D'Andre Swift has a lofty goal this season. He's hoping to put up 1,000 rushing and 1,000 receiving yards, something that's been done only three times in NFL history (Roger Craig, Marshall Faulk and Christian McCaffrey). Unlikely, but if he comes anywhere close to it, he'll be a pretty awesome fantasy pick.

Last year Swift played in 13 games, putting up 617 rushing yards and 452 receiving yards. Projected out over a 17-game season, that works out to 808 rushing yards and 592 receiving. So he'd need to slightly increase his rushing numbers and dramatically increase his receiving production to reach his goal.

But even with a only a slight increase in production, he's going to be a really, really good PPR back. Top-1o looks like his floor, if he can stay healthy, and top-5 is pretty likely.

I looked at the last 30 years of running backs who made it up to a more modest total -- 600 yards -- in both rushing and receiving, which Swift will almost certainly do if he can stay healthy. There have been 45 such players since 1992. (Just one each of the last two years: Alvin Kamara in 2020, Austin Ekeler last year. Six hundred receiving is kind of rare.) Thirty-six of them finished as top-5 (PPR) running backs. Only two of 45 didn't rank in the top 10.

Table shows all 45 600-600 backs since 1992, sorted by total yards.

600-600 RUNNING BACKS, 1992-2021
1999Marshall Faulk, St.L.25313818710482429121
2019Christian McCaffrey, Car.287138711610052392191
2003LaDainian Tomlinson, S.D.31316451007252370172
2006Steven Jackson, St.L.3461528908062334162
2002Priest Holmes, K.C.3131615706722287241
1998Marshall Faulk, Ind.3241319869082227102
2010Arian Foster, Hou.3271616666042220181
2014LeVeon Bell, Pitt.2901361838542215111
2000Marshall Faulk, St.L.2531359818302189261
2001Priest Holmes, K.C.3271555626142169102
2001Marshall Faulk, St.L.2601382837652147211
2016David Johnson, Ariz.2931239808792118201
1992Thurman Thomas, Buff.3121487586262113122
2003Priest Holmes, K.C.3201420746902110271
2007Brian Westbrook, Phil.2781333907712104121
2017Todd Gurley, LAR2791305647882093191
2011Ray Rice, Balt.2911364767042068151
2009Ray Rice, Balt.254133978702204183
2018Saquon Barkley, NYG2611307917212028152
2013Jamaal Charles, K.C.2591287706931980191
2018Christian McCaffrey, Car.21910981078671965131
2017LeVeon Bell, Pitt.3211291856551946112
2006Brian Westbrook, Phil.2401217776991916114
2002Charlie Garner, Oak.182962919411903114
2016LeVeon Bell, Pitt.261126875616188493
1992Lorenzo White, Hou.265122657641186785
2000Ricky Watters, Sea.278124263613185597
2014Matt Forte, Chi.26610381028081846103
2011Arian Foster, Hou.2781224536171841123
2000Charlie Garner, S.F.2581142686471789106
2000Tiki Barber, NYG213100670719172598
1995Edgar Bennett, G.B.316106761648171578
2020Alvin Kamara, N.O.187932837561688211
1994Ricky Watters, S.F.239877667191596115
2018Alvin Kamara, N.O.194883817091592184
2021Austin Ekeler, LAC206911706471558202
2017Alvin Kamara, N.O.120728818261554143
2004Brian Westbrook, Phil.17781273703151597
1993Johnny Johnson, NYJ19882167641146244
2003Moe Williams, Min.174745656441389812
1995Derek Loville, S.F.218723876621385133
1993Herschel Walker, Phil.17474675610135646
2011Darren Sproles, N.O.87603867101313105
2005Brian Westbrook, Phil.156617616161233710
2001Duce Staley, Phil.166604636261230415

Swift doesn't look quite as good in standard formats. And it's likely the team will work in another back for some carries, unlike what was happening when Craig, Faulk and McCaffrey were achieving the milestones Swift is shooting for.

But I think 800 rushing and 600-700 receiving is very doable, giving him top-5 potential -- not just potential, but likelihood. I'll be very comfortable selecting him at the bottom of the first round in drafts.

--Andy Richardson