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Factoid

Big running backs

AJ Dillon: unusual athleticism for his size

Lost in the controversy over Green Bay using its first-round pick on a quarterback and not drafting a wide receiver at all is their somewhat unusual second-round selection. Running back AJ Dillon tips the scales at 247 pounds -- the 6th-heaviest running back drafted in the last 20 years.

He's not the mountain of a man Brandon Jacobs was, nor even quite as big as T.J. Duckett. But the Boston College product is what you might call fullback size, which makes him sort of unusual as a second-round pick.

Table below shows all 24 running backs who weighed in at least 235 pounds and went on to be drafted in the last 20 years. (Several of them were used exclusively at fullback.) Last column shows their best fantasy rank, and it's not terrible; nearly half (11) had a top-25 fantasy season at some point. Five had years where they finished in the top 10.

DRAFTED RUNNING BACKS, 235+ LBS (2000-PRESENT)
Year RdPlayer Ht Wt 40 Vert BroadRk
20054Brandon Jacobs, NYG6-42674.563711818
20001Ron Dayne, NYG5-112594.65----31
20021T.J. Duckett, Atl.6-02544.45----27
20057Nehemiah Broughton, Wash.5-112504.5930108158
20042Greg Jones, Jac.6-12494.55----50
20202AJ Dillon, G.B.6-02474.5341131???
20162Derrick Henry, Tenn.6-32474.54371305
20052Eric Shelton, Car.6-12464.5338.5124142
20077Nate Ilaoa, Phil.5-92454.7730103--
20024Jonathan Wells, Hou.6-12434.52----49
20074Michael Bush, Oak.6-12434.62----12
20116Allen Bradford, T.B.5-112424.5329113161
20033B.J. Askew, NYJ6-22414.6----86
20041Steven Jackson, St.L.6-12414.55----2
20001Jamal Lewis, Balt.6-02404.58----4
20171Leonard Fournette, Jac.6-02404.5128.5--7
20126Terrance Ganaway, NYJ5-112394.6137.5119--
20106Charles Scott, Phil.5-112384.6830.5111--
20062LenDale White, Tenn.6-02384.49----18
20045Michael Turner, S.D.5-102374.49311144
20027Rock Cartwright, Wash.5-82374.473511643
20091Beanie Wells, Ariz.6-12354.3833.512823
20081Jonathan Stewart, Car.5-102354.4636.512815
20013Kevan Barlow, S.F.6-12354.56----19

Just nine of them weighed 240 plus, and it's a mixed bag as far as NFL success. Derrick Henry is great, and Jacobs had a couple of 1,000-yard seasons for the Giants. But T.J. Duckett never proved worthy of his early selection, Greg Jones never rushed for 600 yards, and the less said about Eric Shelton the better.

Also shown are several combine numbers for these players. Note that Dillon has unusual athleticism for his size. (Or any size.) Only eight (of the 23 other 235-pounders) ran faster 40s (4.53), which is the number many will lock in on. As the picture makes clear, he looks like he's in shape.

But note also that Dillon had the highest vertical jump of the group (41 inches) and the best broad jump (131). It's not surprising, given that those two numbers were also the best of all the running backs at the combine this year. That's right: a 247-pound man jumped higher than any of the five backs taken ahead of him -- Edwards-Helaire, Swift, Taylor, Akers, Dobbins. I understand there’s not a close correlation between jumping and fantasy value.

Green Bay intends to lean on the run in upcoming years, and their plan is for Dillon to be a big (no pun intended) part of that. The athleticism is there. In their wildest dreams, they're probably hoping they drafted the next Derrick Henry.

--Andy Richardson

Fantasy Index