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Andy Richardson

Thursday Night Recap

Colts slightly less bad in worst game ever

What percentage of NFL games in the last half century don't have any touchdowns? It's got to be a small number, and probably a lot of them were affected by crummy weather. Last night we had another one, and props to the defenses, but it seems to mostly be a case of two veteran transplant quarterbacks who left their best work in the past.

Usually these recaps proceed from Quarterback on down through miscellaneous comments including Team Defenses. I'm gonna be changing that up this week.

DEFENSES:

Both defenses played so well in this game that it was unfortunate somebody had to lose. For the Colts (who didn't even have their best player, linebacker Shaquille Leonard), this was the kind of defense I was expecting in the summer, since they added Yannick Ngaokoue and Stephon Gilmore. They got a lot of pressure on Russell Wilson, they mostly stuffed the run, and their secondary locked up receivers and made a couple of great defensive plays. Of course, they were helped a Broncos offense whose quarterback is struggling, best running back is on IR, and seems totally bereft of clever ideas on either the sidelines or in on-field management. But some credit must be given to a defense which also did a nice job on Kansas City's offense not too long ago. This Colts team isn't going anywhere, but it won't be their defense that holds them back.

Denver's defense was arguably better, in that it seemingly could have sacked Matt Ryan about a dozen times and basically didn't let the Colts move the ball at all until the final minutes, perhaps wearing down as teams do in the fourth and fifth quarters. And it lost some players to injury along the way, hurting them late. What was encouraging was the play of Bradley Chubb (generally a disappointment since being drafted) and last year's third-rounder Baron Browning. Both of those guys met at the quarterback in the backfield on several occasions, harassing Ryan into a terrible game. Patrick Surtain shut down Michael Pittman for a lot of game. A nice defensive effort, certainly not their fault the Broncos lost.

KICKERS:

Chase McLaughlin has been a little streaky, which is why he's been with seven teams the last four years, including multiple stints with the Colts. But he looks pretty automatic right now. Brandon McManus generally looks reliable, but the unit is having some breakdowns. Had one blocked last night and also an extra point against the Raiders. Those misses are highlighted with all the close games Denver is playing.

TIGHT ENDS:

It almost seems like the Colts are determined to frustrate fantasy teams; only plus is that it's predictable at this point. Two weeks ago Jelani Woods caught 2 TDs, last week Mo Alie-Cox did. So naturally those guys combined to catch 1 short pass on 2 targets last night, while Kylen Granson saw 3 passes and had a 16-yard catch. You might think one of these guys will be featured at some point, but you would be incorrect.

Denver has something similar going on with four different players at the position, the problem is that none of these guys are very good. Eric Saubert caught 5 passes last night, but for just 36 yards. I watched the entire game and just one of them made much of an impact, a 4th-down conversion on what should have been the game-clinching drive until the team mucked it up. The others were 2-yard catches on 3rd and 7 and 8-yard catches on 3rd and 10, helping to position the punter. Eric Tomlinson, Albert Okwuegbunam and Andrew Beck all saw single targets, with Beck's the most impactful, potentially. A perfect Wilson throw at the goal line that Beck had in both hands before the defender ripped it away. That was the closest Denver came to a touchdown all night. Denver hopes to have Greg Dulcich back from IR (hamstring) before the next game, and they'll probably get him involved quickly -- why not? They're not going to build around Eric Saubert.

WIDE RECEIVERS:

The Colts secondary mostly did a nice job on Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy. Jeudy got free downfield for a big play and Wilson hit him in stride with a pretty nice throw, but props to safety Rodney Thomas, who got over in time to break it up. Jeudy was free near the goal line on another play but Wilson led him a little too much. He then had a 37-yard catch in overtime to give Denver a chance at winning the game, which they of course didn't do. Sutton had the best statistical day (5 for 74), but it didn't feel like it. He was well-covered on the last play of the game and Wilson tried to force it in to him anyway. The highlight was a 51-yard catch where both Sutton and rookie Montrell Washington were there, both caught the thing (while the official, trying to get out of the way, took out the Colts defender, lol), Sutton ended up with it. No other Bronco receivers made an impact; KJ Hamler was open on the last play but Wilson couldn't see him.

Michael Pittman was a factor early, Alec Pierce late. Kind of a breakout game for the rookie, catching 8 for 81 on 9 targets; at the end Denver put Patrick Surtain on him, but not soon enough. There's no way this team is going to pass the ball well enough for Pittman and Pierce to both be weekly options, but it now seems possible that there will be other weeks where it's Pierce who's better. Just one game, but not a positive one for Pittman's value. Parris Campbell continues to play throughout, he's averaging a terrific 2 catches for 22 yards per game.

