I just sent along the final player ranking adjustments for the preseason. (Those will be posted on the website soon). I did make a handful of changes, based largely on the depth charts that are now posted at the team’s depth charts. Those can affect your confidence in a player.

Most notably, the Raiders are listing rookies Henry Ruggs and Bryan Edwards as first-string players. The indication is that they’ll be primarily a three-receiver team, and Hunter Renfrow, Ruggs and Edwards are their three guys. I’ve moved all three up by board some. Edwads is among the players I’m most intrigued to see in action.

Jacksonville says James Robinson is their starting tailback (at least for now). He’s worth a flyer waiver claim, I think, as a guy to have on the last spot on your bench – see what he can do in Week 1. But that team is going to be terrible, methinks, and I think they’re going to be passing it all over the place.

Vikings say Bisi Johnson is a starting wide receiver, while Justin Jefferson is a backup. I will continue to maintain that nobody should be selecting Jefferson looking for a big, immediate first-year impact.

Broncos list Jerry Jeudy as a co-starter (along with Tim Patrick).

In Green Bay, Jace Sternberger is listed as a third-string tight end. I imagine they’ll use plenty of multiple tight end sets, but Sternberger is just a gambler/flyer guy right now, as opposed to a player you could plug into a starting lineup right now. I moved Sternberger down some.

Jacksonville lists Dede Westbrook as a third-stringer – not even a backup. This has me thinking that Laviska Shenault could be playing a bunch sooner rather than later. Shenault could be their slot guy rather than Westbrook. If you drafted Westbrook, I would opt to release him now, grabbing some other prospect off the waiver wire. I don’t think you need to wait and see Westbrook underperform in Week 1 before making such a move.

Colts indicate Michael Pittman is a backup for now – not one of their three listed starting wide receivers. If I were gambling a late-round pick on a Colts wide receiver, it would be Parris Campbell before Pittman.

Kyle Shanahan said some nice things about Brandon Aiyuk about a month ago, but Aiyuk is listed as a third-string player. They’ve got Deebo Samuel and Kendrick Bourne listed as their starters.

Updated rankings include some tinkering with backs in Washington.

For scoring, I’m going with Kansas City, Baltimore and New Orleans as my top 3.

OFFENSIVE TOUCHDOWN PROJECTIONS
RkTeamPassRunTotal
1.Kansas City39.816.656.5
2.Baltimore32.617.950.6
3.New Orleans34.114.248.3
4.Dallas29.816.546.2
5.Seattle32.014.246.2
6.Indianapolis27.817.345.1
7.Tampa Bay30.913.644.5
8.San Francisco27.716.644.3
9.New England24.319.243.5
10.Green Bay26.616.643.2
11.Tennessee26.416.643.0
12.Philadelphia28.214.142.2
13.Arizona24.517.041.4
14.Minnesota24.616.641.3
15.Cleveland24.016.640.6
16.Pittsburgh28.612.040.6
17.Atlanta29.810.640.3
18.LA Rams23.716.340.0
19.Houston25.813.839.5
20.Detroit28.810.639.4
21.Las Vegas23.712.836.5
22.Buffalo23.812.336.2
23.NY Giants23.013.136.2
24.Denver22.911.834.7
25.Cincinnati22.411.433.8
26.Chicago21.911.032.9
27.Carolina19.812.832.6
28.LA Chargers20.312.232.5
29.NY Jets24.57.431.8
30.Miami21.68.630.2
31.Jacksonville23.06.429.4
32.Washington18.610.729.3

For passing, my top 4 are the same I’ve been riding all along. It’s Kansas City and those three teams in the NFC South. God help Carolina’s pass defense.

Teams ranked by 6 points for TD passes and 1 for every 10 passing yards.

TEAM PASSING PROJECTIONS
RkTeamYardsTDPPts/G
1.Kansas City3052.4945.4
2.Atlanta3001.8641.2
3.New Orleans2802.1340.8
4.Tampa Bay2851.9340.1
5.Detroit2811.8038.9
6.Pittsburgh2781.7938.5
7.Dallas2721.8638.4
8.Seattle2602.0038.0
9.LA Rams2751.4836.4
10.Philadelphia2571.7636.3
11.Indianapolis2581.7436.2
12.San Francisco2581.7336.2
13.Green Bay2521.6635.2
14.Baltimore2252.0434.7
15.Arizona2551.5334.7
16.Las Vegas2571.4834.6
17.Houston2461.6134.3
18.Tennessee2381.6533.7
19.Minnesota2441.5433.6
20.Cleveland2371.5032.7
21.NY Giants2401.4432.6
22.Cincinnati2421.4032.6
23.NY Jets2331.5332.5
24.Jacksonville2381.4432.4
25.New England2331.5232.4
26.Denver2361.4332.2
27.Buffalo2291.4931.8
28.Miami2321.3531.3
29.Chicago2271.3730.9
30.LA Chargers2201.2729.6
31.Carolina2201.2429.4
32.Washington2161.1628.6

For running the ball, I’ve got New England in the No. 2 spot, but the six teams ranked right behind them should get more rushing yards and TDs from their running backs (but with less quarterback production).

Teams ranked by 6 points for TD runs and 1 for every 10 rushing yards.

TEAM RUSHING PROJECTIONS
RkTeamYardsTDRPts/G
1.Baltimore1681.1223.5
2.New England1251.2019.7
3.Indianapolis1281.0819.3
4.Cleveland1291.0419.1
5.Tennessee1281.0419.0
6.Minnesota1251.0418.7
7.Dallas1221.0318.4
8.San Francisco1211.0418.3
9.Arizona1161.0618.0
10.Seattle126.8917.9
11.Kansas City1111.0417.3
12.Green Bay1101.0417.2
13.Houston119.8617.1
14.LA Rams1081.0216.9
15.New Orleans115.8916.8
16.Buffalo122.7716.8
17.Philadelphia112.8816.5
18.Las Vegas115.8016.3
19.NY Giants112.8216.1
20.LA Chargers115.7616.1
21.Cincinnati114.7115.7
22.Denver110.7415.4
23.Carolina104.8015.2
24.Pittsburgh103.7514.8
25.Detroit108.6614.8
26.Tampa Bay90.8514.1
27.Washington100.6714.0
28.Chicago95.6913.6
29.Atlanta88.6612.8
30.Miami88.5412.0
31.NY Jets92.4612.0
32.Jacksonville92.4011.6

—Ian Allan