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Najee gonna work here anymore

Harris goes to Chargers

It was overshadowed by the quarterback movement, of course, but the running backs also entered the free agency picture yesterday. With at least one and possibly two moves of fantasy significance.

Najee Harris left the Steelers for the Chargers; that's the big one. J.K. Dobbins was on a one-year deal, and Gus Edwards was released, so unless there are still people holding out hope for sixth-rounder Kimani Vidal setting the league afire in his second season, Harris is going to be the lead back. He signed a one-year deal worth "up to" $9.25 million.

Slightly less impactful, probably, the Cowboys signed Javonte Williams away from Denver. That's also a one-year deal, and for a lot less money: $3 million. Clearly the market was a little different for those players, which is understandable. Harris has rushed for over 1,000 yards in all four of his seasons, while Williams not only hasn't reached that milestone in his four years, he hasn't been particularly effective the last two seasons, since tearing his ACL (and other ligaments) in 2022.

But the truth is that neither one has been dynamic. While yards per carry is an imperfect stat, it's also one that gives a hint of a player's explosiveness, or lack thereof. Over the four seasons both backs have been in the league, they both show up near the bottom of the running backs who have had comparable workloads. Along with several players who won't be starting for anyone in 2025.

Over the past four seasons, 42 running backs have played in at least half the games and averaged at least 100 rushing attempts per year. Najee and Javonte both come in at 3.9-4.0 yards per attempt, in the bottom 10 of those backs. The other worst backs in this regard include Alexander Mattison, Jamaal Williams and Ezekiel Elliott. They won't be starting anywhere this year (neither will Rachaad White or Kareem Hunt). Javonte would look even worse if we just used the post-injury number (he's been at 3.6-3.7 yards per attempt the past two years).

YARDS PER CARRY, 2021-2024 (400-plus carries)
PlayerGAttYdsY/ATD
Nick Chubb4166032865.023
James Cook4953326384.920
Christian McCaffrey4466532424.923
Jonathan Taylor5299648444.940
Khalil Herbert5640019054.89
Aaron Jones6078137144.813
Derrick Henry58117355634.751
Bijan Robinson3451824324.718
Saquon Barkley59104948724.631
Raheem Mostert4547722014.623
Miles Sanders5658026604.614
Tony Pollard6483538104.622
Breece Hall4051223334.614
Isiah Pacheco3845820754.513
Kyren Williams3857925824.526
Tyler Allgeier5053323624.410
James Conner5782936684.437
Dalvin Cook4758825664.414
Devin Singletary6569430244.420
Rhamondre Stevenson5670630664.321
D'Andre Swift6073231674.321
Josh Jacobs62109146594.342
Austin Ekeler5966628214.234
Travis Etienne4963726914.218
Kenneth Walker III4160025284.224
Chuba Hubbard6475531754.222
David Montgomery5783034404.137
D'Onta Foreman4651621374.112
Zack Moss4844618374.112
Brian Robinson Jr.4157023294.115
Dameon Pierce3840516484.18
Joe Mixon61100440694.140
Antonio Gibson6459223864.012
AJ Dillon4955121864.014
Javonte Williams5460623944.011
Alvin Kamara5587134393.917
Najee Harris68109743123.928
Rachaad White5054520843.810
Ezekiel Elliott6472627463.828
Jamaal Williams5756921373.822
Kareem Hunt5353619933.724
Alexander Mattison6352018943.612

Given Javonte's recent ineffectiveness and the small size of the contract, the Cowboys definitely aren't done adding to the position. They're reportedly not planning to bring back Rico Dowdle, but will almost certainly draft a running back (some early mocks believe they're eyeing Ashton Jeanty, for what it's worth). No one can count on Williams starting for Dallas, let alone being featured.

But Najee with the Chargers is a little more promising. Even without the guaranteed numbers available yet, safe to say he'll be their starter. And while Harris is a modestly regarded talent with that 3.9 yards per attempt career number, there's a lot to be said for showing up. That probably appealed to the Jim Harbaugh and the Chargers, who are more concerned about having a back they can feed a ton of carries to and count on being there each week. (Dobbins missed four full games and most of a fifth last year.)

Running backs to play at least 60 games and average 250 rushing attempts the last four seasons? Najee, Josh Jacobs and Joe Mixon -- that's the list.

So I'll be interested in Harris in early drafts. The Chargers could also draft someone, or sign another player, but it looks like Najee will open the season as their guy. He'll be busy, and the history indicates he'll be available each week. Counts for a lot at the position.

Harris' departure, by the way, is a plus for Jaylen Warren in Pittsburgh. The Steelers tendered him at a second-round level, so he'll be back. But let's see if the Steelers also draft or sign someone (Dobbins?). I don't think they're going to be featuring Warren; seems likely to be a tandem backfield again.

As for the Broncos, who also aren't done adding to the position, they've now got last year's fifth-rounder Audric Estime, Jaleel McLaughlin and Tyler Badie on the roster. Undrafted Blake Watson too. If I were throwing a late-round pick at one of them in a best-ball draft, it would be Estime. But Denver will definitely be adding more to the position, as well, either via the draft or free agency.

--Andy Richardson

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