Fantasy Index

Andy Richardson

A Day of Football

Underdogs and defenses rise up

Kind of a weird day in the NFL. A number of favored, juggernaut-looking teams the first couple of weeks, like Kansas City and Buffalo, repeatedly shot themselves in the foot in losses. Then there were the low-scoring slogs that were painful to watch, resulting in some lower-scoring fantasy matchups, too. Sometimes people say defenses are ahead of offenses; right now more accurate to say offenses are behind defenses.

Saints at Panthers: A 100-yard rushing performance from Christian McCaffrey. More catches and touchdowns would be nice, but a good game and a convincing win for Carolina. Not sure exactly what's up with the Saints but having key guys like Jameis Winston and Alvin Kamara playing through injury is probably part of it. Winston did throw for 353 and Chris Olave had a big game, but most of it late. Panthers wideouts did nothing, unless you count a long TD off a short throw by Laviska Shenault. Speaking of unexpected wide receiver good games, TreQuan Smith went over 100 yards and Marquez Callaway scored, although I'm only half-certain Callaway was even the intended target, there were like eight players in the area.

Texans at Bears: Hey nice game for Dameon Pierce. Best player for the Bears was Khalil Herbert, who no one started, scoring 2 TDs after David Montgomery left due to injury. Another goofy 8 for 17 stat line for Justin Fields, wide receivers on both team were dreadful. Of course, Bears receivers can only do so much with their quarterback completing 7-8 passes per game. Nice to see Cole Kmet (2 for 40) join the 2022 season, at least.

Kansas City at Colts: So shocking it almost wasn't surprising. Colts, with their season on the brink, got a few breaks late and stole a win. Good game for Michael Pittman, clutch for the Colts defense and some key throws by Matt Ryan. A couple of touchdowns for rookie tight end Jelani Woods, pretty sure nobody started him, one of those kinds of weeks. Knocked out about half my Survivor Pool, probably half of almost every Survivor Pool I'd say. One that Kansas City let get away with some uncharacteristic miscues (including Travis Kelce dropping a ball in the end zone he normally catches).

Bills at Dolphins: One of the day's better games, and another one where Buffalo has to be scratching its head about how they lost. Tyler Bass missed a field goal, while Josh Allen threw for 400 yards and a couple of touchdowns, but it's the missed opportunities (like a ball at his open receiver's feet in the end zone, an end-zone drop by a possibly limited by ankle injury Gabe Davis, and another series that really should have ended in a touchdown but didn't) that they'll be fretting about this week. Devin Singletary had a huge receiving game, while James Cook and Zack Moss were also involved in that regard, but it wasn't enough. Bills let this one get away. Tua Tagovailoa did enough to win, despite missing some time to injury (some question as to whether concussion protocols were being followed properly, as Tua was distinctly shaken up at one point), while Jaylen Waddle did more of the receiving. It's not like Tyreek never had quiet games in Kansas City. Chase Edmonds 2 TDs on benches everywhere. Some wild plays late, including the Dolphins blocking their own punt for a safety and the Bills not getting out of bounds late to try a long field goal. Bills also messed up in field goal range right before the half, letting time expire. Ugly.

Lions at Vikings: Another gut-punch type of loss for the Lions, who really dominated this one for much of the way and just needed to a couple of late conversions to win, but didn't get them. Worst was when the blocking was there for a Jamaal Williams 4th and 1 carry that would have all but iced the game, but he didn't follow it and got stuffed. 2nd-worst from a fantasy perspective was Williams scoring 2 TDs and D'Andre Swift disappointing, kind of annoying. Dalvin Cook scored and left with injury after, then Alexander Mattison turned in one of the cooler touchdown runs of the young season. Both of these teams are going to be involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, not a lot of defense being played in the midwest M states.

Ravens at Patriots: Unexpectedly high-scoring, at least it was unexpected to me. Patriots aren't looking quite as tough defensively all of a sudden, Lamar keeps the contract push going, J.K. Dobbins showed why not to start J.K. Dobbins yet. Huge game for Mark Andrews. Mac Jones made a couple of careless throws, but more importantly got hurt late, early report a high ankle sprain. Big game for Rhamondre Stevenson, making his case to take over the backfield. Jakobi Meyers' absence resulted in a big game for DeVante Parker, pretty much invisible the first two weeks, not Nelson Agholor (who lost a very costly fumble late on a really good defensive play). Sloppy game, but Ravens played well enough.

