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Factoid

Second-round wide receivers

Breakout odds for Arcega-Whiteside, Campbell and Isabella

A recent story out of Philadelphia has GM Howie Roseman saying that second-year wideout JJ Arcega-Whiteside needs to step things up this season. No kidding: Arcega-Whiteside caught only 10 passes as a rookie, despite injuries gutting the position for the Eagles. He's one of several 2019 second-rounders that can be said about.

Last year's draft produced three very impressive wide receivers from that round: A.J. Brown, DK Metcalf and Deebo Samuel. All three put up at least 800 receiving yards and scored at least 6 touchdowns, as key contributors for playoff teams. A fourth, Mecole Hardman, had over 500 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns for the Super Bowl champs.

But three other 2019 second-rounders did virtually nothing: Arcega-Whiteside, Indianapolis' Parris Campbell (pictured) and Arizona's Andy Isabella. None of the three reached 200 yards. Campbell was hurt half the year, Isabella was buried in Arizona, Arcega-Whiteside barely got on the field. What are the chances one or two of them will be significant players in 2020?

Over the last 20 years, there have been 47 second-round wideouts who, like those players, finished under 400 receiving yards in their rookie seasons. In year 2, only about 20 percent of those players (nine) put up notable receiving numbers; at least 500 yards. As luck would have it, the very best of those guys is Arcega-Whiteside's teammate in Philadelphia. And another of the best did it just last year, and it seemed just as unlikely at this time a year ago (DJ Chark).

SECOND-ROUND WIDEOUTS, YEAR 2
YearPkPlayerNoYardsTDRookie
201245Alshon Jeffery891421724-367-3
200136Chad Johnson691166528-329-1
201861D.J. Chark731008814-174-0
201164Randall Cobb80954825-375-1
201860James Washington44735316-217-1
201737Zay Jones56652727-316-2
201263Rueben Randle41611619-298-3
200036Todd Pinkston42586410-181-0
200751Steve Smith5757418-63-0
201334Justin Hunter28498318-354-4
201740Curtis Samuel39494715-115-0
200561Vincent Jackson2745363-59-0
201039Arrelious Benn30441325-395-2
201060Golden Tate35382321-227-0
200851Malcolm Kelly2534703-18-0
200450Devery Henderson2234330-0-0
201243Stephen Hill24342121-252-3
201036Dexter McCluster46328121-209-1
200834Devin Thomas25325315-120-1
200836Jordy Nelson22320233-366-2
200555Roscoe Parrish23320315-148-1
200936Brian Robiskie2931037-106-0
200246Tim Carter2630902-37-0
201233Brian Quick18302211-156-2
200141Robert Ferguson2229330-0-0
200539Mark Bradley14282318-230-0
200644Sinorice Moss2122505-25-0
200047Jerry Porter1922001-6-0
200344Taylor Jacobs1617803-37-1
200345Bethel Johnson10174216-209-3
200744Sidney Rice15141431-396-4
200745Dwayne Jarrett1011906-73-0
201254Ryan Broyles885022-310-2
200248Reche Caldwell880022-208-3
201456Cody Latimer65912-23-0
201445Paul Richardson140029-271-1
200454Darius Watts222031-385-1
201537Devin Smith12009-115-1
200360Tyrone Calico213018-297-4
200841James Hardy1909-87-2
200853Limas Sweed1506-64-0
200636Chad Jackson00013-152-3
200558Terrence Murphy0005-36-0
200846Jerome Simpson0001-2-0
201962Andy Isabella ???9-189-1
201957JJ Arcega-Whiteside???10-169-1
201959Parris Campbell???18-127-1

So not great odds for these guys. Arcega-Whiteside should have opportunity on a shaky depth chart, at least; that's also true of Campbell in Indianapolis. Isabella could have a tough time on a team that just traded for DeAndre Hopkins and still has Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk.

Long-term, I notice a few players who didn't reach that 500-yard mark in Year 2 but eventually emerged as more significant contributors. Vincent Jackson, Golden Tate and Jordy Nelson all needed a little more seasoning.

Maybe one of these guys will be the next Jeffery or Chark. Odds are against it, though.

--Andy Richardson

Fantasy Index