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Hurts so good

Schedule should help Hurts, Eagles stay hot

Jalen Hurts and the Eagles have been playing well recently, with at least 3 TDs in five of their last six games. The upcoming schedule indicates they’ll likely keep things going.

Three of their next four games are against the two struggling New York. The other is against Washington (and hopefully the Eagles won’t pull Hurts early this year).

Those opponents are a combined 12-28-0, for a winning percentage of .300 – the lowest of any upcoming schedule in the league. That is, if you look at the next four games for each team, Philadelphia’s schedule looks like it’s going to be the easiest.

Other teams with softer upcoming schedules include the Texans, Vikings and Dolphins. Houston and Miami, of course, have lesser offenses, but get them matched up against the right opponent, and decent stats become possible.

The hardest schedules coming up (next four games for each team) include a bunch of teams with fantasy-relevant offenses – Browns, Steelers, Patriots, Colts, Ravens and Bills.

SCHEDULTRON, NEXT 4 GAMES (wins)
TeamWLTPct
Philadelphia12280.300
Houston13280.317
Minnesota13252.350
Miami15260.366
NY Jets16260.381
Arizona16241.402
Dallas17230.425
Seattle18220.450
San Francisco18220.450
Atlanta19220.463
Denver19211.476
Tennessee19211.476
Washington20210.488
Jacksonville21200.512
Carolina21200.512
Tampa Bay21200.512
LA Chargers21200.512
NY Giants22200.524
LA Rams22200.524
Chicago22191.536
Detroit22190.537
Kansas City21181.538
Cincinnati21181.538
New Orleans22180.550
Green Bay23180.561
Las Vegas24180.571
Buffalo24180.571
Baltimore25171.593
Indianapolis25170.595
New England26160.619
Pittsburgh26150.634
Cleveland27140.659

If we use points rather than wins and losses, the Eagles still project to have the easiest upcoming schedule. Their next four are against teams currently allowing 27 points per game. Other teams that will be facing softer defenses include the Jaguars, Texans and Cowboys.

Three teams in their next four games will play against defenses on average allowing fewer than 21 points per game, and they’re all notable for fantasy purposes: Bills, Patriots, Colts.

Buffalo has had problems getting its offense going for most of the year. Other than four blowouts against really bad defenses, the Bills have averaged only just over 2 TDs per week. With their next four against the Patriots (twice), Saints and Bucs, I think those problems are going to continue.

SCHEDULTRON, NEXT 4 GAMES (points)
TeamPoints/G
Philadelphia26.98
Jacksonville25.42
Houston25.34
Dallas24.83
Seattle24.68
Miami24.60
Denver24.46
NY Jets24.25
NY Giants24.00
Arizona23.99
Minnesota23.95
San Francisco23.88
Las Vegas23.41
Kansas City23.40
New Orleans23.30
Carolina23.26
Green Bay23.13
Washington23.03
Pittsburgh22.97
Cleveland22.91
Atlanta22.65
Tampa Bay22.62
Cincinnati22.40
Chicago22.25
Baltimore21.92
LA Chargers21.81
Tennessee21.77
LA Rams21.23
Detroit21.22
Indianapolis20.94
New England20.14
Buffalo20.02

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index