Fantasy Index

header banner img
OUR FANTASY BASEBALL MAGAZINE IS BACK! PRE-ORDER NOW
Win here.

Fantasy Index Weekly

Championship Game Rankings

49ers backfield questionable

Over the course of this week, we've previewed the four teams playing on Sunday. Now it's time to see how the ranking shake out. There are some injury concerns, especially with the 49ers backfield.

Christian McCaffrey (calf) and Elijah Mitchell (groin) didn't practice at all on either Wednesday or Thursday. There's not much doubt that McCaffrey will play, he said as much himself after the game last Sunday, but ideally he'll get in at least a limited practice today. Mitchell seems iffier, in that a player playing through a calf injury seems more reasonable than a groin injury; running backs need their groins. For now, I scaled back expectations for McCaffrey a little and Mitchell a lot, assigning more of that work to Jordan Mason. It's debatable whether the offense would lose much with Mason in the lineup for Mitchell, although McCaffrey playing fewer snaps would be a significant negative for the 49ers.

Deebo Samuel (ankle) was limited in practice both days, but not much doubt he's playing at something close to his usual involvement. He could also see more carries with the running backs banged up.

The injury most were actually worried about all week, Patrick Mahomes' ankle, seems to not be a major issue. Mahomes practiced fully both days. I question whether he'll be quite as mobile or inclined to make plays while running around as usual, but straight off the injury report, he's fine.

Kansas City hasn't activated Clyde Edwards-Helaire from IR, so no telling if he's playing (they don't have to list practice participation for him). I don't expect him to play much even if he's activated. Mecole Hardman has practiced on a limited basis both days. He's missed a lot of time, so even if he's active, he won't necessarily get on the field much.

Cincinnati probably won't have Jonah Williams or Alex Cappa, who didn't practice either of the last two days. That didn't hurt them at Buffalo, but Kansas City has a better pass rush. Hayden Hurst (calf) popped up on Thursday's report as limited. He wasn't listed on Wednesday, indicating the issue cropped up in practice, an aggravation of an injury he’s been dealing with for a while. That's a concern that will need to be examined on Friday's injury report, but Hurst says he’s playing. When Hurst missed three games late in the year, Mitchell Wilcox caught 10 passes for 79 yards and a score -- not as big a part of the passing game, but perhaps a serviceable fill-in for the desperate, if Hurst’s optimism is unfounded.

The Eagles injury report isn't useful. The team didn't practice on Wednesday, and on Thursday held a lot of players out -- most notably from a fantasy perspective, A.J. Brown -- with a "not injury related - resting player" designation. So they're pretty much healthy.

Rankings are below. If the final injury report later today sheds more light on some of these players, I'll post in the comments below.

PLAYER RANKINGS
RkPosTeamPlayerPassRunRecTotTDPTDStdPPR
1QBPHIJalen Hurts2304902791.43.5525.525.5
2QBCINJoe Burrow2592002792.02.2324.424.4
3QBKCPatrick Mahomes252902621.93.0721.721.7
4WRCINJaMarr Chase017980.00.6611.918.9
5RBSFChristian McCaffrey0583593.00.8614.518.7
6QBSFBrock Purdy218502231.44.1618.118.1
7TEKCTravis Kelce107172.01.5510.616.1
8RBCINJoe Mixon0672491.00.5512.415.6
9WRPHIA.J. Brown007575.00.4810.415.1
10WRPHIDeVonta Smith006363.00.378.513.4
11TEPHIDallas Goedert006161.00.388.413.0
12RBKCIsiah Pacheco0701181.00.5711.612.7
13WRSFDeebo Samuel0244468.00.409.212.7
14WRCINTee Higgins005252.00.417.711.4
15RBPHIMiles Sanders060565.00.569.811.0
16TESFGeorge Kittle004848.00.427.411.0
17TECINHayden Hurst004242.00.295.910.8
18RBKCJerick McKinnon0242347.00.548.010.4
19WRKCJuJu Smith-Schuster004646.00.316.510.3
20WRSFBrandon Aiyuk014647.00.256.39.7
21WRKCKadarius Toney163845.00.296.29.5
22WRCINTyler Boyd103737.00.315.58.3
23PKPHIJake Elliott0000.00.007.67.6
24PKKCHarrison Butker0000.00.007.67.6
25PKCINEvan McPherson0000.00.007.47.4
26RBSFElijah Mitchell038744.00.296.27.3
27PKSFRobbie Gould0000.00.007.27.2
28RBCINSamaje Perine0201333.00.204.56.2
29WRSFJauan Jennings002626.00.123.35.7
30WRKCM. Valdes-Scantling002828.00.183.95.6
31RBPHIKenneth Gainwell021829.00.234.35.4
32WRPHIQuez Watkins001212.00.101.82.7
33WRCINTrent Irwin011011.00.121.92.6
34WRKCJustin Watson001313.00.061.62.4
35TEKCNoah Gray001010.00.061.42.4
36RBSFKyle Juszczyk0178.00.111.52.2
37RBSFJordan Mason012012.00.111.91.9
38RBPHIBoston Scott010010.00.101.71.8
39WRPHIZach Pascal0077.00.030.91.6
40WRKCSkyy Moore0257.00.030.91.4
41WRKCMecole Hardman0055.00.060.91.3
42WRSFRay-Ray McCloud0134.00.010.6.8
43TESFTyler Kroft0033.00.020.4.7
44RBKCMichael Burton0123.00.040.5.7
45TEKCBlake Bell0033.00.020.4.6
46WRCINTrent Taylor0112.00.020.4.5
47RBKCClyde Edwards-Helaire0112.00.020.3.4
48TEPHIJack Stoll0011.00.010.2.3
50TECINMitchell Wilcox0011.00.010.2.3
51TEPHIGrant Calcaterra0011.00.000.1.2
52WRSFDanny Gray0011.00.000.1.2
54RBCINTrayveon Williams0000.00.000.1.1
55TESFCharlie Woerner0000.00.000.1.1
56TECINDevin Asiasi0000.00.000.0.1
57WRPHIBritain Covey0000.00.000.1.1
58WRCINStanley Morgan0000.00.000.0.1
59TESFRoss Dwelley0000.00.000.0.1

Below are the projections for the four defenses, in a scoring system that gives 1 point for sacks, 2 for takeaways, and 6 for touchdowns. Not much separation; the Eagles (for that monster pass rush during the season, and facing the least experienced quarterback) look best. If we're factoring in points allowed, I think the NFC game will be lower-scoring, but that's not news.

Uncertainty is just how mobile Patrick Mahomes will be on his ankle. The Bengals had the worst of the four pass rushes during the season, but I upped their sack numbers a little considering Mahomes' injury. They still grade out the lowest of the four, but will be too low if Mahomes is significantly compromised.

CHAMPIONSHIP DEFENSES
DEFENSEFumIntSckDTDKTDFF Pts
Philadelphia0.550.763.20.110.036.70
San Francisco0.600.852.60.130.026.50
Kansas City0.450.653.00.120.015.99
Cincinnati0.670.702.30.080.025.85

--Andy Richardson

Fantasy Index