Factoid

July 24, 2023

Running back ages, part 2

Running backs tend to peak between ages of 23 and 27

If you’re hoping for a running back who’ll put up huge numbers – the best of his career – you should probably be looking at players who are under 28 years old. That’s how it tends to play out at the position.

We’ve been kicking around some ideas on running backs and aging, in part because players at that position aren’t getting paid. I posted a short blurb on yards-per-carry averages and ages yesterday. Those showed the average production for all running backs with at least 400 rushing yards in a season.

I had a thought on a different way to look at it, and the alternate stats appear below. On this one, I took the most productive season for each running back (just one season for each player, using PPR scoring). Then I took the top 100 seasons from the last 20 years and looked at the ages.

The most popular age for a peak season running back was age 24. And by a lot. Of the 100 seasons on the list, 21 came from 24-year-old backs – 7 more than any other age. All of the other ages between 23 and 27 had 10-14 seasons. That seems to be the window where running backs peak. Over 80 percent of peak running backs come from that group.

I pulled the same numbers for the ‘80s and ‘90s, but I don’t see anything super interesting. In those decades, there were nine fewer 24-year-olds, with 13 more who were either 25 or 26. But I am hesitant to say we’re looking at anything other than typical statistical variance. There were six fewer 30-year-old running backs who peaked in those decades.

Average age for peak running backs in the 32-team era: 25.3. For the ‘80s and ‘90s, it was 25.5.

RUNNING BACKS: BEST SEASONS
Age	80-90	02-	Total
21	1	3	4
22	5	8	13
23	16	14	30
24	12	21	33
25	18	12	30
26	17	10	27
27	14	14	28
28	8	5	13
29	5	3	8
30	2	8	10
31	1	1	2
32	0	1	1
33	0	0	0
34	1	0	1

I don’t think this is earth-shattering stuff, but for those who want to examine the top 100 running backs from each of these time periods, they appear below.

As this pertains to upcoming drafts, I notice that the running back position in general is a little old right now. Of the top 20 performers at the position last year (using PPR scoring), half are now at least 28 years old. Jerick McKinnon is 31. Derrick Henry and Aaron Jones will be 29 at the end of the year. Austin Ekeler, Nick Chub (pictured), Dalvin Cook, Jamaal Williams, James Conner, Alvin Kamara and unsigned Leonard Fournette are a year behind. Another two top-20 backs from last year are now 27 (Joe Mixon, Christian McCaffrey). So 60 percent of last year’s top 20 backs are at least 27 years old, making me think a good number of those guys will be falling off.