Bengals at Jets: Thought the Bengals would win this game, regrettably didn't believe enough to pick it. A big game by Joe Burrow and his receiving corps, all three of them. Joe Mixon picked up an ankle injury, we’ll see. Quiet game by Hayden Hurst, just when we started to believe, although at least there was the injury concern during the week to make him a little less appealing. For the Jets, dud game for Michael Carter, while Breece Hall had the big receiving game at the position. And Tyler Conklin stepped up big again with 8 catches for Joe Flacco (who did not strengthen his grip on the starting job here). Garrett Wilson missed some time due to injury, but I believe he's OK.

Raiders at Titans: Kind of got the sense the Titans, like the Bengals and Colts, would pull it together and sneak away with a pride-driven win. And so they did, with Derrick Henry having a nice game and the defense making a lot of stops early, and just enough late. Some costly mistakes by the Raiders, like Darren Waller letting a ball go off his hands for an interception in the end zone, most notably. Josh Jacobs was fine and productive, while the main beneficiary from Hunter Renfrow's absence was Mack Hollins with a huge game. Not much else doing from either offense, though Davante Adams scored again to have a decent day.

Eagles at Commanders: Eagles are a pretty good team. On both sides of the ball, and they showed it here for the second time in six days. Jalen Hurts is playing his best football, A.J. Brown is making the Titans look foolish, DeVonta Smith had his best game all year, Dallas Goedert scored (before getting hurt) and their defense is making veteran quarterbacks look bad. Carson Wentz, erratic of course, doesn't always need help to look bad, but a rough outing for the Washington offense. Good game for Terry McLaurin (late), touchdown for Antonio Gibson, while Curtis Samuel with that nice safe floor of catching short passes, had a good, relatively meaningless fantasy day. Washington bottled up Philadelphia's ground game, it was everything else they did poorly at.

Jaguars at Chargers: My ill-fated Survivor Pool pick. Turned out that Justin Herbert played (and fairly well, too), but the defense fell apart, a couple of key guys (Joey Bosa, Kenneth Murray) left due to injury, and the Jaguars basically controlled the line of scrimmage all day. Trevor Lawrence looking good, using all his receivers, James Robinson saying What Achilles injury and blowing through a monster hole in a short-yardage situation for a long touchdown. Bad pick, bad game for Los Angeles, not much good to say except keep on starting James Robinson and Christian Kirk, I guess. Good game for Zay, too; a rising Lawrence lifts all boats. Mike Williams caught 1 pass, a touchdown at least. Decent game for Josh Palmer, but Keenan Allen's absence was probably felt. Although again, defense getting smoked seemed like the biggest deal.

Rams at Cardinals: Rams defense shut down Kyler Murray and the Cardinals, again, at least as far as getting in the end zone. Lots of field goals, lots of Marquise Brown receptions, lots of yards for Murray. Rams let them hang around in large part because of missed opportunities -- Allen Robinson (I understand if you give up on him) let an easy touchdown go right through his hands, Cooper Kupp also couldn't reel in a catchable ball for a score. I'm not calling it a drop, quite, but maybe it was. More good numbers for Greg Dortch, too bad I benched him in a couple of leagues for (I believe) Robinson. Cam Akers with a touchdown, another decent day for another guy coming off an Achilles injury.

Falcons at Seahawks: Some internal debate while examining this game as to whether the bad offenses would or wouldn't be overshadowed by the bad defenses. Turned out the offenses won out, with Cordarrelle Patterson having a big game, Geno Smith and Marcus Mariota putting up multi-touchdown games, and Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf and Drake London all playing off in lineups. Best of all, Kyle Pitts emerged from fantasy milk cartons to catch 5 passes for 87 yards, looking a little more like what everyone was hoping for from him. Hope you bought low, although granted Atlanta will face some better defenses than Seattle.

