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Factoid

Carlos Hyde

Etienne injury makes Hyde a late-round possibility

With Travis Etienne out for the year, I find myself having some interest in Carlos Hyde. Assuming everyone stays healthy, James Robinson should be Jacksonville’s leading running back, but Hyde might be an above-average No. 2.

Hyde is 30, but I think he can still play. He ran for 1,070 yards with Houston two years ago, and he ran for 79 yards and a touchdown in his only start last year (with the Seahawks). Hyde had a handful of really big games with the 49ers, and he played under Urban Meyer when he was in college.

I would think Hyde will get some carries rotating in behind Robinson, and there might not be much of a dropoff should they plug him into the starting lineup at some point.

Hyde isn’t much of a pass catcher; no getting around that. He’s been in the league for seven seasons, and he’s never averaged more than 6.0 yards per catch.

Hyde weighs 229 pounds and can bang it inside pretty good, so it wouldn’t surprise me if he gets more carries than Robinson when the team is at the goal line.

Over the last two years, 36 running backs have had at least 14 carries when their team has needed 1 yard to either score or keep a drive alive (on third- or fourth-and-one). Hyde is the only one of those backs who’s converted over 80 percent of his attempts on such plays.

I’ll admit 14 attempts is an obscure number to pick for the minimum attempts, but I wanted to get Robinson to show on the chart. I thought he was fine on those carries last year, converted 9 of 14 attempts on a bad team. All but 1 of Hyde’s carries, meanwhile, came back in 2019 (so I’m not saying it’s a foregone conclusion that he’ll be the goal-line back).

But if we’re picking backs who might be decent if the starter ahead of them gets hurt, I think Hyde arguably should be one of the first 15 such backs selected.

SHORT-YARDAGE RUSHING (2019-20)
PlayerGoodAttPct
Carlos Hyde131681.3%
Alvin Kamara151978.9%
Gus Edwards263378.8%
Derrick Henry334278.6%
Kenyan Drake283677.8%
Jamaal Williams172277.3%
Todd Gurley233076.7%
Malcolm Brown131776.5%
Ezekiel Elliott344575.6%
Chris Carson304075.0%
Peyton Barber212875.0%
Kalen Ballage172373.9%
Leonard Fournette212972.4%
Jonathan Taylor131872.2%
Ronald Jones142070.0%
Dalvin Cook273969.2%
Sony Michel131968.4%
David Johnson162466.7%
James Conner142166.7%
Mike Davis101566.7%
Myles Gaskin101566.7%
James Robinson91464.3%
Melvin Gordon162564.0%
Adrian Peterson132161.9%
Joe Mixon183060.0%
LeVeon Bell122060.0%
Joshua Kelley91560.0%
Miles Sanders91560.0%
David Montgomery183158.1%
Nick Chubb152657.7%
Benny Snell193357.6%
Christian McCaffrey101855.6%
Josh Jacobs193554.3%
Kareem Hunt71450.0%
Aaron Jones102245.5%
Frank Gore92437.5%

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index