RUNNING BACKS:

In fairness to both horrific offenses, they probably would have been better if they had their starting running backs. Teams tend to undervalue these guys, but Jonathan Taylor and Javonte Williams would both have commanded more defensive respect and done more on the ground; their absence certainly helped the opposing defenses, and hurt the quarterbacks and offenses. And then Nyheim Hines, who was headed for a productive day after getting all three touches on the opening series, suffered a concussion similar to what we saw from Tua, being unable to stand on his own after what looked a like a pretty routine hit. So it was a Deon Jackson and Phillip Lindsay tandem, with Jackson (91 total yards and nearly 60 percent of the snaps) looking like the correct No. 2 or starter if either Taylor, Hines or both misses time. Averaged 4.8 yards per attempt and caught all 4 passes thrown his way, one of the two bright spots in the offense.

Melvin Gordon was running with both hands wrapped around the ball. He still had a fumble, but his knee was clearly down, and he held on despite getting flipped on his last carry at the end of overtime, so close to winning the game with a touchdown right there. The Broncos absolutely should have run the ball on 4th and short, 100 percent, no question. And lined up, initially, like they were going to do just that. But a timeout later, they opted for the shotgun and a futile pass play. Stupid choice, and the kind that loses the locker room, I think, too. Denver was running well in the fourth period and overtime. That was the time to line up and bash out the 1-2 yards and win the game. Instead they went for a low-percentage pass play. Just wrong-headed.

Mike Boone played as a change of pace and in some passing situations; it was about a 60-40 split. With a couple of long runs/receptions in there, he finished with much better averages and looked a lot more likely to have success running it than Gordon. I don't know if they'll give him a shot to carry more of the load, but I thought he did well enough that he'll continue to have a role, and I thought Gordon at least wasn't so awful to think that Latavius Murray will be starting soon. Gordon wasn't good (15 carries, 54 yards, 3.6, plus 3 catches for 49 yards); he is what he is. I don't think Murray would step in and elevate the offense. Denver has 11 days before their next game (a Monday nighter, good grief do we really need 4 primetime Denver games in six weeks? The schedule-makers really dropped the ball on this one, even if the Broncos were great), but I'm not sure we'll see anything markedly different with the backfield.

QUARTERBACKS:

Here we go. Matt Ryan is definitely cooked. He can't move, he threw a couple of the worst interceptions you'll ever see where he completely missed a defender standing in the passing lane, and if last night wasn't one of the last games the Colts win this year I'll be surprised. I'm going to be very wary of starting Pittman going forward, and it's probably not going to be a plus for Taylor, either. The Colts shuffled their offensive line, moving left tackle Matt Pryor to right tackle, moving right tackle Braden Smith inside to guard, and starting third-rounder Bernhard Raimann at left tackle. Ryan was sacked 6 times and it could easily have been more, so I don't think getting a win means it worked. We'll see what they do next game. Either way, start opposing defenses against Ryan. I'm calling the AFC South for Jacksonville, with Tennessee the 2nd-best option (and the Titans aren't good either).

I'm done making excuses for Russell Wilson. It's frustrating and depressing to watch him play. When he rolls out and scrambles, good things typically happen. But either because he's older and doesn't want to get hit, or the coaching isn't imaginative enough, or there's just not much desire, it doesn't occur very often. He led a nice drive (mostly on the ground) at the end of regulation that should have won the game. Run the ball, kick a field goal to go up 6, and keep the Colts out of the end zone, which would have happened. But no, the crowd booing had perhaps got to Hackett/Wilson, who decided to take a chance at scoring a touchdown, rather than get the win and go back to the drawing board before the next game. Wilson forced one into the end zone (to Tyrie Cleveland, who?) that was easily intercepted. Colts got to start at their 20, tied it up, won in overtime. Again in overtime, Broncos could probably have run the ball and won. But instead they went shotgun, forced a pass in with little chance of being completed, lost. Three and a half hours of my life I won't get back.

So where do these teams tied to veteran quarterbacks who won't get them into the playoffs go from here? Well, the Colts will look elsewhere for a quarterback next year, they've got a lot of practice at it. They at least have some draft picks and can get out of the contract fairly promptly. Denver? Well, they're screwed. They don't have early picks, and they've given Wilson a contract they're stuck with for a couple of years. They'll fire Hackett and bring in some coach who's experienced with figuring out a way to maximize an older quarterback's final years in some usable way. Maybe the defense is good enough to get them into the playoffs one of these years. But they're going to be the 3rd-best team in the AFC West, at best, for those seasons. In 2022, for certain, it's not happening for the Broncos, and fantasy teams tied to any of these guys are going to be coming up short, too.

