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Experts Poll, receivers

Michael Nease wins WR category, strengthens overall lead

Michael Nease reached the halfway point of our Experts Poll with the lead in the overall standings, and he took another step towards the title by winning the Wide Receivers category.

Nease, who writes for Big Guy Fantasy Sports, didn’t have a standout killer pick in this category. He started off by ranking Davante Adams No. 1, costing him some points against most of the field. And Nease lost more ground by ranking Adam Thielen (who also got hurt) higher than everyone else (4th). But Nease made enough other solid selections to dig his way out of that hole and finish as the highest scorer at this position.

Most notably, Nease ranked A.J. Green the lowest of everyone (16th). That was his most important pick. Nease also was the lowest on another injured receiver (T.Y. Hilton) and the 2nd-lowest on Odell Beckham and Keenan Allen. By moving those guys down, it allowed Nease to pick up some value on all of the other receivers who moved up a few spots on his list.

Whatever the reasons, Nease won the category. Tony Holm of Fantasy Sharks finished 2nd, while Jody Smith of FantasyData.com took 3rd.

This competition isn’t like a regular league. All 20 picks in each category count for each of the 20 experts. The higher they rank each player, the more he counts towards their score. Thielen, for example, scored 114.4 points (in PPR scoring). Nease ranked him 4th, and that pick was worth 2,516.8 points – that comes from 114.4 being multiplied by 22 (the 22 comes from 26 minus 4). Had somebody ranked Thielen first, the pick would have been worth 2,860 points (114.4 x 25).

Lots of numbers in play, and when all the adding and multiplying is completed, Nease won at Wide Receiver.

EXPERTS POLL, WIDE RECEIVERS
AnalystWR
Michael Nease64,863
Tony Holm63,742
Jody Smith63,702
Chris Liss63,595
Paul Charchian63,577
Alan Satterlee63,322
Lenny Pappano63,245
John Hansen63,132
David Dorey62,989
Sam Hendricks62,785
Cory Bonini62,781
Bryan Teegardin62,454
Michael Nazarek62,383
Brack Varnon62,144
Aaron Bland61,927
Jesse Pantuosco61,179
Bob Henry60,906
Mike Clay60,798
Scott Pianowski59,929
Jeff Ratcliffe59,599

This kind of contest can be scored in various ways. There isn’t a perfect, fair way to grade preseason top 20s. So we also look at the results when a “safety net” is placed underneath each pick. That is, A.J. Green not playing at all was a huge pollutant at this position. What would the results look like if we filtered out the less meaningful guys, at least to a degree?

So with scoring system B, we look only at the 24 wide receivers who put up starter-quality numbers. That is, the 25th-best wide receiver last year was Odell Beckham, with 203.5 points. For Beckham and the other receivers outside the top 24, we’re calling them worth zero. For the guys inside the top 24, they get credit for however much better than Beckham (203.5 points) they were.

Using this alternate scoring system, Nease still wins at wide receivers, so he can definitely claim top honors at this position.

In the alternate scoring system, Lenny Pappano (Draft Sharks) moves up from 7th to 2nd. David Dorey of TheHuddle.com moves up from 9th to 3rd.

WIDE RECEIVERS (alternate scoring)
AnalystPoints
Michael Nease12,232
Lenny Pappano11,799
David Dorey11,743
Tony Holm11,575
Alan Satterlee11,571
Jody Smith11,508
Chris Liss11,498
Cory Bonini11,421
Sam Hendricks11,344
Paul Charchian11,306
Brack Varnon11,215
Michael Nazarek11,108
Aaron Bland11,028
John Hansen10,942
Bob Henry10,916
Bryan Teegardin10,898
Mike Clay10,657
Jesse Pantuosco10,176
Scott Pianowski10,016
Jeff Ratcliffe9,776

We’ve got two positions left – QB and RB – and they tend to play the biggest role in crowning the overall champion. There were lots of poison players at the QB position (Andrew Luck, Ben Roethlisberger, Cam Newton, most notably) and those who did the best job of downgrading those guys will have a huge leg up in the competiton.

With four of the six positions scored, Nease is the overall leader. Holm is about 2,000 points back (not much in this kind of contest). Paul Charchian (LeagueSafe.com) is about another 1,000 back, and Chris Liss is an additional 1,000 back.

Jeff Ratcliffe won this competition two years ago; he’s currently sitting in last. Two other analysts who’ve both won this competition multiple times are in the bottom 5: Scott Pianowski (Yahoo Sports) and Bob Henry (FootballGuys.com)

EXPERTS POLL, OVERALL (WR-TE-K-D)
AnalystPoints
Michael Nease170,136
Tony Holm168,439
Paul Charchian167,298
Chris Liss166,351
Brack Varnon165,454
Sam Hendricks165,322
Michael Nazarek165,222
Alan Satterlee165,019
Lenny Pappano164,584
Bryan Teegardin164,396
Jody Smith163,642
John Hansen163,537
Cory Bonini163,113
David Dorey162,949
Mike Clay162,675
Scott Pianowski162,412
Aaron Bland161,848
Jesse Pantuosco161,293
Bob Henry160,982
Jeff Ratcliffe160,953

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index