PEAK SEASONS BY RUNNING BACKS (2002-2022)
Year	Player	Age	Run	Rec	Total	TD	PPR
2006	LaDainian Tomlinson, S.D.	27	1,815	508	2,323	31	483.3
2019	Christian McCaffrey, Car.	23	1,387	1,005	2,392	19	471.2
2003	Priest Holmes, K.C.	30	1,420	690	2,110	27	447.0
2006	Steven Jackson, St.L.	23	1,528	806	2,334	16	419.4
2016	David Johnson, Ariz.	25	1,239	879	2,118	20	413.8
2009	Chris Johnson, Ten.	24	2,006	503	2,509	16	398.9
2010	Arian Foster, Hou.	24	1,616	604	2,220	18	396.0
2003	Ahman Green, G.B.	26	1,883	367	2,250	20	395.0
2017	Todd Gurley, LAR	23	1,305	788	2,093	19	387.3
2018	Saquon Barkley, NYG	21	1,307	721	2,028	15	385.8
2013	Jamaal Charles, K.C.	27	1,287	693	1,980	19	382.0
2005	Shaun Alexander, Sea.	28	1,880	78	1,958	28	378.8
2022	Austin Ekeler, LAC	27	915	722	1,637	18	378.7
2020	Alvin Kamara, N.O.	25	932	756	1,688	21	377.8
2021	Jonathan Taylor, Ind.	22	1,811	360	2,171	20	377.1
2011	Ray Rice, Balt.	24	1,364	704	2,068	15	376.9
2006	Larry Johnson, K.C.	27	1,789	410	2,199	19	374.9
2007	Brian Westbrook, Phil.	28	1,333	771	2,104	12	372.4
2002	Ricky Williams, Mia.	25	1,853	363	2,216	17	370.6
2014	LeVeon Bell, Pitt.	22	1,361	854	2,215	11	370.5
2014	DeMarco Murray, Dall.	26	1,845	416	2,261	13	361.1
2005	Tiki Barber, NYG	30	1,860	530	2,390	11	361.0
2012	Adrian Peterson, Min.	27	2,097	217	2,314	13	351.4
2014	Matt Forte, Chi.	29	1,038	808	1,846	10	350.6
2002	Charlie Garner, Oak.	30	962	941	1,903	11	347.3
2020	Dalvin Cook, Min.	25	1,557	361	1,918	17	343.8
2003	Jamal Lewis, Balt.	24	2,066	205	2,271	14	337.1
2020	Derrick Henry, Ten.	26	2,027	114	2,141	17	337.1
2006	Frank Gore, S.F.	23	1,695	485	2,180	9	333.0
2003	Deuce McAllister, N.O.	25	1,641	516	2,157	8	332.7
2013	LeSean McCoy, Phil.	25	1,607	539	2,146	11	332.6
2018	Ezekiel Elliott, Dall.	23	1,434	567	2,001	9	331.1
2022	Josh Jacobs, L.V.	24	1,653	400	2,053	12	330.3
2004	Domanick Williams, Hou.	24	1,188	588	1,776	14	329.6
2009	Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac.	24	1,391	374	1,765	16	325.5
2002	Clinton Portis, Den.	21	1,508	364	1,872	17	322.2
2015	Devonta Freeman, Atl.	23	1,056	578	1,634	14	320.4
2004	Curtis Martin, NYJ	31	1,697	245	1,942	14	319.2
2019	Aaron Jones, G.B.	25	1,084	474	1,558	19	318.8
2012	Doug Martin, T.B.	23	1,454	472	1,926	12	313.6
2008	DeAngelo Williams, Car.	25	1,515	121	1,636	20	307.6
2014	Marshawn Lynch, Sea.	28	1,306	367	1,673	17	306.3
2010	Peyton Hillis, Cle.	24	1,177	477	1,654	13	305.1
2002	Travis Henry, Buff.	24	1,438	309	1,747	14	301.7
2021	Najee Harris, Pitt.	23	1,200	467	1,667	10	300.7
2006	Willie Parker, Pitt.	26	1,494	222	1,716	16	298.6
2017	Kareem Hunt, K.C.	22	1,327	455	1,782	11	297.2
2005	LaMont Jordan, Oak.	27	1,025	563	1,588	11	296.8
2013	Knowshon Moreno, Den.	26	1,038	548	1,586	13	296.6
