6 |
Houston | 273 | 1.88 | 38.6 |
San Francisco | 260 | 2.07 | 38.4 |
Green Bay | 270 | 1.80 | 37.8 |
Cleveland | 265 | 1.85 | 37.6 |
LA Chargers | 265 | 1.65 | 36.4 |
Arizona | 245 | 1.72 | 34.8 |
Seattle | 240 | 1.73 | 34.4 |
LA Rams | 270 | 1.18 | 34.1 |
Baltimore | 225 | 1.88 | 33.8 |
New England | 250 | 1.45 | 33.7 |
Jacksonville | 245 | 1.46 | 33.3 |
Miami | 245 | 1.45 | 33.2 |
Carolina | 257 | 1.23 | 33.1 |
Minnesota | 238 | 1.51 | 32.9 |
Oakland | 242 | 1.42 | 32.7 |
Atlanta | 240 | 1.45 | 32.7 |
NY Giants | 235 | 1.50 | 32.5 |
Philadelphia | 235 | 1.45 | 32.2 |
Chicago | 230 | 1.45 | 31.7 |
Detroit | 225 | 1.36 | 30.7 |
Cincinnati | 233 | 1.08 | 29.8 |
Indianapolis | 210 | 1.40 | 29.4 |
Buffalo | 220 | 1.15 | 28.9 |
NY Jets | 220 | 1.03 | 28.2 |
Denver | 210 | 1.13 | 27.8 |
Pittsburgh | 195 | .94 | 25.1 |
Washington | 180 | 1.00 | 24.0 |
For rushing production, the Ravens, Seahawks, 49ers and Titans look like the teams that are really going to crush it.
I’ve got the Raiders in the No. 5 spot. With them, there’s the issue of how Josh Jacobs’ shoulder will hold up. Right now, they’re expecting that he’ll play. Considering how poorly Jacksonville has played against the run recently, he could have a 100-yard game in him.
RUSHING PROJECTIONS (Week 15) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Team | Yards | TDR | Pts |
Baltimore | 175 | 1.31 | 25.4 |
Seattle | 165 | 1.46 | 25.3 |
San Francisco | 150 | 1.49 | 23.9 |
Tennessee | 155 | 1.10 | 22.1 |
Oakland | 140 | 1.08 | 20.5 |
LA Rams | 125 | 1.23 | 19.9 |
New England | 120 | 1.25 | 19.5 |
Indianapolis | 135 | .90 | 18.9 |
Pittsburgh | 120 | 1.15 | 18.9 |
Minnesota | 120 | 1.02 | 18.1 |
Dallas | 118 | .94 | 17.4 |
Cleveland | 120 | .87 | 17.2 |
New Orleans | 120 | .85 | 17.1 |
Houston | 118 | .88 | 17.1 |
Kansas City | 115 | .92 | 17.0 |
Philadelphia | 125 | .75 | 17.0 |
Carolina | 103 | 1.08 | 16.8 |
Denver | 115 | .87 | 16.7 |
Tampa Bay | 105 | 1.00 | 16.5 |
NY Giants | 118 | .78 | 16.5 |
Arizona | 110 | .75 | 15.5 |
Washington | 110 | .75 | 15.5 |
Buffalo | 105 | .76 | 15.1 |
Jacksonville | 110 | .67 | 15.0 |
LA Chargers | 112 | .63 | 15.0 |
Chicago | 110 | .65 | 14.9 |
Green Bay | 100 | .80 | 14.8 |
Cincinnati | 95 | .55 | 12.8 |
NY Jets | 85 | .56 | 11.9 |
Atlanta | 85 | .40 | 10.9 |
Miami | 70 | .60 | 10.6 |
Detroit | 65 | .33 | 8.5 |
—Ian Allan