Packers at Bucs: Can't say you weren't warned this one would be really, really low scoring. But Aaron Rodgers was fine, best guesses for his best two wide receivers (Lazard and Doubs) caught touchdowns, and the Bucs were more overmatched by their missing players -- feels like maybe Mike Evans would have made a difference. But a good game for Russell Gage, serviceable for Tom Brady, and I thought Leonard Fournette, as per usual, looked better than the final numbers suggested. But not much running on either side. Really good Bucs defense, I'm not as sure on Green Bay's (Bucs weren't doing much against anyone today).

49ers at Broncos: This was a painful one to watch, 60 minutes of football that featured one good drive per team. For the Broncos, it's excruciating -- Russell Wilson looks like he's playing in molasses, finally turning in a late drive where he looked like the guy who took Seattle to two Super Bowls: scrambling, making throws on the run and plays with his legs. Would be nice if the offense could continue to implement if every so often. Courtland Sutton looked great, Javonte Williams did at times....but Denver is not only using Melvin Gordon almost as much, but they're evening using Mike Boone as a passing downs back, which I don't really understand (but not much of what Denver is doing on offense is understandable). Hard to use any Broncos but Sutton at this point (nearly a long touchdown to Jerry Jeudy, at least, defender slightly deflected a pretty strong throw). With the 49ers, I think this was a pretty good example of the reality that some have way, way too much confidence in Jimmy Garoppolo. He was dreadful in this game, stumbling around missing throws, taking a safety out of the back of his own end zone -- fortunate to avoid a Pick Six on the same play -- and not looking like anyone's future franchise quarterback. I get he took San Fran to a Super Bowl and almost another, but he's a pretty limited quarterback lucky to have some great receivers and a great defense on his side. I needed a shower after watching this game.

Monday, Monday: What better way to cap a weekend of mostly lousy football than with Cooper Rush versus Daniel Jones? Both defenses look pretty good to me so I'm not expecting pretty or high-scoring. Arguably Saquon Barkley and CeeDee Lamb are the only player who should be and are in most lineups. The game's in New York (New Jersey), but I have a little more faith in the Cowboys defense. A little. Dallas 23, New York 20.

33 Reader Comments:

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2022-09-26T12:49:39Z
Buffalo lost half of their starters to cramps. Davis, Milano, and Mckenzie should of all caught easy TDs. Your right about this week being hard to watch. Denver is atrocious. At least in defense of Jimmy G that Denver defense was getting pressure all night.

Robert Kurek

Blacksburg, VA
2022-09-26T12:49:47Z
Noticed tempers flaring on the sidelines yesterday. Most notably was Mahomes. He has to be missing Hill out there.

Greg Resin

Torrance, CA
2022-09-26T13:32:11Z
I was just offered Kyler & J. Palmer for Lawrence & G. Davis…which combo would you rather have?

Also, is stashing Rachaad White in a 16 Teamer worthwhile, or just a dart throw?

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-09-26T13:42:46Z
He's a worthwhile dart throw. Not usable if Fournette stays healthy, potentially very good if he gets hurt.

I'd rather have Lawrence and Davis and it's not particularly close.

David DiGregorio

Norristown, PA
2022-09-26T14:05:27Z
Wilson needs to scramble more.

David DiGregorio

Norristown, PA
2022-09-26T14:06:58Z
Greg, Kyler Murray crashes and burns at the end of seasons, and Arizona looks like a train wreck already.

Michael Miller

New York, NY
2022-09-26T14:16:08Z
wtf is going on with the Chiefs? I feel like this is the OC's fault more than anything else. the play calling looked poor and predictable.

Drew Paterson

Ferndale, WA
2022-09-26T14:50:13Z
I wonder if I should be looking to trade Javonte Williams. Hate to sell while he's so low, but the Bronco's offense looks like a mess. Offense line looked overmatched every time the 49'ers called up a blitz, unimaginative play calling, poor run blocking, and Javonte missing several holes. That last drive looked really good, and Wilson made all the right plays, but hard to overlook all those other 3 and outs.