30 Reader Comments:

Robert Kurek

Blacksburg, VA
2022-10-07T13:41:55Z
Denver fans looked on in horror at their offense. The owners, GMs, consultant Elway didn’t like what they saw either. Wilson looks like he doesn’t fit the system they’re trying to run.

Patrick LaMendola

Penfield, NY
2022-10-07T13:42:19Z
Maybe, just maybe, Seattle knew what they were doing.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-10-07T13:55:58Z
I can't really fault Denver here. For years they've struggled to field a winning team because they don't have a quarterback. They have good personnel at other positions. This approach worked for them before with Peyton Manning, and he was older; there were doubtless people who thought he'd be a bad investment too. And they won a Super Bowl with Manning himself playing more of a supporting role. But it's looking like lightning won't strike twice.

Mark Maloney

Andover, MN
2022-10-07T13:59:23Z
Yeah I understand the short week of practice angle, but it honestly looked as though Wilson and his teammates had just met for the first time right before the game. Besides the fact that the whole offense looks disjointed and the well documented bad play calling/game management decisions, Wilson threw very few catchable balls or hit guy in stride. There’s something very disinterested looking about him. After watching that I have zero confidence in anything attached to either Wilson or Hackett.

Cody Hager

Portland, OR
2022-10-07T14:14:12Z
Nathaniel Hackett's decision to kick a 64 yard FG on Monday Night is looking better and better every week

Robert Kurek

Blacksburg, VA
2022-10-07T14:21:38Z
As for the Colts, I remember their fans donning the ‘Suck for Luck’ T-shirts. They couldn’t predict injury, but drafting QB with a top pick is never a sure thing. How did Mahomes fall to the Chiefs?

Greg Resin

Torrance, CA
2022-10-07T14:22:24Z
It’s strange since it hasn’t seemed to impact the rest of his strong career, but Wilson’s height seems to be an issue now. Passes being knocked down…and is he not seeing the open players? Not sure, but he feels really out of place all of a sudden. His head coach being in over his head can’t be helping either.

As someone who expected Jeudy to break out upon his arrival it’s pretty frustrating. Let Russ Cook should now be Russ is Cooked.

Matt Ryan, my goodness…looks dreadful.

Dennis Salisbury

Cranston, RI
2022-10-07T14:27:35Z
You pay all this $$$ and draft picks for this QB and he cannot avoid the rookie mistake? I agree the Wilson running thing is strange? He seems to be fine, there seems to be no bootlegs and/or rolling out the QB, or an RPO here and there? He seems like he is over/under thrown on every ball...I know its only 1 game but we are talking week # 5 now. I think Kirk Herbstreit (last night broadcast) said it best that September is more like summer camp when the early games are played? I don't know...but the coach/QB need to stop stinking up the joint and right the ship...they have plenty of time...since everyone makes the playoffs these days.

Dennis Salisbury

Cranston, RI
2022-10-07T14:31:28Z
It seems like every week this year we see awful concussions now? Get well Nyheim Hines that sucked!

Ben Hogevoll

Siletz, OR
2022-10-07T14:49:06Z
The game was about as boring as watching a coronavirus press conference

Greg Resin

Torrance, CA
2022-10-07T14:50:31Z
The Michaels / Herbstreit combo was the best part of the game. Both great.

Eric Goetz

Shoreline, WA
2022-10-07T14:55:33Z
This was the worst primetime game since the epic 6-6 OT tilt between the Seahawks and Cardinals back in 2016 - which was a 3-3 tie at the end of regulation. Hard to fathom why Denver didn't kick the FG at the end of regulation and force Indy to score a TD to win.

Dennis Salisbury

Cranston, RI
2022-10-07T14:56:54Z
Did anyone see poor Richard Sherman after the broadcast regarding the Russell Wilson 2nd pick commentary? He completely went off the rails and had a flashback or some PTSD from Super Bowl 49...bring Marshawn Lynch up here...he needs therapy.

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2022-10-07T14:58:50Z
Since the move to 32 teams in 2002, there have been 31 regular season games in 20-plus years with neither team scoring a touchdown. Happened twice last year. Saints had that weird 9-0 win at Tampa Bay, and there was the Jacksonville upset over Buffalo.