2021	Joe Mixon, Cin.	25	1,205	314	1,519	16	289.9
2017	Melvin Gordon, LAC	24	1,105	476	1,581	12	288.1
2018	James Conner, Pitt.	23	973	497	1,470	13	284.0
2017	Mark Ingram, N.O.	28	1,124	416	1,540	12	284.0
2022	Nick Chubb, Cle.	27	1,525	239	1,764	13	283.4
2008	Michael Turner, Atl.	26	1,699	41	1,740	17	282.0
2008	Thomas Jones, NYJ	30	1,312	207	1,519	15	277.9
2011	Darren Sproles, N.O.	28	603	710	1,313	10	277.3
2014	Eddie Lacy, G.B.	24	1,139	427	1,566	13	276.6
2007	Joseph Addai, Ind.	24	1,072	364	1,436	15	276.6
2018	James White, N.E.	26	425	751	1,176	12	276.6
2008	Steve Slaton, Hou.	22	1,282	377	1,659	10	275.9
2010	Darren McFadden, Oak.	23	1,157	507	1,664	10	273.4
2006	Reggie Bush, N.O.	21	565	742	1,307	9	272.7
2004	Corey Dillon, N.E.	30	1,635	103	1,738	13	268.8
2020	David Montgomery, Chi.	23	1,070	438	1,508	10	266.8
2019	Leonard Fournette, Jac.	24	1,152	522	1,674	3	261.4
2012	C.J. Spiller, Buff.	25	1,244	459	1,703	8	261.3
2012	Alfred Morris, Was.	24	1,613	77	1,690	13	258.0
2002	Duce Staley, Phil.	27	1,029	541	1,570	8	258.0
2012	Trent Richardson, Cle.	22	950	367	1,317	12	254.7
2020	James Robinson, Jac.	22	1,070	344	1,414	10	252.4
2010	Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG	24	1,235	314	1,549	8	251.9
2003	Moe Williams, Min.	29	745	644	1,389	8	251.9
2022	Rhamondre Stevenson, N.E.	24	1,040	421	1,461	6	251.1
2005	Rudi Johnson, Cin.	26	1,458	90	1,548	12	249.8
2022	Tony Pollard, Dall.	25	1,007	371	1,378	12	248.8
2014	Justin Forsett, Balt.	29	1,266	263	1,529	8	246.9
2010	Rashard Mendenhall, Pitt.	23	1,273	167	1,440	13	245.0
2015	Danny Woodhead, S.D.	30	336	755	1,091	9	243.1
2006	Ladell Betts, Was.	27	1,154	445	1,599	5	242.9
2007	Marion Barber, Dall.	24	975	282	1,257	12	241.7
2019	Chris Carson, Sea.	25	1,230	266	1,496	9	240.6
2011	Ryan Mathews, S.D.	24	1,091	455	1,546	6	240.6
2018	Tarik Cohen, Chi.	23	444	725	1,169	8	240.0
2002	Michael Bennett, Min.	24	1,296	351	1,647	6	237.7
2021	Antonio Gibson, Was.	23	1,037	294	1,331	10	237.1
2009	Ryan Grant, G.B.	27	1,253	197	1,450	11	236.0
2017	Carlos Hyde, S.F.	27	938	350	1,288	8	235.8
2016	LeGarrette Blount, N.E.	30	1,161	38	1,199	18	234.9
2007	Willis McGahee, Balt.	26	1,207	231	1,438	8	234.8
2013	Fred Jackson, Buff.	32	890	387	1,277	10	234.7
2021	Cordarrelle Patterson, Atl.	30	618	548	1,166	11	234.6
2015	Lamar Miller, Mia.	24	872	397	1,269	10	233.9
2016	Jordan Howard, Chi.	22	1,313	298	1,611	7	232.1
2007	Earnest Graham, T.B.	27	898	324	1,222	10	231.2
2006	Kevin Jones, Det.	24	689	520	1,209	8	229.9
2022	Jamaal Williams, Det.	27	1,066	73	1,139	17	229.9
2006	Chester Taylor, Min.	27	1,216	288	1,504	6	228.4
2004	Reuben Droughns, Den.	26	1,240	241	1,481	8	228.1
2013	Giovani Bernard, Cin.	22	695	514	1,209	8	224.9