Greg Resin

Torrance, CA
2022-09-26T14:55:18Z
Thanks for the feedback, Andy & David.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-09-26T15:01:44Z
It sounds tired to say this, but I can't figure out why Javonte isn't playing three-quarters of the time, with Gordon a change-of-pace, maybe contributing for occasional blocking or short-yardage situations. Last night he fumbled twice and routinely looked like he'd put the ball on the ground at other times. Sometimes he runs with juice, sometimes he just looks slow. Javonte didn't go anywhere after halftime but he had several runs where he looked like threats to break a big one. Mike Boone might be one of the league's best No. 3s but is he really so good that he should be playing 20 percent of the snaps? I continue to believe that Denver will eventually commit to Javonte because He Is Their Best Running Back, but sometimes coaches move slowly on these things. I don't see the point in selling low on Javonte regardless -- there is no world where any coaching staff decides to feature Gordon, barring a Williams injury.

Ben Hogevoll

Siletz, OR
2022-09-26T15:14:51Z
Greg,Not so fast! Andy and David are forgetting Hopkins return in 3 weeks.Things will improve big time if you can hang on until then.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-09-26T15:22:03Z
Not forgetting it. I don't think Kyler is terrible or anything. But he's definitely not a better passer than Lawrence, and he hasn't been running as much so far this season. And even if he is a little better as a fantasy QB than Lawrence (which seems debatable right now) Gabe Davis when healthy is a lot better than Josh Palmer, so that would be more of a downgrade than the QB upgrade.

Robert McKinlay

Belews Creek, NC
2022-09-26T15:44:07Z
Agree Davis tips the value of trade. Murray will be top 5 once Hopkins back.

Bruce Sadler

Lakeland, FL
2022-09-26T15:47:38Z
Pederson with Trevor has been a blessing for the Jags and Trevor . Remember look what Doug P was doing with Wentz before he broke his leg . We already now that ktler M has topped out . I would take that deal if it is a keeper league or not .

Brian Grzybowski

San Francisco, CA
2022-09-26T15:58:24Z
I think the 17th game is really hurting the product. So many teams have stopped playing starters in the pre-season because of that extra game. We are watching players play themselves into game shape and that looks like a 3-4 week process. Gassed defenses giving up big comebacks, receivers dropping easy balls, etc. I think starting next week the quality will level off and a lot of the pre-season predictions will get back on track. But it has been a weird 3 weeks thus far.

David Kennedy

Steamburg, NY
2022-09-26T16:06:21Z
I don't think Hopkins is the type of player that elevates an offense anymore. I think I would rather have Lawrence straight up. It might be a downgrade at Qb n Wr.

David Lutz

Lancaster, MA
2022-09-26T16:11:46Z
Week3 was one of those backup weeks and u just knew blow up guys from week 2 were going to have it tough, stbrown,kupp,diggs, chase etc...def was a week for doubs, boyd, etc... As usual, NotForLong reared its ugly head....

Greg Resin

Torrance, CA
2022-09-26T16:14:20Z
Sorry for derailing the "day after" theme with my trade question, but very much enjoyed the collective correspondence which ensued. Several clever angles. Appreciated.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2022-09-26T17:27:45Z
Hey Drew, I wouldn't be in a rush to trade Javonte Williams, at least if it's in a keeper league or dynasty. At this rate it's looking fair to say Williams will outlast Nathaniel Hackett and OC Justin Outten in Denver.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-09-26T19:44:51Z
To me the big question with Denver, when Wilson led that late, game-winning drive, looking more like his former self for the first time this season is 1) did Wilson decide to scramble and move around some at long last, or 2) did the coaching staff say, "Please scramble and move around some like the guy we thought we were committing all this money to, OK?" If he plays like that for a little more of each game, the offense will have success. If he stays in the pocket at all times like he did for the other 2.75 games, the team is toast.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2022-09-26T20:09:53Z
The SF defense wore down, and the place it shows up first is the pass rush. When Trent Williams went down, it was game over. Haven't seen anything on Williams to this point, but until/if he comes back, it's going to be ugly.

