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Factoid

Derek Carr

Carr keeps putting up yards but modest touchdowns

Derek Carr keeps throwing for a bunch of yards, but he hasn’t thrown many touchdowns. In each of his last five games with over 340 passing yards, he’s thrown only 2 TDs. You would think if he were throwing for that many yards, there would be some games with 3-4 TDs in there. (That’s the kind of thing you notice when you have Carr in a fantasy lineup).

I poked around with the numbers on this. I wanted to determine if there might be some flaw with Carr or the offense, with him being more predisposed to producing yards but not touchdowns. And has any other quarterback ever had a streak of five such games?

But not the case.

In six of Carr’s other eight games with at least 340 passing yards, he threw at least 3 TDs. He knows where the end zone is, and I expect he’ll be just fine going forward.

For those who are curious, below see the list of all quarterbacks with at least 10 career games with 340 or more passing yards. You see the number of games for each player, then you see the number of those games where the player also threw at least 3 TD passes.

Only three of these players have thrown at least 3 TDs in over 70 percent of such games, and all three are active: Dak Prescott (9 of 12), Ryan Fitzpatrick (10 of 14) and Kirk Cousins (12 of 17).

If you’re looking for yards but not touchdowns, Josh McCown is your guy. He went for at least 340 passing yards 11 times in his career, but with more than 2 TD passes in only one of those games. Three others under 25 percent: Vinny Testaverde, Jay Cutler and Joe Flacco.

340-PLUS YARDS AND 3-PLUS TDs
PlayerG3+ TDsPct
Dak Prescott129.750
Ryan Fitzpatrick1410.714
Kirk Cousins1712.706
Dan Marino3021.700
Patrick Mahomes1913.684
Joe Montana2114.667
Steve Young1510.667
Tom Brady6342.667
Peyton Manning4127.659
Russell Wilson117.636
Andrew Luck1912.632
Ben Roethlisberger4124.585
Drew Brees7443.581
Jameis Winston148.571
Aaron Rodgers3017.567
Tony Romo169.563
Brett Favre2916.552
Andy Dalton116.545
Daunte Culpepper116.545
Randall Cunningham116.545
Rich Gannon116.545
Dan Fouts2614.538
Boomer Esiason179.529
Jim Kelly105.500
John Elway126.500
Lynn Dickey105.500
Eli Manning2914.483
Matthew Stafford3416.471
Matt Schaub157.467
Derek Carr136.462
Deshaun Watson115.455
Kerry Collins115.455
Ryan Tannehill115.455
Donovan McNabb188.444
Philip Rivers3415.441
Drew Bledsoe146.429
Jared Goff146.429
Matt Ryan3314.424
Matt Hasselbeck104.400
Trent Green197.368
Jim Everett145.357
Joe Namath124.333
Kurt Warner248.333
Marc Bulger155.333
Carson Palmer268.308
Warren Moon268.308
Neil Lomax113.273
Joe Flacco174.235
Jay Cutler133.231
Vinny Testaverde133.231
Josh McCown111.091

Statistics compiled using search tools at Pro-Football-Reference.com

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index