PEAK SEASONS BY RUNNING BACKS (1980-1999)
Year	Player	0	Run	Rec	Total	TD	PPR
1995	Emmitt Smith, Dall.	26	1,773	375	2,148	25	426.8
1983	Eric Dickerson, LAR	23	1,808	404	2,212	20	392.2
1984	James Wilder, T.B.	26	1,544	685	2,229	13	390.7
1985	Roger Craig, S.F.	25	1,050	1,016	2,066	15	388.6
1998	Terrell Davis, Den.	26	2,008	217	2,225	23	385.5
1985	Marcus Allen, Oak.	25	1,759	555	2,314	14	383.2
1981	William Andrews, Atl.	26	1,301	735	2,036	12	356.6
1997	Barry Sanders, Det.	29	2,053	305	2,358	14	352.8
1989	Dalton Hilliard, N.O.	25	1,262	514	1,776	18	343.4
1998	Jamal Anderson, Atl.	26	1,846	319	2,165	16	341.5
1992	Thurman Thomas, Buff.	26	1,487	626	2,113	12	341.3
1980	Billy Sims, Det.	25	1,303	621	1,924	16	339.4
1986	Herschel Walker, Dall.	24	737	837	1,574	14	317.4
1996	Ricky Watters, Phil.	27	1,411	444	1,855	13	314.5
1996	Terry Allen, Was.	28	1,353	194	1,547	21	312.7
1981	Chuck Muncie, S.D.	28	1,144	362	1,506	19	311.8
1989	Neal Anderson, Chi.	25	1,275	434	1,709	15	310.9
1998	Fred Taylor, Jac.	22	1,223	421	1,644	17	310.4
1997	Dorsey Levens, G.B.	27	1,435	370	1,805	12	307.5
1981	Ted Brown, Min.	24	1,063	694	1,757	8	306.7
1998	Garrison Hearst, S.F.	27	1,570	535	2,105	9	305.5
1995	Derek Loville, S.F.	27	723	662	1,385	13	305.5
1992	Barry Foster, Pitt.	24	1,690	344	2,034	11	305.4
1983	Curt Warner, Sea.	22	1,449	325	1,774	14	303.4
1985	Joe Morris, NYG	25	1,336	212	1,548	21	302.8
1981	Wendell Tyler, LAR	26	1,074	436	1,510	17	298.0
1984	Ottis Anderson, St.L.	27	1,174	611	1,785	8	296.5
1984	Gerald Riggs, Atl.	24	1,486	277	1,763	13	296.3
1994	Chris Warren, Sea.	26	1,545	323	1,868	11	295.8
1992	Lorenzo White, Hou.	26	1,226	641	1,867	8	291.7
1985	Lionel James, S.D.	23	516	1,027	1,543	8	288.3
1983	John Riggins, Was.	34	1,347	29	1,376	24	286.6
1986	James Brooks, Cin.	28	1,087	686	1,773	9	285.3
1980	Joe Cribbs, Buff.	22	1,185	415	1,600	12	284.7
1981	Pete Johnson, Cin.	27	1,077	320	1,397	16	281.7
1985	Tony Dorsett, Dall.	31	1,307	449	1,756	10	281.6
1999	Stephen Davis, Was.	25	1,405	111	1,516	17	278.6
1988	John Settle, Atl.	23	1,024	570	1,594	8	275.4
1995	Edgar Bennett, G.B.	26	1,067	648	1,715	7	274.5
1981	George Rogers, N.O.	23	1,674	126	1,800	13	274.0
1996	Larry Centers, Ariz.	28	425	766	1,191	9	272.1
1994	Natrone Means, S.D.	22	1,350	235	1,585	12	269.5
1986	Gary Anderson, S.D.	25	442	871	1,313	9	269.5
1980	Earl Cooper, S.F.	23	720	567	1,287	9	265.7
1988	Greg Bell, LAR	26	1,212	124	1,336	18	265.6
1995	Harvey Williams, Oak.	28	1,114	375	1,489	9	261.6
1986	Lorenzo Hampton, Mia.	24	830	446	1,276	12	260.6
1985	Stump Mitchell, St.L.	26	1,006	502	1,508	10	259.4
1997	Napoleon Kaufman, Oak.	24	1,294	403	1,697	8	257.7
1988	Keith Byars, Phil.	25	517	705	1,222	10	254.2
1992	Cleveland Gary, LAR	26	1,125	293	1,418	10	253.8
1988	John L. Williams, Sea.	24	877	651	1,528	7	252.8
1998	Robert Edwards, N.E.	24	1,115	331	1,446	12	251.6
1984	James Jones (LSU), Det.	23	532	662	1,194	8	251.5
1985	Earnest Byner, Cle.	23	1,002	460	1,462	10	251.2
1992	Rodney Hampton, NYG	23	1,141	215	1,356	14	247.6
1997	Jerome Bettis, Pitt.	25	1,665	110	1,775	9	246.5
1991	Robert Delpino, LAR	26	688	617	1,305	10	245.5
1981	Gerry Ellis, G.B.	24	860	499	1,359	7	244.1
1985	Freeman McNeil, NYJ	26	1,331	427	1,758	5	243.8
1997	Karim Abdul-Jabbar, Mia.	23	892	261	1,153	16	240.3
1985	Tony Nathan, Mia.	29	667	651	1,318	6	239.8
1983	Ron Springs, Dall.	27	541	589	1,130	8	238.8
1987	Charles White, LAR	29	1,374	121	1,495	11	238.5
1988	Ickey Woods, Cin.	22	1,066	199	1,265	15	237.5
1993	Terry Kirby, Mia.	23	390	874	1,264	6	237.4
1993	Johnny Johnson, NYJ	25	821	641	1,462	4	237.2
1985	Craig James, N.E.	24	1,227	360	1,587	7	236.5
1986	Tony Collins, N.E.	27	412	684	1,096	8	234.6
1986	Darrin Nelson, Min.	27	793	593	1,386	7	233.6
1984	Earnest Jackson, S.D.	25	1,179	222	1,401	9	233.1
1994	Leroy Hoard, Cle.	26	890	445	1,335	9	232.5
1985	Butch Woolfolk, Hou.	25	392	814	1,206	5	230.6
1985	Kevin Mack, Cle.	23	1,104	297	1,401	10	229.1
1990	Albert Bentley, Ind.	30	556	664	1,220	6	229.0
1995	Ironhead Heyward, Atl.	29	1,083	350	1,433	8	228.3
1983	Curtis Dickey, Balt.	27	1,122	483	1,605	7	226.5
1984	Sammy Winder, Den.	25	1,153	288	1,441	6	224.1
1989	Christian Okoye, K.C.	28	1,480	12	1,492	12	223.2
1989	Eric Metcalf, Cle.	21	633	397	1,030	10	222.6
1986	Walter Abercrombie, Pitt.	27	877	395	1,272	8	222.2
1995	Bernie Parmalee, Mia.	28	878	345	1,223	10	221.3
1992	Ronnie Harmon, S.D.	28	235	914	1,149	4	217.9
1988	Earl Ferrell, Phoe.	30	924	315	1,239	9	215.9
1995	Adrian Murrell, NYJ	25	795	465	1,260	3	215.0
1995	Errict Rhett, T.B.	25	1,207	110	1,317	11	211.7
1990	Merril Hoge, Pitt.	25	772	342	1,114	10	211.4
1986	Rueben Mayes, N.O.	23	1,353	96	1,449	8	209.9
1980	Cullen Bryant, LAR	29	807	386	1,193	6	208.3
1986	Gerald Willhite, Den.	27	365	529	894	9	208.0
1992	Reggie Cobb, T.B.	24	1,171	156	1,327	9	207.7
1990	Derrick Fenner, Sea.	23	859	143	1,002	15	207.2
1989	Bobby Humphrey, Den.	23	1,151	156	1,307	8	205.6
1980	Eddie Lee Ivery, G.B.	23	831	481	1,312	4	205.2
1980	Clarence Harmon, Was.	25	484	534	1,018	8	203.8
1997	Raymont Harris, Chi.	27	1,033	115	1,148	10	202.8
1993	Leonard Russell, N.E.	24	1,088	245	1,333	7	201.3
1999	Curtis Enis, Chi.	23	916	340	1,256	5	200.6
1999	Tyrone Wheatley, Oak.	27	936	196	1,132	11	200.2
1999	Mike Alstott, T.B.	26	949	239	1,188	9	199.8