Scott Anderson

Las Vegas, NV
2022-10-07T15:06:59Z
Listening to Denver sports talk and there are some serious concerns with the locker room & chemistry now...hoo boy

Scott Anderson

Las Vegas, NV
2022-10-07T15:07:45Z
Also, in a league where I came out of the draft with Stafford & Mills, I moved Pittman for Trevor Lawrence 2 weeks ago and that is looking prescient

Ian Allan

Seattle, WA
2022-10-07T15:11:57Z
Jerry Jeudy. There were a couple of throws where it seemed like he could have done better. Wilson tried to jam one into him right under the goal posts in the first half. Jeudy was well covered, but there throw was right there. The kind of ball that the really good receivers catch. Less notably, in the second half, there was a long one down the left sideline, heading towards the end zone. It looked like it was going to be a big play. Slightly overthrown, but Jeudy didn't even make an effort for it, as if it was 10 yards overthrown.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2022-10-07T15:19:15Z
I'm in a couple of IDP leagues, where you have linebackers and safeties flying around making tackles, and putting up points. You've got cornerbacks defending passes and making interceptions and putting up points, and defensive ends making sacks and putting up points. But this game was all about defensive team points, and if you started one of those and no offensive players, you're in pretty good shape. The highest defensive scorer? DeForest Buckner - a defensive tackle. That tells you everything you need to know about this game.

Drew Paterson

Ferndale, WA
2022-10-07T15:20:54Z
Thanks for the entertaining analysis Andy. It was better than sitting through such a snooze-fest of a game and took a lot less time. After losing Javonte from my fantasy team, at least I know not to covet any of the replacements Denver will trot out there.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-10-07T15:24:41Z
If you need a tough yard or two late in the game and you choose a pass formation rather than running, it usually hurts morale/confidence. The Broncos did it twice and failed both times. This is not second guessing… it was obvious before during and after. It’s one thing to give a team a pass in week one …when they’re still doing it in week five you start to think they’re not gonna learn. The fact that it actually wouldn’t be stunning if Hackett got fired before next week says all you need to know.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-10-07T15:27:37Z
That Jeudy play near the goal line bugged us too. Seemed like he could have laid out for it. Throw had a bit too much on it but it wasn’t as far off as Jeudy’s lack of effort indicated.

GREG PEARMAN

Peyton, CO
2022-10-07T15:49:12Z
I certainly feel that the play calling is in serious jeopardy. Especially in the red zone. I just feel Hackett is out of his forte. He is not head coach material. And definitely not an imaginative play caller. Russell Wilson is not the same QB we saw in Seattle back in the day. I noticed that especially last year watching him play. Bummer that Paton didn't see that before giving up the whole damn Farm for him. Brett Rypien is ready to play. He is quick, talented, and needs a shot. I know they won't play him unless Wilson gets dinged. The whole scene is a giant downer for us Bronco Fans.

James Costello

Portland, ME
2022-10-07T16:23:47Z
Maybe Jeudy has been overrated his entire short career. Maybe he’s Philip Dorsett, good for one catch a game. If you have a dud receiver that is easily coverable then the defense can focus on the other players. Seattle had real talent at the receiver position. Maybe Patrick would have made all the difference

Stephen Paschall

Lone Tree, CO
2022-10-07T17:07:49Z
And now I hear Garrett Bolles, LT, from Denver suffered a broken leg and is likely gone for the year. Broncos sinking quickly.

Brian Grzybowski

San Francisco, CA
2022-10-07T18:07:14Z
I don't understand what's going on with the Colts O-Line. They went from one of the best to being absolutely dreadful overnight. Injuries and personnel changes are a factor, but the drop has been huge. You can't have a guy that holds onto the ball as long as Matt Ryan back there. He's going to get killed.

Paul Desimone

Hayward, CA
2022-10-07T18:53:15Z
Being a former head coach or offensive coordinator for Aaron Rodgers apparently gets you a coaching gig by association. Rodgers could probably retire after this season and get the richest contract in NFL history as a head coach for some struggling franchise.

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-10-07T19:07:03Z
In fairness, this is the way almost all NFL coaching jobs get assigned…being connected in some way to either a successful QB, successful head coach, or successful team. It’s not surprising how many of these guys fail, but I’m also not sure what the recipe is for hiring a successful head coach. NFL teams clearly aren’t either.

Craig Larimer

Portland, OR
2022-10-07T19:38:09Z
Denver’s game management decisions have been miserable. Up 3 with 2 mins left and Indy has no timeouts. Run it. If stopped, kick FG. That was the key to the game. The only happy fantasy owners after the game were if you owned McManus you were satisfied. And if you had Mcalaughlin you hit a home run!

Darren Castillo

Placentia, CA
2022-10-07T20:25:30Z
I don't see the thursday night games. I have a commitment every thurs nite. So glad i missed it. Unfortunately I have both Wilson and Ryan on a couple of my leagues. I picked up Bridgewater and benched Ryan. Glad i did. But should i get rid of Wilson? I'm in a quandary. Week at a time

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-10-07T22:48:48Z
I think Wilson will be better in games the defense gives up more, like Las Vegas last week and probably the Chargers next game. With Ryan, I think the Colts will go run-heavy. But neither one looks great.
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