John Evans

Jacksonville, FL
2022-09-26T20:37:29Z
I didn’t think it was possible for the Saints offense to be near as bad as last year. After all, you add Landry, Olave, and Thomas, and Winston can’t be worse than Siemian, Hill, and Book, right? Well…they are doing the impossible. Winston has looked utterly befuddled. The play calling has very likely been the worst in the NFL. You have to imagine that by default they have to improve, but the question is how much?

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-09-26T20:38:19Z
Reportedly a high-ankle sprain. Often a 4-6 week injury, although sometimes you'll see just 2-3 (more likely maybe with a lineman than say a running back). But he's missing multiple games, certainly.

I'll agree the San Fran defense wore down, but they were still getting a lot of pressure -- just, Wilson actually stepped up and eluded it, rather than acting like he was nailed to the turf.

BTW, my weekly rant against officiating would find plenty from this game to complain about. Picking up the flag for tripping was ludicrous; Bosa tripped him. And the typical lousy spot where Wilson extended the ball comfortably across the first-down line. Officials suck.

KW Song

Pittsburgh, PA
2022-09-26T21:39:20Z
I keep hearing Doubs hype, was yesterday a breakout performance? Didn't get to see much of that game.

Robert McKinlay

Belews Creek, NC
2022-09-26T21:45:56Z
I'd say yes on breakout. 8 for 8. Lazard may end up second fiddle.

Robert McKinlay

Belews Creek, NC
2022-09-26T21:46:14Z
Course I got Lazard.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2022-09-26T22:10:57Z
Well, that's quite the rant there, Andy. Just like 'one of the guys'. Fun to see that.

Cliff Neville

Somerset, TX
2022-09-26T22:20:49Z
trevor lawrence is giving hints that he may be more the one everyone thought he was after the draft (okay, maybe not the second coming, but still), than the one he was after urban meyer got hold of him.

Rob D.

Wellington, FL
2022-09-27T01:05:39Z
NFL schedule makers really need to re-think putting the Dolphins on in Miami at 1pm. I live an hour north of Miami. it was about 94 yesterday, all sun blazing hot , and the opponents are on the sunny side of the stadium. It's like cruel and unusual punishment lol. yeah GB is super cold in january. you run around you warm up. it was 110 on the field yesterday and opening day v NE. any team coming to Miami in September for early sunday games needs to get here on wednesday, get accustomed to the heat as best they can. but the last 9 minutes of yesterday's game were some of the most exciting 9 minutes of any game I've ever seen. 3 missed INTs for Dolphins Defense. a punt into the back of your teammate for a safety. Josh allen throwing a 4th and 3 pass into the turf? does this mean that Mark Sanchez is officially off the hook with the butt fumble?
what a game! I think Dolphins conditioning in this heat was the difference. Bills looked deflated late.

Mark Rapley

Rosemount, MN
2022-09-27T01:12:03Z
Can someone talk me off the ledge re: Ekeler? I took him THIRD in my standard league ahead of all the stud WRs and the dude is singlehandedly killing my team and since he's not injured I can't bench him. He has yet to run for 40 yards in a game and has yet to score a TD.

Robert Johnson

Pearland, TX
2022-09-27T01:45:29Z
Hackett seems overmatched. It looks like he has asked Russ to stay in the pocket 'like Aaron does'. Not a good fit for Wilson Also, running game much better with Russ under center, and Russ looks much more fluid when dropping back from under center. Wonder how long it will take for the Hack to catch on? Maybe Wilson already has...

Darrell Sooy

West Chester, PA
2022-09-27T04:08:20Z
Mark, I’m with you on Ekeler. I picked him 4th overall in a half PPR league and debated him or Kupp for my entire clock. He’s a good back. I just don’t understand.

Richard Spinella

North Providence, RI
2022-09-27T14:16:41Z
What don’t you understand with Eckler?
He had a career year last year predicated mostly on an inordinate amount of TDs which is very erratic from year to year
The addition of Sony Michel decreased his touches which is what Eckler wanted to save his body.
He is a good back but I didn’t see him as a top pick for this year.
Plus he isn’t that big I think he is an injury risk if he continued with the same volume as last year. I think he and the team see that too and wanted to get him in more of a committee but with him being used in all the key spots
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