—Ian Allan

Nick Chubb

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I wanted to let you know I finished my season going 16-0 winning my league, breaking every record in our 19 year history along the way. A special thank you to FI for the insightful knowledge as it provided me much help along the way.

Ryan M. Lynnwood, Wash.

You guys do a great job. I got laughed at by a few people at the draft but they're not laughing now. I'm leading the league in record (8-1) and PF thus far.

John W. Aylett, Va.

And a side note… we've got a re-draft 16-team, 20 players drafted league (drafting water boys by the 17^th round) that I've won 2 years in a row. Nobody's ever done that in 21 years… using your cheat sheet. it's an old school league that used to draft out of piles of magazines.

Thanks again,

Todd S. Grand Junction, Colo.

This is my ninth year competing with my two very savey adult children and their 11 regulars to make it a 14 team draft with a $200 bid limit. Your SuperFanatic package has put me into the 6 team play- offs 4 out of the 8 years and there is no way I could compete with these guys without my cheat sheets! They still have no idea how I can be so lucky every year :-) Cheaters do prosper!!!!

Robert A.

I wanted to thank you for such an amazing product and your customer service. I ordered the wrong date for my update and called to correct the mistake. Your customer service person was very kind, helpful and took care of the issue immediately.

I have used your product for the past 18 years or so… Every now and then I will be tempted and look at what other magazines have to offer, quickly realizing no one comes close.

In addition to the magazine, I started buying the weekly updates years ago when my dad taught me a lesson. The draft came and dad was sitting in the 12 hole for his pick. He told me he felt very comfortable about who he was going to select but would not tell me who his prized gem was to be. I was doubtful. The pick? Priest Holmes (his first dynamite year). I remember telling my dad, "that is a decent pick but they plan to pull him at the goal line." Ever the teacher, dad explained he had purchased the Fantasy Football Index update and read Holmes would get the goal line carries. "Update?", I asked. That was 2002 and Holmes had 21 rushing TDs and Dad won the title! Lesson learned.

By the way, I have made the title game for the last 5 years in a row. Thanks for the detailed, hard work and an great product!

David R. Queen Creek, Ariz.

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